Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Alcoyano
🔥 Excellent · 11/15 pts
VS
10:00
Sant Andreu
🔥 Excellent · 12/15 pts
Home 45%
Draw 45%
Away 10%
🗓 Sun 26 Apr 2026, 10:00
📍 Estadio El Collao, Alcoy 🏆 Group 3 - 33
🎯 Our AI Picks for This Match
2 tips
AI-ranked by confidence · only the bets worth considering
Double Chance
HIGH CONFIDENCE
1X (Alcoyano or Draw)
Odds
1.12
Implied chance
≈89%
Alcoyano are extremely difficult to beat at home, with only 2 losses in 16 matches and a league-best defense conceding 0.63 goals per game. Sant Andreu have lost 5 away games this season, and Alcoyano's consistent form (11 points from last 5) supports a strong chance of avoiding defeat. The implied probability of 89% is slightly higher than my assessed 85%, so this is not a value bet but a high-confidence safety play.
💡 Double Chance — covers two of the three possible outcomes
80%
conf.
Strong
Under 2.5 Goals
HIGH CONFIDENCE
Under 2.5
Odds
1.60
Implied chance
≈63%
Alcoyano's defensive solidity (0.63 goals conceded per game) and low scoring output (28 goals in 32 games) point to a low-scoring affair. Sant Andreu are strong offensively but face a tough test, and the only recent H2H ended 0-0. My assessed probability of 72% exceeds the implied 63%, but the edge is under 5 percentage points, so this is not a value bet.
💡 Bet on whether total goals scored stay below the line
75%
conf.
Strong
✅ 2 high-confidence picks (75%+)
All tips generated by AI · Gamble responsibly
📊 Odds & Implied Probability
Opening odds · % = bookmaker's implied likelihood
Match Result — 1X2
Alcoyano
1.70
≈59% chance
Draw
3.40
≈29% chance
Sant Andreu
4.33
≈23% chance
Bookmaker margin: 11% · Lower margin = better value for bettors
Goals Total — Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5 goals
2.30
≈43% chance
Under 2.5 goals
1.60
≈63% chance
Double Chance
Home or Draw
1.12
Away or Draw
1.57
Home or Away
1.73
🏟 Form & Head-to-Head
Recent Form (last 5 games · W=Win D=Draw L=Loss)
Alcoyano
D
D
W
W
W
🔥 Excellent
(11/15 pts)
Sant Andreu
W
L
W
W
W
🔥 Excellent
(12/15 pts) Head-to-Head — Last 1 meetings
1
Alcoyano: 0W (0%)
Draws: 1 (100%)
Sant Andreu: 0W (0%)
Sep 2025
Sant Andreu
vs
Alcoyano
0 - 0
📈 Season Stats Comparison
▲ = statistical edge
Alcoyano
Sant Andreu
28
⚽
Goals Scored
Goals Scored
▲ 51
20
▲
🥅
Goals Conceded
Goals Conceded
30
12
🏆
Wins
Wins
▲ 20
4
🏅
League Position
League Position
▲ 1
📊 Sant Andreu leads on 3/4 comparable stats
🔮 Statistical Model Predictions
API-Football algorithm — reference data
Home Win
45%
Draw
45%
Away Win
10%
Statistical favourite:
Alcoyano
Category Comparison
48%
📋 Form
52%
47%
⚔️ Attack
53%
67%
🛡 Defence
33%
50%
🔁 H2H
50%
53.2%
🎯 Overall
46.8%
🎯 AI Match Verdict
Top recommended bet:
1X (Alcoyano or Draw)
Double Chance · 80% confidence
Odds
1.12
AI confidence
80%
+ 1 more tip — scroll down ↓
🗳️ Fan Poll
0 votes
What's your prediction?
Alcoyano
33%
Draw
34%
Sant Andreu
33%
📖 How to Use This Page
1
Check Our AI Picks
Look for tips with 75%+ confidence (green ring). These are our strongest signals. ⭐ Value Bet means the odds may be higher than expected.
2
Understand the Odds
Each odds cell shows the bookmaker's implied probability (%). Compare this to the AI's confidence — if AI confidence is higher than implied %, that's a potential value opportunity.
3
Study the Stats
The ▲ arrows show which team has the statistical edge. Check form, H2H history, and season stats before deciding. A 🔥 Excellent form team with H2H dominance is a stronger pick.
4
Place Your Bet
Use a bookmaker below. Find the match → go to the market shown on the tip → select the outcome → confirm your stake.
⚠️ Gamble responsibly. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. Tips are AI-generated for entertainment — not guaranteed outcomes.
🎚 Confidence Tiers
80%
75%+ — Strong Pick
High AI conviction. Prioritise these.
70%
65–74% — Decent Pick
Good signal, some uncertainty remains.
55%
Below 65% — Speculative
Lower confidence. Smaller stakes advised.
📚 Market Glossary
1X2 — Home Win / Draw / Away Win
Over 2.5 — 3 or more goals total in the match
Under 2.5 — 2 or fewer goals total in the match
BTTS Yes — Both teams each score ≥1 goal
Double Chance — Covers 2 outcomes, lower risk & lower odds
Draw No Bet — Win if your team wins; stake back on draw
⭐ Value Bet — AI thinks odds are higher than they should be
Implied % — The bookmaker's probability (1 ÷ odds × 100)
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