Home › Süper Lig › Beşiktaş vs Fatih Karagümrük

Süper Lig

Beşiktaş

👍 Good · 9/15 pts

17:00

Fatih Karagümrük

😐 Mixed · 6/15 pts

Home 45% Draw 45% Away 10%

🗓 Mon 27 Apr 2026, 17:00 📍 Besiktas Park, Istanbul 🏆 Regular Season - 31 👨‍⚖️ B. Kolak

🎯 Our AI Picks for This Match

AI-ranked by confidence · only the bets worth considering

3 tips

1X2 HIGH CONFIDENCE

Beşiktaş

Odds

1.33

Implied chance

≈75%

Beşiktaş have a strong home record (60% win rate) while Fatih Karagümrük have only 1 away win all season (7%). The statistical comparison heavily favors Beşiktaş (70.3% overall advantage) and H2H history shows clear dominance. Despite the odds implying 75% probability, the assessed probability of 80% is supported by multiple strong signals.

💡 Bet on the match result — Home Win, Draw or Away Win

80% conf.

Strong

BTTS HIGH CONFIDENCE

Odds

1.30

Implied chance

≈77%

The H2H record is extremely strong for BTTS No, with 0 of the last 10 meetings seeing both teams score. Fatih Karagümrük's attack is the second-worst in the league (27 goals in 30 games), making it unlikely they score against a Beşiktaş side that has kept clean sheets in key home matches. The implied probability of 77% aligns with the assessed probability, offering no value but solid confidence.

💡 Both teams must score at least 1 goal each

75% conf.

Strong

Under 2.5 Goals

Under 2.5

Odds

1.28

Implied chance

≈78%

Historical H2H data strongly supports under 2.5 goals, with only 20% of meetings exceeding that threshold. Fatih Karagümrük's poor attacking output (27 goals in 30 games) limits the total goal potential. The odds imply 78% probability, matching the assessed probability, so no value but a reliable selection based on consistent patterns.

💡 Bet on whether total goals scored stay below the line

70% conf.

Decent

✅ 2 high-confidence picks (75%+)

All tips generated by AI · Gamble responsibly

📊 Odds & Implied Probability Opening odds · % = bookmaker's implied likelihood

Match Result — 1X2

Beşiktaş

1.33

≈75% chance

Draw

5.25

≈19% chance

Fatih Karagümrük

8.00

≈13% chance

Bookmaker margin: 7% · Lower margin = better value for bettors

Goals Total — Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5 goals

3.50

≈29% chance

Under 2.5 goals

1.28

≈78% chance

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)

Yes — both score ✓

3.40

≈29% chance

No — clean sheet ✗

1.30

≈77% chance

Other Totals

Over 1.5

1.80

≈56%

Under 1.5

1.91

≈52%

Over 3.5

8.00

≈13%

Under 3.5

1.08

≈93%

Over 4.5

21.00

≈5%

Under 4.5

1.01

≈99%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

1.07

Away or Draw

2.00

Home or Away

1.44

🏟 Form & Head-to-Head

Recent Form (last 5 games · W=Win D=Draw L=Loss)

Beşiktaş

W L W L W

👍 Good (9/15 pts)

Fatih Karagümrük

L L W L W

😐 Mixed (6/15 pts)

Head-to-Head — Last 10 meetings

Beşiktaş: 6W (60%) Draws: 3 (30%) Fatih Karagümrük: 1W (10%)

Nov 2025 Fatih Karagümrük vs Beşiktaş 0 - 2

Mar 2024 Beşiktaş vs Fatih Karagümrük 1 - 1

Jan 2024 Beşiktaş vs Fatih Karagümrük 3 - 0

Aug 2023 Fatih Karagümrük vs Beşiktaş 0 - 1

Jan 2023 Fatih Karagümrük vs Beşiktaş 1 - 1

📈 Season Stats Comparison ▲ = statistical edge

Beşiktaş

Fatih Karagümrük

54 ▲

⚽
Goals Scored

36 ▲

🥅
Goals Conceded

16 ▲

🏆
Wins

4 ▲

🏅
League Position

📊 Beşiktaş leads on 4/4 comparable stats

🔮 Statistical Model Predictions API-Football algorithm — reference data

Home Win

45%

Draw

45%

Away Win

10%

Statistical favourite: Beşiktaş

Category Comparison

60%

📋 Form

40%

64%

⚔️ Attack

36%

54%

🛡 Defence

46%

85%

🔁 H2H

15%

70.3%

🎯 Overall

29.7%

🎯 AI Match Verdict

Top recommended bet:

Beşiktaş

1X2 · 80% confidence

Odds

1.33

AI confidence

80%

+ 2 more tips — scroll down ↓

🗳️ Fan Poll 0 votes

What's your prediction?

Beşiktaş 33%

Draw 34%

Fatih Karagümr... 33%

📖 How to Use This Page

Check Our AI Picks

Look for tips with 75%+ confidence (green ring). These are our strongest signals. ⭐ Value Bet means the odds may be higher than expected.

Understand the Odds

Each odds cell shows the bookmaker's implied probability (%). Compare this to the AI's confidence — if AI confidence is higher than implied %, that's a potential value opportunity.

Study the Stats

The ▲ arrows show which team has the statistical edge. Check form, H2H history, and season stats before deciding. A 🔥 Excellent form team with H2H dominance is a stronger pick.

Place Your Bet

Use a bookmaker below. Find the match → go to the market shown on the tip → select the outcome → confirm your stake.

⚠️ Gamble responsibly. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. Tips are AI-generated for entertainment — not guaranteed outcomes.

🎚 Confidence Tiers

80%

75%+ — Strong Pick

High AI conviction. Prioritise these.

70%

65–74% — Decent Pick

Good signal, some uncertainty remains.

55%

Below 65% — Speculative

Lower confidence. Smaller stakes advised.

📚 Market Glossary

1X2 — Home Win / Draw / Away Win

Over 2.5 — 3 or more goals total in the match

Under 2.5 — 2 or fewer goals total in the match

BTTS Yes — Both teams each score ≥1 goal

Double Chance — Covers 2 outcomes, lower risk & lower odds

Draw No Bet — Win if your team wins; stake back on draw

⭐ Value Bet — AI thinks odds are higher than they should be

Implied % — The bookmaker's probability (1 ÷ odds × 100)

🏦 Bet With The Best

Bet9ja

100% Welcome Bonus up to ₦100,000

BET NOW

SportyBet

100% First Deposit Bonus up to ₦50,000

BET NOW

BetKing

100% Welcome Bonus up to ₦50,000

BET NOW

NairaBet

10% Welcome Bonus up to ₦250,000

BET NOW

← Back to all fixtures