Primeira Liga
Casa Pia
⚠️ Poor · 3/15 pts
VS
18:00
SC Braga
🔥 Excellent · 11/15 pts
Home 10%
Draw 45%
Away 45%
🗓 Thu 23 Apr 2026, 18:00
📍 Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Maior 🏆 Regular Season - 26
🤖
AI Tips Not Available Yet
Our AI hasn't analysed this match yet. The scheduler runs daily — check back closer to kick-off.
📊 Odds & Implied Probability
Opening odds · % = bookmaker's implied likelihood
Match Result — 1X2
Casa Pia
5.25
≈19% chance
Draw
4.00
≈25% chance
SC Braga
1.60
≈63% chance
Bookmaker margin: 7% · Lower margin = better value for bettors
Goals Total — Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5 goals
5.00
≈20% chance
Under 2.5 goals
1.17
≈85% chance
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)
Yes — both score ✓
3.75
≈27% chance
No — clean sheet ✗
1.25
≈80% chance
Other Totals
Over 1.5
2.20
≈45%
Under 1.5
1.62
≈62%
Over 3.5
13.00
≈8%
Under 3.5
1.04
≈96%
Over 4.5
7.00
≈14%
Under 4.5
1.10
≈91%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
1.62
Away or Draw
1.12
Home or Away
1.57
🏟 Form & Head-to-Head
Recent Form (last 5 games · W=Win D=Draw L=Loss)
Casa Pia
D
L
D
L
D
⚠️ Poor
(3/15 pts)
SC Braga
D
W
W
D
W
🔥 Excellent
(11/15 pts) Head-to-Head — Last 9 meetings
3
1
5
Casa Pia: 3W (33%)
Draws: 1 (11%)
SC Braga: 5W (56%)
Oct 2025
SC Braga
vs
Casa Pia
4 - 0
May 2025
Casa Pia
vs
SC Braga
2 - 1
Dec 2024
SC Braga
vs
Casa Pia
1 - 2
May 2024
SC Braga
vs
Casa Pia
4 - 3
Dec 2023
Casa Pia
vs
SC Braga
1 - 3
📈 Season Stats Comparison
▲ = statistical edge
Casa Pia
SC Braga
28
⚽
Goals Scored
Goals Scored
▲ 57
52
🥅
Goals Conceded
Goals Conceded
▲ 29
5
🏆
Wins
Wins
▲ 15
16
🏅
League Position
League Position
▲ 4
📊 SC Braga leads on 4/4 comparable stats
🔮 Statistical Model Predictions
API-Football algorithm — reference data
Home Win
10%
Draw
45%
Away Win
45%
Statistical favourite:
SC Braga
Category Comparison
27%
📋 Form
73%
22%
⚔️ Attack
78%
43%
🛡 Defence
57%
40%
🔁 H2H
60%
32.3%
🎯 Overall
67.7%
🗳️ Fan Poll
0 votes
What's your prediction?
Casa Pia
33%
Draw
34%
SC Braga
33%
📖 How to Use This Page
1
Check Our AI Picks
Look for tips with 75%+ confidence (green ring). These are our strongest signals. ⭐ Value Bet means the odds may be higher than expected.
2
Understand the Odds
Each odds cell shows the bookmaker's implied probability (%). Compare this to the AI's confidence — if AI confidence is higher than implied %, that's a potential value opportunity.
3
Study the Stats
The ▲ arrows show which team has the statistical edge. Check form, H2H history, and season stats before deciding. A 🔥 Excellent form team with H2H dominance is a stronger pick.
4
Place Your Bet
Use a bookmaker below. Find the match → go to the market shown on the tip → select the outcome → confirm your stake.
⚠️ Gamble responsibly. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. Tips are AI-generated for entertainment — not guaranteed outcomes.
🎚 Confidence Tiers
80%
75%+ — Strong Pick
High AI conviction. Prioritise these.
70%
65–74% — Decent Pick
Good signal, some uncertainty remains.
55%
Below 65% — Speculative
Lower confidence. Smaller stakes advised.
📚 Market Glossary
1X2 — Home Win / Draw / Away Win
Over 2.5 — 3 or more goals total in the match
Under 2.5 — 2 or fewer goals total in the match
BTTS Yes — Both teams each score ≥1 goal
Double Chance — Covers 2 outcomes, lower risk & lower odds
Draw No Bet — Win if your team wins; stake back on draw
⭐ Value Bet — AI thinks odds are higher than they should be
Implied % — The bookmaker's probability (1 ÷ odds × 100)
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