Major League Soccer
Austin
⚠️ Poor · 4/15 pts
VS
21:30
St. Louis City
😐 Mixed · 7/15 pts
Home 10%
Draw 45%
Away 45%
🗓 Sun 03 May 2026, 21:30
📍 Q2 Stadium 🏆 Regular Season - 11
🎯 Our AI Picks
2 tips
AI-ranked by confidence
Under 2.5 Goals
HIGH CONF
Under 2.5
Odds
1.22
Implied
≈82%
The H2H record shows a strong under 2.5 trend with only 1 of 7 meetings going over (14%). Both Austin at home and St. Louis City away have recorded 0% over 2.5 rates this season across 5 games each. The implied probability of 82% is slightly below my assessed 85%, but the edge is under 5 points so this is not a value bet.
💡 Total goals stay below the line
82%
conf.
Strong
BTTS No
HIGH CONF
No
Odds
1.36
Implied
≈74%
The H2H record is extremely strong for BTTS No with 0% occurrence in 7 meetings. Both teams have also recorded 0% BTTS in their respective home and away games this season. St. Louis City's attack has been poor with only 9 goals in 9 games, while Austin's defence is leaky but the historical pattern dominates.
💡 Both teams must score
80%
conf.
Strong
✅ 2 high-confidence picks
AI-generated · Gamble responsibly
📊 Odds & Implied %
Bookmaker's probability
Match Result — 1X2
Austin
2.50
≈40%
Draw
3.30
≈30%
St. Louis City
2.62
≈38%
Goals Total — Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
4.00
≈25%
Under 2.5
1.22
≈82%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)
Yes ✓
3.00
≈33%
No ✗
1.36
≈74%
🏟 Form & Head-to-Head
Recent Form (last 5 games)
Austin
W
L
D
L
L
⚠️ Poor
St. Louis City
W
L
L
W
D
😐 Mixed
Head-to-Head — Last 7 meetings
1
1
5
Austin: 1W (14%)
Draws: 1 (14%)
St. Louis City: 5W (72%)
Feb 2026
St. Louis City
vs
Austin
1 - 0
Oct 2025
Austin
vs
St. Louis City
1 - 3
Mar 2025
St. Louis City
vs
Austin
0 - 1
Apr 2024
St. Louis City
vs
Austin
1 - 0
Mar 2024
Austin
vs
St. Louis City
2 - 2
📈 Season Stats
Austin
St. Louis City
14
▲
⚽
Goals Scored
Goals Scored
9
19
🥅
Goals Conceded
Goals Conceded
▲ 16
2
▲
🏆
Wins
Wins
1
13
▲
🏅
Position
Position
14
📊 Austin leads on 3/4 stats
🎯 AI Match Verdict
Top pick:
Under 2.5
Under 2.5 Goals · 82% conf.
Odds
1.22
Confidence
82%
🗳️ Fan Poll
0 votes
What's your prediction?
Austin
33%
Draw
34%
St. Louis City
33%
📖 How to Use
1
Check AI Picks
Look for 75%+ confidence (green ring) — our strongest signals.
2
Study Stats
▲ arrows show statistical edges. 🔥 Excellent form = stronger pick.
3
Place Your Bet
Use a bookmaker below → find the market → select the outcome.
⚠️ Gamble responsibly. Never bet more than you can afford.
🎚 Confidence Tiers
80%
75%+ — Strong
High AI conviction
70%
65–74% — Decent
Some uncertainty
55%
Below 65% — Speculative
Smaller stakes advised
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