Home › J1 League › Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima

J1 League

Avispa Fukuoka

👍 Good · 10/15 pts

05:00

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

😐 Mixed · 7/15 pts

Home 10% Draw 45% Away 45%

🗓 Wed 29 Apr 2026, 05:00 📍 Best Denki Stadium, Fukuoka 🏆 Regular Season - 13

🎯 Our AI Picks for This Match

AI-ranked by confidence · only the bets worth considering

3 tips

Under 2.5 Goals HIGH CONFIDENCE

Under 2.5

Odds

1.14

Implied chance

≈88%

The H2H record is extremely low-scoring with only 1 of 10 meetings exceeding 2.5 goals and 0% BTTS rate. Avispa Fukuoka's home games have also seen under 2.5 in all 6 matches this season. Both teams have full squads available, but the historical pattern strongly supports a low-scoring affair.

💡 Bet on whether total goals scored stay below the line

85% conf.

Strong

BTTS No HIGH CONFIDENCE

BTTS No

Odds

1.22

Implied chance

≈82%

The H2H record shows zero BTTS in the last 10 meetings, a remarkable defensive trend. Both teams have also failed to see BTTS in any of their home/away games this season (Avispa 0/6 home, Hiroshima 0/5 away). With full squads available, the pattern of one team dominating defensively is likely to continue.

💡 Both teams must score at least 1 goal each

82% conf.

Strong

Double Chance HIGH CONFIDENCE

X2 (Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima)

Odds

1.12

Implied chance

≈89%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima holds a statistical advantage in attack (54%), defence (55%), and H2H (60%). Avispa Fukuoka's form is declining while Hiroshima's is improving, and the away side is higher in the table (4th vs 9th). The implied probability of 89% matches the assessed probability, making this a fair reflection but not a value bet.

💡 Double Chance — covers two of the three possible outcomes

75% conf.

Strong

✅ 3 high-confidence picks (75%+)

All tips generated by AI · Gamble responsibly

📊 Odds & Implied Probability Opening odds · % = bookmaker's implied likelihood

Match Result — 1X2

Avispa Fukuoka

4.75

≈21% chance

Draw

3.50

≈29% chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

1.75

≈57% chance

Bookmaker margin: 7% · Lower margin = better value for bettors

Goals Total — Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5 goals

5.50

≈18% chance

Under 2.5 goals

1.14

≈88% chance

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)

Yes — both score ✓

4.00

≈25% chance

No — clean sheet ✗

1.22

≈82% chance

Other Totals

Over 1.5

2.38

≈42%

Under 1.5

1.53

≈65%

Over 3.5

15.00

≈7%

Under 3.5

1.03

≈97%

Over 4.5

9.00

≈11%

Under 4.5

1.07

≈93%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

1.53

Away or Draw

1.12

Home or Away

1.67

🏟 Form & Head-to-Head

Recent Form (last 5 games · W=Win D=Draw L=Loss)

Avispa Fukuoka

L W D W W

👍 Good (10/15 pts)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

W W D L L

😐 Mixed (7/15 pts)

Head-to-Head — Last 10 meetings

Avispa Fukuoka: 2W (20%) Draws: 2 (20%) Sanfrecce Hiroshima: 6W (60%)

Apr 2026 Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka 0 - 1

Sep 2025 Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1 - 2

Jun 2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka 2 - 1

Jun 2025 Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1 - 0

May 2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka 2 - 1

📈 Season Stats Comparison ▲ = statistical edge

Avispa Fukuoka

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

⚽
Goals Scored

▲ 19

🥅
Goals Conceded

▲ 15

🏆
Wins

▲ 7

🏅
League Position

▲ 4

📊 Sanfrecce Hiroshima leads on 4/4 comparable stats

🔮 Statistical Model Predictions API-Football algorithm — reference data

Home Win

10%

Draw

45%

Away Win

45%

Statistical favourite: Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Category Comparison

50%

📋 Form

50%

46%

⚔️ Attack

54%

45%

🛡 Defence

55%

40%

🔁 H2H

60%

44.3%

🎯 Overall

55.7%

🎯 AI Match Verdict

Top recommended bet:

Under 2.5

Under 2.5 Goals · 85% confidence

Odds

1.14

AI confidence

85%

+ 2 more tips — scroll down ↓

🗳️ Fan Poll 0 votes

What's your prediction?

Avispa Fukuoka 33%

Draw 34%

Sanfrecce Hiro... 33%

📖 How to Use This Page

Check Our AI Picks

Look for tips with 75%+ confidence (green ring). These are our strongest signals. ⭐ Value Bet means the odds may be higher than expected.

Understand the Odds

Each odds cell shows the bookmaker's implied probability (%). Compare this to the AI's confidence — if AI confidence is higher than implied %, that's a potential value opportunity.

Study the Stats

The ▲ arrows show which team has the statistical edge. Check form, H2H history, and season stats before deciding. A 🔥 Excellent form team with H2H dominance is a stronger pick.

Place Your Bet

Use a bookmaker below. Find the match → go to the market shown on the tip → select the outcome → confirm your stake.

⚠️ Gamble responsibly. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. Tips are AI-generated for entertainment — not guaranteed outcomes.

🎚 Confidence Tiers

80%

75%+ — Strong Pick

High AI conviction. Prioritise these.

70%

65–74% — Decent Pick

Good signal, some uncertainty remains.

55%

Below 65% — Speculative

Lower confidence. Smaller stakes advised.

📚 Market Glossary

1X2 — Home Win / Draw / Away Win

Over 2.5 — 3 or more goals total in the match

Under 2.5 — 2 or fewer goals total in the match

BTTS Yes — Both teams each score ≥1 goal

Double Chance — Covers 2 outcomes, lower risk & lower odds

Draw No Bet — Win if your team wins; stake back on draw

⭐ Value Bet — AI thinks odds are higher than they should be

Implied % — The bookmaker's probability (1 ÷ odds × 100)

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