Home Championship Arbroath vs Partick
Championship
Arbroath

Arbroath

😐 Mixed · 6/15 pts
VS
14:00

Partick

🔥 Excellent · 11/15 pts
Partick
Home 10% Draw 45% Away 45%
🗓 Sat 25 Apr 2026, 14:00 📍 Gayfield Park, Arbroath 🏆 Regular Season - 35 👨‍⚖️ G. Irvine
🎯 Our AI Picks for This Match
AI-ranked by confidence · only the bets worth considering
3 tips
Under 2.5 Goals HIGH CONFIDENCE
Under 2.5
Odds
1.14
Implied chance
≈88%

H2H average of 2.2 goals is borderline, but both teams' derived Over 2.5 rates are 0% from 17 games each, indicating consistently low-scoring patterns. Partick's away record (5W/8D/4L) suggests tight matches, and the statistical comparison shows both teams have defensive advantages over their opponents' attacks.

💡 Bet on whether total goals scored stay below the line
75% conf.
Strong
Double Chance
X2
Odds
1.22
Implied chance
≈82%

Partick (2nd, 64 pts) is significantly stronger than Arbroath (3rd, 50 pts) and has lost only 4 of 17 away games. Their away record shows they're difficult to beat, with 13 of 17 away matches resulting in draws or wins. The statistical comparison confirms Partick's superiority across all categories.

💡 Double Chance — covers two of the three possible outcomes
70% conf.
Decent
Both Teams To Score
No
Odds
1.25
Implied chance
≈80%

Both teams show 0% BTTS rates from 17 games each, indicating at least one team frequently fails to score. Partick's strong defense (1.03 goals conceded per game) combined with Arbroath's questionable home attack (0 goals per game derived) suggests a low probability of both teams scoring.

💡 Both teams must score at least 1 goal each
65% conf.
Decent
1 high-confidence pick (75%+)
All tips generated by AI · Gamble responsibly
📊 Odds & Implied Probability Opening odds · % = bookmaker's implied likelihood
Match Result — 1X2
Arbroath
3.50
≈29% chance
Draw
3.30
≈30% chance
Partick
2.00
≈50% chance
Bookmaker margin: 9% · Lower margin = better value for bettors
Goals Total — Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5 goals
5.50
≈18% chance
Under 2.5 goals
1.14
≈88% chance
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)
Yes — both score ✓
3.75
≈27% chance
No — clean sheet ✗
1.25
≈80% chance
Other Totals
Over 1.5
2.38
≈42%
Under 1.5
1.53
≈65%
Over 3.5
15.00
≈7%
Under 3.5
1.03
≈97%
Over 4.5
7.00
≈14%
Under 4.5
1.08
≈93%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
1.44
Away or Draw
1.22
Home or Away
1.73
🏟 Form & Head-to-Head
Recent Form (last 5 games · W=Win D=Draw L=Loss)
Arbroath
W L L L W
😐 Mixed (6/15 pts)
Partick
D W D W W
🔥 Excellent (11/15 pts)
Head-to-Head — Last 10 meetings
2
3
5
Arbroath: 2W (20%) Draws: 3 (30%) Partick: 5W (50%)
Feb 2026 Partick vs Arbroath 0 - 0
Dec 2025 Arbroath vs Partick 2 - 1
Oct 2025 Partick vs Arbroath 1 - 1
Mar 2024 Arbroath vs Partick 0 - 1
Jan 2024 Partick vs Arbroath 4 - 0
📈 Season Stats Comparison ▲ = statistical edge
Arbroath
Partick
43

Goals Scored
52
41
🥅
Goals Conceded
35
13
🏆
Wins
17
3
🏅
League Position
2
📊 Partick leads on 4/4 comparable stats
🔮 Statistical Model Predictions API-Football algorithm — reference data
Home Win
10%
Draw
45%
Away Win
45%
Statistical favourite: Partick
Category Comparison
35%
📋 Form
65%
38%
⚔️ Attack
63%
33%
🛡 Defence
67%
38%
🔁 H2H
62%
38.0%
🎯 Overall
62.2%
🎯 AI Match Verdict
Top recommended bet:
Under 2.5
Under 2.5 Goals · 75% confidence
Odds
1.14
AI confidence
75%
+ 2 more tips — scroll down ↓
🗳️ Fan Poll 0 votes
What's your prediction?
Arbroath 33%
Draw 34%
Partick 33%
📖 How to Use This Page
1
Check Our AI Picks
Look for tips with 75%+ confidence (green ring). These are our strongest signals. ⭐ Value Bet means the odds may be higher than expected.
2
Understand the Odds
Each odds cell shows the bookmaker's implied probability (%). Compare this to the AI's confidence — if AI confidence is higher than implied %, that's a potential value opportunity.
3
Study the Stats
The ▲ arrows show which team has the statistical edge. Check form, H2H history, and season stats before deciding. A 🔥 Excellent form team with H2H dominance is a stronger pick.
4
Place Your Bet
Use a bookmaker below. Find the match → go to the market shown on the tip → select the outcome → confirm your stake.
⚠️ Gamble responsibly. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. Tips are AI-generated for entertainment — not guaranteed outcomes.
🎚 Confidence Tiers
80%
75%+ — Strong Pick
High AI conviction. Prioritise these.
70%
65–74% — Decent Pick
Good signal, some uncertainty remains.
55%
Below 65% — Speculative
Lower confidence. Smaller stakes advised.
📚 Market Glossary
1X2 — Home Win / Draw / Away Win
Over 2.5 — 3 or more goals total in the match
Under 2.5 — 2 or fewer goals total in the match
BTTS Yes — Both teams each score ≥1 goal
Double Chance — Covers 2 outcomes, lower risk & lower odds
Draw No Bet — Win if your team wins; stake back on draw
⭐ Value Bet — AI thinks odds are higher than they should be
Implied % — The bookmaker's probability (1 ÷ odds × 100)
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