Major League Soccer
Chicago Fire

Chicago Fire

👍 Good · 10/15 pts
VS
00:30

FC Cincinnati

😐 Mixed · 6/15 pts
FC Cincinnati
Home 45% Draw 45% Away 10%
🗓 Sun 03 May 2026, 00:30 📍 Soldier Field 🏆 Regular Season - 11
🎯 Our AI Picks
AI-ranked by confidence
3 tips
Match Winner ⭐ VALUE
Chicago Fire
Odds
1.73
Implied
≈58%

Chicago Fire dominate at home with an 80% win rate, while FC Cincinnati have failed to win any away match this season (0W/2D/3L). Chicago's defence concedes only 0.89 goals per game compared to Cincinnati's 2.3, and the statistical comparison gives Chicago a 59% overall advantage. The implied probability of 58% is below our assessed 65%, offering value.

💡 Single bet on major bookmakers
72% conf.
Decent
Under 2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
Odds
1.33
Implied
≈75%

Historical H2H data shows only 30% of matches exceed 2.5 goals, and both teams have recorded 0% over 2.5 rates in their respective home/away games this season. Chicago's strong defence (0.89 conceded per game) further supports a low-scoring match. The implied probability matches our assessed 75%, so no value edge exists.

💡 Total goals stay below the line
68% conf.
Decent
BTTS No
No
Odds
1.44
Implied
≈69%

Remarkably, none of the last 10 H2H meetings have featured both teams scoring, and both teams have 0% BTTS rates in their respective home/away games this season. Chicago's solid defence (0.89 conceded per game) makes it likely at least one team fails to score. The implied probability of 69% aligns with our assessment, offering no value.

💡 Both teams must score
65% conf.
Decent
1 value bets
AI-generated · Gamble responsibly
📊 Odds & Implied % Bookmaker's probability
Match Result — 1X2
Chicago Fire
1.73
≈58%
Draw
4.00
≈25%
FC Cincinnati
4.20
≈24%
Goals Total — Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
3.25
≈31%
Under 2.5
1.33
≈75%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)
Yes ✓
2.62
≈38%
No ✗
1.44
≈69%
🏟 Form & Head-to-Head
Recent Form (last 5 games)
Chicago Fire
L W D W W
👍 Good
FC Cincinnati
W D D D L
😐 Mixed
Head-to-Head — Last 10 meetings
3
2
5
Chicago Fire: 3W (30%) Draws: 2 (20%) FC Cincinnati: 5W (50%)
Apr 2026 FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire 3 - 3
Jul 2025 FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire 2 - 1
Apr 2025 Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati 2 - 3
Jul 2024 FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire 0 - 1
Mar 2024 Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati 1 - 2
📈 Season Stats
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
17

Goals Scored
19
8
🥅
Goals Conceded
23
5
🏆
Wins
3
3
🏅
Position
9
📊 Chicago Fire leads on 3/4 stats
🎯 AI Match Verdict
Top pick:
Chicago Fire
Match Winner · 72% conf.
Odds
1.73
Confidence
72%
🗳️ Fan Poll 0 votes
What's your prediction?
Chicago Fire 33%
Draw 34%
FC Cincinnati 33%
📖 How to Use
1
Check AI Picks
Look for 75%+ confidence (green ring) — our strongest signals.
2
Study Stats
▲ arrows show statistical edges. 🔥 Excellent form = stronger pick.
3
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⚠️ Gamble responsibly. Never bet more than you can afford.
🎚 Confidence Tiers
80%
75%+ — Strong
High AI conviction
70%
65–74% — Decent
Some uncertainty
55%
Below 65% — Speculative
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