Tercera División RFEF - Group 3
Cayón
😐 Mixed · 6/15 pts
VS
10:15
Cartes
⚠️ Poor · 1/15 pts
Home 50%
Draw 50%
Away 0%
🗓 Sun 26 Apr 2026, 10:15
📍 Estadio Fernando Astobiza, Sarón, Santa María de Cayón 🏆 Group 3 - 32
🎯 Our AI Picks for This Match
2 tips
AI-ranked by confidence · only the bets worth considering
Double Chance
HIGH CONFIDENCE
Cayón or Draw
Cayón has lost only 5 of 15 home games (67% unbeaten) and is unbeaten in the last 3 H2H meetings. Cartes is in terrible form with 4 losses in 5 matches and only 3 away wins all season. The combination of home advantage, H2H dominance, and Cartes' poor away record makes Cayón or Draw a high-confidence selection at 85%.
💡 Double Chance — covers two of the three possible outcomes
85%
conf.
Strong
1X2
Cayón
Cayón's 53% home win rate and Cartes' poor 20% away win rate, combined with Cartes' dreadful form (1 point from last 5 matches) and Cayón's clear statistical advantage in attack (63%) and defence (62%), strongly favour a home win. The H2H record also favours Cayón (71% advantage). Confidence is 72% based on two strong signals and stats alignment.
💡 Bet on the match result — Home Win, Draw or Away Win
72%
conf.
Decent
✅ 1 high-confidence pick (75%+)
All tips generated by AI · Gamble responsibly
🏟 Form & Head-to-Head
Recent Form (last 5 games · W=Win D=Draw L=Loss)
Cayón
L
W
L
L
W
😐 Mixed
(6/15 pts)
Cartes
L
L
L
L
D
⚠️ Poor
(1/15 pts) Head-to-Head — Last 3 meetings
1
2
Cayón: 1W (33%)
Draws: 2 (67%)
Cartes: 0W (0%)
Dec 2025
Cartes
vs
Cayón
0 - 0
Mar 2023
Cartes
vs
Cayón
1 - 1
Nov 2022
Cayón
vs
Cartes
2 - 0
📈 Season Stats Comparison
▲ = statistical edge
Cayón
Cartes
43
▲
⚽
Goals Scored
Goals Scored
24
35
▲
🥅
Goals Conceded
Goals Conceded
47
15
▲
🏆
Wins
Wins
6
8
▲
🏅
League Position
League Position
16
📊 Cayón leads on 4/4 comparable stats
🔮 Statistical Model Predictions
API-Football algorithm — reference data
Home Win
50%
Draw
50%
Away Win
0%
Statistical favourite:
Cayón
Category Comparison
86%
📋 Form
14%
63%
⚔️ Attack
38%
62%
🛡 Defence
38%
71%
🔁 H2H
29%
71.7%
🎯 Overall
28.5%
🎯 AI Match Verdict
Top recommended bet:
Cayón or Draw
Double Chance · 85% confidence
+ 1 more tip — scroll down ↓
🗳️ Fan Poll
0 votes
What's your prediction?
Cayón
33%
Draw
34%
Cartes
33%
📖 How to Use This Page
1
Check Our AI Picks
Look for tips with 75%+ confidence (green ring). These are our strongest signals. ⭐ Value Bet means the odds may be higher than expected.
2
Understand the Odds
Each odds cell shows the bookmaker's implied probability (%). Compare this to the AI's confidence — if AI confidence is higher than implied %, that's a potential value opportunity.
3
Study the Stats
The ▲ arrows show which team has the statistical edge. Check form, H2H history, and season stats before deciding. A 🔥 Excellent form team with H2H dominance is a stronger pick.
4
Place Your Bet
Use a bookmaker below. Find the match → go to the market shown on the tip → select the outcome → confirm your stake.
⚠️ Gamble responsibly. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. Tips are AI-generated for entertainment — not guaranteed outcomes.
🎚 Confidence Tiers
80%
75%+ — Strong Pick
High AI conviction. Prioritise these.
70%
65–74% — Decent Pick
Good signal, some uncertainty remains.
55%
Below 65% — Speculative
Lower confidence. Smaller stakes advised.
📚 Market Glossary
1X2 — Home Win / Draw / Away Win
Over 2.5 — 3 or more goals total in the match
Under 2.5 — 2 or fewer goals total in the match
BTTS Yes — Both teams each score ≥1 goal
Double Chance — Covers 2 outcomes, lower risk & lower odds
Draw No Bet — Win if your team wins; stake back on draw
⭐ Value Bet — AI thinks odds are higher than they should be
Implied % — The bookmaker's probability (1 ÷ odds × 100)
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