Alcorcón II has superior recent form (11/15 pts, improving) compared to AD Parla (5/15 pts, declining). H2H dominance (6 wins in last 10) and statistical advantages in form (69%), defence (80%), and overall (67.7%) strongly favour the away side. AD Parla's poor home record (27% win rate) and lack of clean sheets further support an Alcorcón II victory.

Both teams have recorded 0% BTTS rates in their respective home and away matches this season, indicating a strong tendency for one-sided scoring. Alcorcón II's defensive solidity (80% advantage, 1 goal conceded per game) combined with AD Parla's low scoring output (29 goals in 31 games) suggests at least one team will fail to score.

AD Parla has not recorded a single Over 2.5 match at home this season, and Alcorcón II has none away, indicating a strong trend toward low-scoring games. Alcorcón II's defence concedes only 1 goal per game on average, while AD Parla's attack is weak (29 goals in 31 games). The H2H average of 3 goals per meeting is skewed by past data, but current season stats favour under 2.5.