Home › New South Wales NPL › Blacktown City vs NWS Spirit

New South Wales NPL

Blacktown City

⚠️ Poor · 2/15 pts

05:00

NWS Spirit

😐 Mixed · 7/15 pts

Home 10% Draw 45% Away 45%

🗓 Sun 26 Apr 2026, 05:00 📍 Landen Stadium, Sydney 🏆 Regular Season - 12

🎯 Our AI Picks for This Match

AI-ranked by confidence · only the bets worth considering

2 tips

Double Chance HIGH CONFIDENCE

X2 (Draw or NWS Spirit)

Odds

1.36

Implied chance

≈74%

Blacktown City has lost 4 of 5 home games with a 0% win rate, while NWS Spirit has a 40% away win rate and is significantly higher in the standings. The statistical comparison heavily favors NWS Spirit (70.7% overall), and H2H dominance (5 wins in last 6) supports a draw or away win. The implied probability of 74% is close to my assessed 75%, so no value bet, but confidence is solid at 75%.

💡 Double Chance — covers two of the three possible outcomes

75% conf.

Strong

Double Chance

12 (Blacktown City or NWS Spirit)

Odds

1.57

Implied chance

≈64%

The H2H record shows no draws in the last 6 meetings, and both teams have a tendency to produce decisive results. Blacktown City's poor home form (0 wins in 5) and NWS Spirit's solid away record (40% win rate) suggest a winner is likely. My assessed probability of 70% exceeds the implied 64%, but the edge is only 6 percentage points, and confidence is moderate at 70%.

💡 Double Chance — covers two of the three possible outcomes

70% conf.

Decent

✅ 1 high-confidence pick (75%+)

All tips generated by AI · Gamble responsibly

📊 Odds & Implied Probability Opening odds · % = bookmaker's implied likelihood

Match Result — 1X2

Blacktown City

2.40

≈42% chance

Draw

3.40

≈29% chance

NWS Spirit

2.40

≈42% chance

Bookmaker margin: 13% · Lower margin = better value for bettors

Goals Total — Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5 goals

3.75

≈27% chance

Under 2.5 goals

1.25

≈80% chance

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)

Yes — both score ✓

3.00

≈33% chance

No — clean sheet ✗

1.36

≈74% chance

Other Totals

Over 1.5

1.83

≈55%

Under 1.5

1.83

≈55%

Over 3.5

9.00

≈11%

Under 3.5

1.07

≈93%

Over 4.5

21.00

≈5%

Under 4.5

1.01

≈99%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

1.36

Away or Draw

1.36

Home or Away

1.57

🏟 Form & Head-to-Head

Recent Form (last 5 games · W=Win D=Draw L=Loss)

Blacktown City

D L D L L

⚠️ Poor (2/15 pts)

NWS Spirit

L D W W L

😐 Mixed (7/15 pts)

Head-to-Head — Last 6 meetings

Blacktown City: 1W (17%) Draws: 0 (0%) NWS Spirit: 5W (83%)

May 2025 NWS Spirit vs Blacktown City 4 - 1

Feb 2025 Blacktown City vs NWS Spirit 0 - 4

Aug 2024 NWS Spirit vs Blacktown City 4 - 2

May 2024 Blacktown City vs NWS Spirit 3 - 1

Jun 2023 NWS Spirit vs Blacktown City 3 - 2

📈 Season Stats Comparison ▲ = statistical edge

Blacktown City

NWS Spirit

⚽
Goals Scored

🥅
Goals Conceded

▲ 15

🏆
Wins

▲ 5

🏅
League Position

▲ 6

📊 NWS Spirit leads on 3/3 comparable stats

🔮 Statistical Model Predictions API-Football algorithm — reference data

Home Win

10%

Draw

45%

Away Win

45%

Statistical favourite: NWS Spirit

Category Comparison

22%

📋 Form

78%

43%

⚔️ Attack

57%

39%

🛡 Defence

61%

20%

🔁 H2H

80%

29.3%

🎯 Overall

70.7%

🎯 AI Match Verdict

Top recommended bet:

X2 (Draw or NWS Spirit)

Double Chance · 75% confidence

Odds

1.36

AI confidence

75%

+ 1 more tip — scroll down ↓

🗳️ Fan Poll 0 votes

What's your prediction?

Blacktown City 33%

Draw 34%

NWS Spirit 33%

📖 How to Use This Page

Check Our AI Picks

Look for tips with 75%+ confidence (green ring). These are our strongest signals. ⭐ Value Bet means the odds may be higher than expected.

Understand the Odds

Each odds cell shows the bookmaker's implied probability (%). Compare this to the AI's confidence — if AI confidence is higher than implied %, that's a potential value opportunity.

Study the Stats

The ▲ arrows show which team has the statistical edge. Check form, H2H history, and season stats before deciding. A 🔥 Excellent form team with H2H dominance is a stronger pick.

Place Your Bet

Use a bookmaker below. Find the match → go to the market shown on the tip → select the outcome → confirm your stake.

⚠️ Gamble responsibly. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. Tips are AI-generated for entertainment — not guaranteed outcomes.

🎚 Confidence Tiers

80%

75%+ — Strong Pick

High AI conviction. Prioritise these.

70%

65–74% — Decent Pick

Good signal, some uncertainty remains.

55%

Below 65% — Speculative

Lower confidence. Smaller stakes advised.

📚 Market Glossary

1X2 — Home Win / Draw / Away Win

Over 2.5 — 3 or more goals total in the match

Under 2.5 — 2 or fewer goals total in the match

BTTS Yes — Both teams each score ≥1 goal

Double Chance — Covers 2 outcomes, lower risk & lower odds

Draw No Bet — Win if your team wins; stake back on draw

⭐ Value Bet — AI thinks odds are higher than they should be

Implied % — The bookmaker's probability (1 ÷ odds × 100)

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