Serie A
Atalanta
😐 Mixed · 5/15 pts
VS
18:45
Genoa
😐 Mixed · 6/15 pts
Home 45%
Draw 45%
Away 10%
🗓 Sat 02 May 2026, 18:45
📍 New Balance Arena, Bergamo 🏆 Regular Season - 35
🎯 Our AI Picks
2 tips
AI-ranked by confidence
Under 2.5 Goals
HIGH CONF
Under 2.5
Odds
1.20
Implied
≈83%
The H2H record strongly supports a low-scoring match, with only 30% of meetings going over 2.5 goals and 0% BTTS in the last 10. Atalanta's declining form (0.67 PPG last 3) and Genoa's improving but still modest away record (25% win rate) suggest a tight contest. The implied probability of 83% is slightly below my assessed 85%, but the edge is minimal, so this is not a value bet.
💡 Total goals stay below the line
85%
conf.
Strong
BTTS No
HIGH CONF
No
Odds
1.28
Implied
≈78%
The H2H trend is extremely strong, with zero BTTS occurrences in the last 10 meetings, indicating both teams struggle to score simultaneously. Atalanta's solid defense (0.94 goals conceded per game) and Genoa's modest away scoring further support this. The implied probability of 78% is close to my assessed 80%, so no significant value.
💡 Both teams must score
80%
conf.
Strong
✅ 2 high-confidence picks
AI-generated · Gamble responsibly
📊 Odds & Implied %
Bookmaker's probability
Match Result — 1X2
Atalanta
1.60
≈63%
Draw
4.00
≈25%
Genoa
5.50
≈18%
Goals Total — Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
4.33
≈23%
Under 2.5
1.20
≈83%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)
Yes ✓
3.50
≈29%
No ✗
1.28
≈78%
🏟 Form & Head-to-Head
Recent Form (last 5 games)
Atalanta
L
D
D
L
W
😐 Mixed
Genoa
L
W
W
L
L
😐 Mixed
Head-to-Head — Last 10 meetings
7
3
Atalanta: 7W (70%)
Draws: 3 (30%)
Genoa: 0W (0%)
Dec 2025
Genoa
vs
Atalanta
0 - 1
Dec 2025
Atalanta
vs
Genoa
4 - 0
May 2025
Genoa
vs
Atalanta
2 - 3
Oct 2024
Atalanta
vs
Genoa
5 - 1
Feb 2024
Genoa
vs
Atalanta
1 - 4
📈 Season Stats
Atalanta
Genoa
47
▲
⚽
Goals Scored
Goals Scored
40
32
▲
🥅
Goals Conceded
Goals Conceded
48
14
▲
🏆
Wins
Wins
10
7
▲
🏅
Position
Position
14
📊 Atalanta leads on 4/4 stats
🎯 AI Match Verdict
Top pick:
Under 2.5
Under 2.5 Goals · 85% conf.
Odds
1.20
Confidence
85%
🗳️ Fan Poll
0 votes
What's your prediction?
Atalanta
33%
Draw
34%
Genoa
33%
📖 How to Use
1
Check AI Picks
Look for 75%+ confidence (green ring) — our strongest signals.
2
Study Stats
▲ arrows show statistical edges. 🔥 Excellent form = stronger pick.
3
Place Your Bet
Use a bookmaker below → find the market → select the outcome.
⚠️ Gamble responsibly. Never bet more than you can afford.
🎚 Confidence Tiers
80%
75%+ — Strong
High AI conviction
70%
65–74% — Decent
Some uncertainty
55%
Below 65% — Speculative
Smaller stakes advised
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