Liga de Expansión MX
CDS Tampico Madero
🔥 Excellent · 13/15 pts
VS
03:05
Cancún
🔥 Excellent · 13/15 pts
Home 45%
Draw 45%
Away 10%
🗓 Fri 01 May 2026, 03:05
📍 Estadio Tamaulipas, Tampico-Ciudad Madero 🏆 Semi-finals
🎯 Our AI Picks
2 tips
AI-ranked by confidence
Under 2.5 Goals
⭐ VALUE HIGH CONF
Under 2.5
Odds
1.70
Implied
≈59%
Historically, these sides produce very low-scoring matches: 0 of 4 H2Hs went over 2.5 goals, averaging just 0.75 goals per game. Cancún's elite defense (0.5 goals conceded per game overall) and Tampico's unbeaten but low-scoring home profile further support a tight, low-goal semi-final. The implied probability of 59% is well below my assessed 75%, giving clear value.
💡 Total goals stay below the line
82%
conf.
Strong
Double Chance
HIGH CONF
Home or Draw (1X)
Odds
1.14
Implied
≈88%
Tampico Madero are undefeated at home (6 wins, 1 draw) and overall this season (8W, 6D, 0L), making a loss extremely unlikely. Cancún have lost only 1 of 7 away games, but Tampico's home dominance and strong form (4 straight wins) tilt the balance. However, the odds of 1.14 imply 88% probability, slightly above my assessed 85%, so no value bet.
💡 Covers two outcomes
78%
conf.
Strong
✅ 2 high-confidence picks
⭐ 1 value bets
AI-generated · Gamble responsibly
📊 Odds & Implied %
Bookmaker's probability
Match Result — 1X2
CDS Tampico Madero
1.67
≈60%
Draw
3.50
≈29%
Cancún
5.50
≈18%
Goals Total — Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
2.10
≈48%
Under 2.5
1.70
≈59%
🏟 Form & Head-to-Head
Recent Form (last 5 games)
CDS Tampico Madero
W
W
W
W
D
🔥 Excellent
Cancún
W
D
W
W
W
🔥 Excellent
Head-to-Head — Last 4 meetings
3
1
CDS Tampico Madero: 3W (75%)
Draws: 0 (0%)
Cancún: 1W (25%)
Mar 2026
Cancún
vs
CDS Tampico Madero
1 - 2
Sep 2025
CDS Tampico Madero
vs
Cancún
2 - 1
Feb 2025
CDS Tampico Madero
vs
Cancún
0 - 2
Aug 2024
Cancún
vs
CDS Tampico Madero
0 - 1
📈 Season Stats
CDS Tampico Madero
Cancún
24
⚽
Goals Scored
Goals Scored
▲ 25
15
🥅
Goals Conceded
Goals Conceded
▲ 7
8
🏆
Wins
Wins
▲ 9
3
🏅
Position
Position
▲ 2
📊 Cancún leads on 4/4 stats
🎯 AI Match Verdict
Top pick:
Under 2.5
Under 2.5 Goals · 82% conf.
Odds
1.70
Confidence
82%
🗳️ Fan Poll
0 votes
What's your prediction?
CDS Tampico Ma...
33%
Draw
34%
Cancún
33%
📖 How to Use
1
Check AI Picks
Look for 75%+ confidence (green ring) — our strongest signals.
2
Study Stats
▲ arrows show statistical edges. 🔥 Excellent form = stronger pick.
3
Place Your Bet
Use a bookmaker below → find the market → select the outcome.
⚠️ Gamble responsibly. Never bet more than you can afford.
🎚 Confidence Tiers
80%
75%+ — Strong
High AI conviction
70%
65–74% — Decent
Some uncertainty
55%
Below 65% — Speculative
Smaller stakes advised
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