Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
Berceo
😐 Mixed · 6/15 pts
VS
18:00
Yagüe
⚠️ Poor · 2/15 pts
Home 35%
Draw 35%
Away 30%
🗓 Thu 30 Apr 2026, 18:00
📍 Estadio El Salvador, Logroño 🏆 Group 16 - 33
🎯 Our AI Picks for This Match
2 tips
AI-ranked by confidence · only the bets worth considering
Under 2.5 Goals
HIGH CONFIDENCE
Under 2.5
The H2H record shows only 1 of 9 meetings (11%) went over 2.5 goals, and 0 of 9 had both teams scoring. Both Berceo at home and Yagüe away have a 0% over 2.5 rate this season, with average goals conceded around 1.5 per game. These three independent signals strongly point to a low-scoring match.
💡 Bet on whether total goals scored stay below the line
80%
conf.
Strong
BTTS No
HIGH CONFIDENCE
No
Historically, none of the last 9 H2H matches saw both teams score. This season, Berceo at home and Yagüe away both have a 0% BTTS rate, and Yagüe averages 0 goals per away game. The pattern strongly suggests at least one team fails to score.
💡 Both teams must score at least 1 goal each
78%
conf.
Strong
✅ 2 high-confidence picks (75%+)
All tips generated by AI · Gamble responsibly
🏟 Form & Head-to-Head
Recent Form (last 5 games · W=Win D=Draw L=Loss)
Berceo
L
L
W
W
L
😐 Mixed
(6/15 pts)
Yagüe
D
L
L
D
L
⚠️ Poor
(2/15 pts) Head-to-Head — Last 9 meetings
3
2
4
Berceo: 3W (33%)
Draws: 2 (22%)
Yagüe: 4W (45%)
Jan 2026
Yagüe
vs
Berceo
2 - 2
Feb 2025
Yagüe
vs
Berceo
0 - 1
Sep 2024
Berceo
vs
Yagüe
0 - 1
Jan 2023
Yagüe
vs
Berceo
2 - 1
Sep 2022
Berceo
vs
Yagüe
0 - 1
📈 Season Stats Comparison
▲ = statistical edge
Berceo
Yagüe
39
⚽
Goals Scored
Goals Scored
▲ 44
48
🥅
Goals Conceded
Goals Conceded
▲ 46
9
🏆
Wins
Wins
9
12
🏅
League Position
League Position
▲ 9
📊 Yagüe leads on 3/3 comparable stats
🔮 Statistical Model Predictions
API-Football algorithm — reference data
Home Win
35%
Draw
35%
Away Win
30%
Statistical favourite:
Berceo
Category Comparison
75%
📋 Form
25%
75%
⚔️ Attack
25%
50%
🛡 Defence
50%
29%
🔁 H2H
71%
53.7%
🎯 Overall
46.3%
🎯 AI Match Verdict
Top recommended bet:
Under 2.5
Under 2.5 Goals · 80% confidence
+ 1 more tip — scroll down ↓
🗳️ Fan Poll
0 votes
What's your prediction?
Berceo
33%
Draw
34%
Yagüe
33%
📖 How to Use This Page
1
Check Our AI Picks
Look for tips with 75%+ confidence (green ring). These are our strongest signals. ⭐ Value Bet means the odds may be higher than expected.
2
Understand the Odds
Each odds cell shows the bookmaker's implied probability (%). Compare this to the AI's confidence — if AI confidence is higher than implied %, that's a potential value opportunity.
3
Study the Stats
The ▲ arrows show which team has the statistical edge. Check form, H2H history, and season stats before deciding. A 🔥 Excellent form team with H2H dominance is a stronger pick.
4
Place Your Bet
Use a bookmaker below. Find the match → go to the market shown on the tip → select the outcome → confirm your stake.
⚠️ Gamble responsibly. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. Tips are AI-generated for entertainment — not guaranteed outcomes.
🎚 Confidence Tiers
80%
75%+ — Strong Pick
High AI conviction. Prioritise these.
70%
65–74% — Decent Pick
Good signal, some uncertainty remains.
55%
Below 65% — Speculative
Lower confidence. Smaller stakes advised.
📚 Market Glossary
1X2 — Home Win / Draw / Away Win
Over 2.5 — 3 or more goals total in the match
Under 2.5 — 2 or fewer goals total in the match
BTTS Yes — Both teams each score ≥1 goal
Double Chance — Covers 2 outcomes, lower risk & lower odds
Draw No Bet — Win if your team wins; stake back on draw
⭐ Value Bet — AI thinks odds are higher than they should be
Implied % — The bookmaker's probability (1 ÷ odds × 100)
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