New South Wales NPL
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
🔥 Excellent · 13/15 pts
VS
06:30
St. George Saints
⚠️ Poor · 0/15 pts
Home 50%
Draw 50%
Away 0%
🗓 Sun 26 Apr 2026, 06:30
📍 Lambert Park, Sydney 🏆 Regular Season - 12
🎯 Our AI Picks for This Match
3 tips
AI-ranked by confidence · only the bets worth considering
Double Chance
HIGH CONFIDENCE
1X
Odds
1.10
Implied chance
≈91%
APIA Leichhardt Tigers are unbeaten in 5 matches and have never lost to St. George Saints in the last 4 H2H meetings (2W, 2D). St. George Saints are on a 5-match losing streak. The probability of APIA not losing is assessed at 95%, well above the implied 91% from odds of 1.10, though the value is minimal.
💡 Double Chance — covers two of the three possible outcomes
90%
conf.
Strong
1X2
HIGH CONFIDENCE
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
Odds
1.28
Implied chance
≈78%
APIA Leichhardt Tigers are in dominant form with 4 wins in 5, while St. George Saints have lost 5 straight. The statistical comparison shows APIA with 100% form advantage and 81% attack advantage. With full squad availability and home advantage, APIA's win probability is assessed at 85%, exceeding the implied 78% from odds of 1.28.
💡 Bet on the match result — Home Win, Draw or Away Win
85%
conf.
Strong
Over/Under Goals
⭐ VALUE BET HIGH CONFIDENCE
Over 2.5
Odds
2.75
Implied chance
≈36%
All 4 recent H2H meetings have gone over 2.5 goals, averaging 5 goals per game. APIA Leichhardt Tigers have an 81% attack advantage, while St. George Saints have a 24% defensive disadvantage. Despite St. George's low-scoring away record, the H2H pattern and attacking strength suggest a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals, offering significant value against the implied 36% from odds of 2.75.
💡 Bet on whether total goals scored exceed the line
75%
conf.
Strong
✅ 3 high-confidence picks (75%+)
⭐ 1 value bet identified
All tips generated by AI · Gamble responsibly
📊 Odds & Implied Probability
Opening odds · % = bookmaker's implied likelihood
Match Result — 1X2
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
1.28
≈78% chance
Draw
5.00
≈20% chance
St. George Saints
7.00
≈14% chance
Bookmaker margin: 12% · Lower margin = better value for bettors
Goals Total — Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5 goals
2.75
≈36% chance
Under 2.5 goals
1.40
≈71% chance
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)
Yes — both score ✓
3.00
≈33% chance
No — clean sheet ✗
1.36
≈74% chance
Other Totals
Over 1.5
1.62
≈62%
Under 1.5
2.20
≈45%
Over 3.5
6.00
≈17%
Under 3.5
1.12
≈89%
Over 4.5
15.00
≈7%
Under 4.5
1.03
≈97%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
1.10
Away or Draw
2.10
Home or Away
1.40
🏟 Form & Head-to-Head
Recent Form (last 5 games · W=Win D=Draw L=Loss)
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
W
D
W
W
W
🔥 Excellent
(13/15 pts)
St. George Saints
L
L
L
L
L
⚠️ Poor
(0/15 pts) Head-to-Head — Last 4 meetings
2
2
APIA Leichhardt Tigers: 2W (50%)
Draws: 2 (50%)
St. George Saints: 0W (0%)
Jun 2025
St. George Saints
vs
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
2 - 3
Mar 2025
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
vs
St. George Saints
3 - 3
Jun 2024
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
vs
St. George Saints
5 - 0
Mar 2024
St. George Saints
vs
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
2 - 2
🔮 Statistical Model Predictions
API-Football algorithm — reference data
Home Win
50%
Draw
50%
Away Win
0%
Statistical favourite:
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
Category Comparison
100%
📋 Form
0%
81%
⚔️ Attack
19%
76%
🛡 Defence
24%
80%
🔁 H2H
20%
75.8%
🎯 Overall
24.2%
🎯 AI Match Verdict
Top recommended bet:
1X
Double Chance · 90% confidence
Odds
1.10
AI confidence
90%
+ 2 more tips — scroll down ↓
🗳️ Fan Poll
0 votes
What's your prediction?
APIA Leichhard...
33%
Draw
34%
St. George Sai...
33%
📖 How to Use This Page
1
Check Our AI Picks
Look for tips with 75%+ confidence (green ring). These are our strongest signals. ⭐ Value Bet means the odds may be higher than expected.
2
Understand the Odds
Each odds cell shows the bookmaker's implied probability (%). Compare this to the AI's confidence — if AI confidence is higher than implied %, that's a potential value opportunity.
3
Study the Stats
The ▲ arrows show which team has the statistical edge. Check form, H2H history, and season stats before deciding. A 🔥 Excellent form team with H2H dominance is a stronger pick.
4
Place Your Bet
Use a bookmaker below. Find the match → go to the market shown on the tip → select the outcome → confirm your stake.
⚠️ Gamble responsibly. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. Tips are AI-generated for entertainment — not guaranteed outcomes.
🎚 Confidence Tiers
80%
75%+ — Strong Pick
High AI conviction. Prioritise these.
70%
65–74% — Decent Pick
Good signal, some uncertainty remains.
55%
Below 65% — Speculative
Lower confidence. Smaller stakes advised.
📚 Market Glossary
1X2 — Home Win / Draw / Away Win
Over 2.5 — 3 or more goals total in the match
Under 2.5 — 2 or fewer goals total in the match
BTTS Yes — Both teams each score ≥1 goal
Double Chance — Covers 2 outcomes, lower risk & lower odds
Draw No Bet — Win if your team wins; stake back on draw
⭐ Value Bet — AI thinks odds are higher than they should be
Implied % — The bookmaker's probability (1 ÷ odds × 100)
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