Home Segunda Liga Chaves vs Oliveirense
Segunda Liga
Chaves

Chaves

😐 Mixed · 6/15 pts
VS
17:00

Oliveirense

⚠️ Poor · 4/15 pts
Oliveirense
Home 45% Draw 45% Away 10%
🗓 Mon 27 Apr 2026, 17:00 📍 Estadio Municipal de Chaves, Chaves 🏆 Regular Season - 31
🎯 Our AI Picks for This Match
AI-ranked by confidence · only the bets worth considering
3 tips
Under 2.5 Goals HIGH CONFIDENCE
Under 2.5

Historical H2H data shows extremely low-scoring matches between these sides, with only 1 of 7 meetings exceeding 2.5 goals and 0 of 7 seeing both teams score. Both teams have poor attacking output, with Chaves averaging 0 goals per home game and Oliveirense 0 per away game. The statistical comparison also shows a negative goals market signal (-3.5), further supporting a low-scoring contest.

💡 Bet on whether total goals scored stay below the line
82% conf.
Strong
BTTS No HIGH CONFIDENCE
No

The H2H record is definitive: none of the last 7 meetings have seen both teams score. This pattern is reinforced by both teams' season stats, with Chaves having a 0% BTTS rate at home and Oliveirense 0% away. The low attacking output from both sides makes it highly likely that at least one team fails to score.

💡 Both teams must score at least 1 goal each
80% conf.
Strong
Double Chance HIGH CONFIDENCE
Chaves or Draw

Chaves hold significant advantages in form (60% vs 40%), attack (60% vs 40%), and H2H (80% vs 20%) according to the statistical comparison. Oliveirense have been poor on the road with just 1 win in 15 away games (7% win rate). Chaves' home record (5W 5D 5L) combined with Oliveirense's away struggles makes the home side or draw a strong selection.

💡 Double Chance — covers two of the three possible outcomes
75% conf.
Strong
3 high-confidence picks (75%+)
All tips generated by AI · Gamble responsibly
🏟 Form & Head-to-Head
Recent Form (last 5 games · W=Win D=Draw L=Loss)
Chaves
L W L L W
😐 Mixed (6/15 pts)
Oliveirense
W L L L D
⚠️ Poor (4/15 pts)
Head-to-Head — Last 7 meetings
4
1
2
Chaves: 4W (57%) Draws: 1 (14%) Oliveirense: 2W (29%)
Dec 2025 Oliveirense vs Chaves 2 - 3
Mar 2025 Chaves vs Oliveirense 4 - 0
Oct 2024 Oliveirense vs Chaves 0 - 3
Mar 2021 Oliveirense vs Chaves 0 - 1
Oct 2020 Chaves vs Oliveirense 0 - 2
📈 Season Stats Comparison ▲ = statistical edge
Chaves
Oliveirense
34

Goals Scored
30
33
🥅
Goals Conceded
41
11
🏆
Wins
7
11
🏅
League Position
18
📊 Chaves leads on 4/4 comparable stats
🔮 Statistical Model Predictions API-Football algorithm — reference data
Home Win
45%
Draw
45%
Away Win
10%
Statistical favourite: Chaves Goals signal: -3.5
Category Comparison
60%
📋 Form
40%
60%
⚔️ Attack
40%
36%
🛡 Defence
64%
80%
🔁 H2H
20%
64.5%
🎯 Overall
35.5%
🎯 AI Match Verdict
Top recommended bet:
Under 2.5
Under 2.5 Goals · 82% confidence
+ 2 more tips — scroll down ↓
🗳️ Fan Poll 0 votes
What's your prediction?
Chaves 33%
Draw 34%
Oliveirense 33%
📖 How to Use This Page
1
Check Our AI Picks
Look for tips with 75%+ confidence (green ring). These are our strongest signals. ⭐ Value Bet means the odds may be higher than expected.
2
Understand the Odds
Each odds cell shows the bookmaker's implied probability (%). Compare this to the AI's confidence — if AI confidence is higher than implied %, that's a potential value opportunity.
3
Study the Stats
The ▲ arrows show which team has the statistical edge. Check form, H2H history, and season stats before deciding. A 🔥 Excellent form team with H2H dominance is a stronger pick.
4
Place Your Bet
Use a bookmaker below. Find the match → go to the market shown on the tip → select the outcome → confirm your stake.
⚠️ Gamble responsibly. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. Tips are AI-generated for entertainment — not guaranteed outcomes.
🎚 Confidence Tiers
80%
75%+ — Strong Pick
High AI conviction. Prioritise these.
70%
65–74% — Decent Pick
Good signal, some uncertainty remains.
55%
Below 65% — Speculative
Lower confidence. Smaller stakes advised.
📚 Market Glossary
1X2 — Home Win / Draw / Away Win
Over 2.5 — 3 or more goals total in the match
Under 2.5 — 2 or fewer goals total in the match
BTTS Yes — Both teams each score ≥1 goal
Double Chance — Covers 2 outcomes, lower risk & lower odds
Draw No Bet — Win if your team wins; stake back on draw
⭐ Value Bet — AI thinks odds are higher than they should be
Implied % — The bookmaker's probability (1 ÷ odds × 100)
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