Boluspor
Serik Spor
Boluspor's home record (9W/1D/8L) combined with Serik Spor's weak away form (5W/5D/8L) makes the home win or draw highly probable. The 1.2 odds offer limited value but the assessed probability of 85% exceeds the implied 83%, though not enough for a value bet flag.
Despite missing home scoring data, Boluspor have conceded in all 18 home games (100% rate) and Serik Spor have conceded in all 18 away games (100% rate). With both defenses porous and the match having relegation implications, goals are likely. The 1.6 odds imply 63% probability but our model sees 72% due to the defensive vulnerabilities.
Boluspor have failed to keep a clean sheet in any home game this season (0 in 18), making a win to nil highly unlikely. Despite Serik Spor's weak attack, the data strongly suggests Boluspor will concede. Confidence is low due to the clean sheet record.
Goals Scored
Goals Conceded
Wins
Position