CONMEBOL Libertadores
Cerro Porteno
😐 Mixed · 6/15 pts
VS
00:30
Palmeiras
🔥 Excellent · 13/15 pts
Home 10%
Draw 45%
Away 45%
🗓 Thu 30 Apr 2026, 00:30
📍 Estadio General Pablo Rojas 🏆 Group Stage - 3
🎯 Our AI Picks for This Match
2 tips
AI-ranked by confidence · only the bets worth considering
Under 2.5 Goals
HIGH CONFIDENCE
Under 2.5
Odds
1.12
Implied chance
≈89%
Historical H2H data shows extremely low scoring, with only 1 of 6 meetings exceeding 2.5 goals and no BTTS in any meeting. Cerro Porteno's defense is solid, conceding just 0.5 goals per game overall, while Palmeiras' away form shows 0 goals scored in their only away game. The under 2.5 market is heavily favored by the bookmaker at 1.12, and the assessed probability of 89% aligns with the implied probability, indicating no value but high confidence.
💡 Bet on whether total goals scored stay below the line
85%
conf.
Strong
BTTS No
HIGH CONFIDENCE
BTTS No
Odds
1.22
Implied chance
≈82%
The H2H record is a dominant signal, with both teams failing to score in all 6 previous meetings. Cerro Porteno's home games and Palmeiras' away games this season also show a 0% BTTS rate, reinforcing the pattern. The assessed probability of 82% matches the implied probability from odds of 1.22, so there is no value, but the confidence is high due to consistent data across multiple independent signals.
💡 Both teams must score at least 1 goal each
82%
conf.
Strong
✅ 2 high-confidence picks (75%+)
All tips generated by AI · Gamble responsibly
📊 Odds & Implied Probability
Opening odds · % = bookmaker's implied likelihood
Match Result — 1X2
Cerro Porteno
4.20
≈24% chance
Draw
3.25
≈31% chance
Palmeiras
1.95
≈51% chance
Bookmaker margin: 6% · Lower margin = better value for bettors
Goals Total — Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5 goals
6.00
≈17% chance
Under 2.5 goals
1.12
≈89% chance
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)
Yes — both score ✓
4.00
≈25% chance
No — clean sheet ✗
1.22
≈82% chance
Other Totals
Over 1.5
2.50
≈40%
Under 1.5
1.50
≈67%
Over 3.5
17.00
≈6%
Under 3.5
1.02
≈98%
Over 4.5
10.00
≈10%
Under 4.5
1.06
≈94%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
1.50
Away or Draw
1.17
Home or Away
1.73
🏟 Form & Head-to-Head
Recent Form (last 5 games · W=Win D=Draw L=Loss)
Cerro Porteno
D
D
W
D
L
😐 Mixed
(6/15 pts)
Palmeiras
W
W
W
W
D
🔥 Excellent
(13/15 pts) Head-to-Head — Last 6 meetings
6
Cerro Porteno: 0W (0%)
Draws: 0 (0%)
Palmeiras: 6W (100%)
May 2025
Cerro Porteno
vs
Palmeiras
0 - 2
Apr 2025
Palmeiras
vs
Cerro Porteno
1 - 0
May 2023
Cerro Porteno
vs
Palmeiras
0 - 3
Apr 2023
Palmeiras
vs
Cerro Porteno
2 - 1
Jul 2022
Palmeiras
vs
Cerro Porteno
5 - 0
📈 Season Stats Comparison
▲ = statistical edge
Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
1
⚽
Goals Scored
Goals Scored
▲ 3
1
▲
🥅
Goals Conceded
Goals Conceded
2
1
🏆
Wins
Wins
1
3
🏅
League Position
League Position
▲ 1
📊 Palmeiras leads on 2/3 comparable stats
🔮 Statistical Model Predictions
API-Football algorithm — reference data
Home Win
10%
Draw
45%
Away Win
45%
Statistical favourite:
Palmeiras
Goals signal:
-3.5
Category Comparison
43%
📋 Form
57%
25%
⚔️ Attack
75%
67%
🛡 Defence
33%
0%
🔁 H2H
100%
35.5%
🎯 Overall
64.5%
🎯 AI Match Verdict
Top recommended bet:
Under 2.5
Under 2.5 Goals · 85% confidence
Odds
1.12
AI confidence
85%
+ 1 more tip — scroll down ↓
🗳️ Fan Poll
0 votes
What's your prediction?
Cerro Porteno
33%
Draw
34%
Palmeiras
33%
📖 How to Use This Page
1
Check Our AI Picks
Look for tips with 75%+ confidence (green ring). These are our strongest signals. ⭐ Value Bet means the odds may be higher than expected.
2
Understand the Odds
Each odds cell shows the bookmaker's implied probability (%). Compare this to the AI's confidence — if AI confidence is higher than implied %, that's a potential value opportunity.
3
Study the Stats
The ▲ arrows show which team has the statistical edge. Check form, H2H history, and season stats before deciding. A 🔥 Excellent form team with H2H dominance is a stronger pick.
4
Place Your Bet
Use a bookmaker below. Find the match → go to the market shown on the tip → select the outcome → confirm your stake.
⚠️ Gamble responsibly. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. Tips are AI-generated for entertainment — not guaranteed outcomes.
🎚 Confidence Tiers
80%
75%+ — Strong Pick
High AI conviction. Prioritise these.
70%
65–74% — Decent Pick
Good signal, some uncertainty remains.
55%
Below 65% — Speculative
Lower confidence. Smaller stakes advised.
📚 Market Glossary
1X2 — Home Win / Draw / Away Win
Over 2.5 — 3 or more goals total in the match
Under 2.5 — 2 or fewer goals total in the match
BTTS Yes — Both teams each score ≥1 goal
Double Chance — Covers 2 outcomes, lower risk & lower odds
Draw No Bet — Win if your team wins; stake back on draw
⭐ Value Bet — AI thinks odds are higher than they should be
Implied % — The bookmaker's probability (1 ÷ odds × 100)
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