Serie C
Caxias
😐 Mixed · 6/15 pts
VS
23:00
Ypiranga-RS
👍 Good · 10/15 pts
Home 10%
Draw 45%
Away 45%
🗓 Mon 27 Apr 2026, 23:00
📍 Estadio Francisco Stedile, Caxias do Sul 🏆 Regular Season - 4
🎯 Our AI Picks for This Match
2 tips
AI-ranked by confidence · only the bets worth considering
Under 2.5 Goals
HIGH CONFIDENCE
Under 2.5
Odds
1.08
Implied chance
≈93%
Historical H2H data shows extremely low scoring, with only 1 of 9 matches exceeding 2.5 goals and an average of 1.22 goals per game. BTTS has never occurred in these meetings, reinforcing a strong under trend. The implied probability of 93% aligns with the assessed probability, confirming no value but high confidence.
💡 Bet on whether total goals scored stay below the line
85%
conf.
Strong
BTTS No
HIGH CONFIDENCE
No
Odds
1.14
Implied chance
≈88%
In 9 H2H meetings, both teams have never scored, indicating a strong pattern of at least one team failing to find the net. The low average goals per game (1.22) further supports this. Despite Ypiranga-RS's attacking advantage in form, the H2H record is the dominant signal.
💡 Both teams must score at least 1 goal each
85%
conf.
Strong
✅ 2 high-confidence picks (75%+)
All tips generated by AI · Gamble responsibly
📊 Odds & Implied Probability
Opening odds · % = bookmaker's implied likelihood
Match Result — 1X2
Caxias
1.85
≈54% chance
Draw
2.90
≈34% chance
Ypiranga-RS
4.20
≈24% chance
Bookmaker margin: 12% · Lower margin = better value for bettors
Goals Total — Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5 goals
8.00
≈13% chance
Under 2.5 goals
1.08
≈93% chance
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)
Yes — both score ✓
5.50
≈18% chance
No — clean sheet ✗
1.14
≈88% chance
Other Totals
Over 1.5
2.75
≈36%
Under 1.5
1.40
≈71%
Over 3.5
21.00
≈5%
Under 3.5
1.01
≈99%
Over 4.5
9.00
≈11%
Under 4.5
1.04
≈96%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
1.12
Away or Draw
1.50
Home or Away
1.80
🏟 Form & Head-to-Head
Recent Form (last 5 games · W=Win D=Draw L=Loss)
Caxias
L
L
W
W
L
😐 Mixed
(6/15 pts)
Ypiranga-RS
W
W
D
W
L
👍 Good
(10/15 pts) Head-to-Head — Last 9 meetings
3
3
3
Caxias: 3W (33%)
Draws: 3 (33%)
Ypiranga-RS: 3W (34%)
Feb 2026
Caxias
vs
Ypiranga-RS
0 - 2
Aug 2025
Ypiranga-RS
vs
Caxias
0 - 1
Aug 2024
Ypiranga-RS
vs
Caxias
1 - 0
Jan 2024
Ypiranga-RS
vs
Caxias
2 - 2
Mar 2023
Caxias
vs
Ypiranga-RS
3 - 0
🔮 Statistical Model Predictions
API-Football algorithm — reference data
Home Win
10%
Draw
45%
Away Win
45%
Statistical favourite:
Ypiranga-RS
Goals signal:
-3.5
Category Comparison
30%
📋 Form
70%
25%
⚔️ Attack
75%
40%
🛡 Defence
60%
50%
🔁 H2H
50%
40.0%
🎯 Overall
60.0%
🎯 AI Match Verdict
Top recommended bet:
Under 2.5
Under 2.5 Goals · 85% confidence
Odds
1.08
AI confidence
85%
+ 1 more tip — scroll down ↓
🗳️ Fan Poll
0 votes
What's your prediction?
Caxias
33%
Draw
34%
Ypiranga-RS
33%
📖 How to Use This Page
1
Check Our AI Picks
Look for tips with 75%+ confidence (green ring). These are our strongest signals. ⭐ Value Bet means the odds may be higher than expected.
2
Understand the Odds
Each odds cell shows the bookmaker's implied probability (%). Compare this to the AI's confidence — if AI confidence is higher than implied %, that's a potential value opportunity.
3
Study the Stats
The ▲ arrows show which team has the statistical edge. Check form, H2H history, and season stats before deciding. A 🔥 Excellent form team with H2H dominance is a stronger pick.
4
Place Your Bet
Use a bookmaker below. Find the match → go to the market shown on the tip → select the outcome → confirm your stake.
⚠️ Gamble responsibly. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. Tips are AI-generated for entertainment — not guaranteed outcomes.
🎚 Confidence Tiers
80%
75%+ — Strong Pick
High AI conviction. Prioritise these.
70%
65–74% — Decent Pick
Good signal, some uncertainty remains.
55%
Below 65% — Speculative
Lower confidence. Smaller stakes advised.
📚 Market Glossary
1X2 — Home Win / Draw / Away Win
Over 2.5 — 3 or more goals total in the match
Under 2.5 — 2 or fewer goals total in the match
BTTS Yes — Both teams each score ≥1 goal
Double Chance — Covers 2 outcomes, lower risk & lower odds
Draw No Bet — Win if your team wins; stake back on draw
⭐ Value Bet — AI thinks odds are higher than they should be
Implied % — The bookmaker's probability (1 ÷ odds × 100)
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