Home › Major League Soccer › Chicago Fire vs Sporting Kansas City

Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire

🔥 Excellent · 13/15 pts

00:30

Sporting Kansas City

⚠️ Poor · 0/15 pts

Home 50% Draw 50% Away 0%

🗓 Sun 26 Apr 2026, 00:30 📍 Soldier Field 🏆 Regular Season - 10

🎯 Our AI Picks for This Match

AI-ranked by confidence · only the bets worth considering

3 tips

1X2 HIGH CONFIDENCE

Chicago Fire

Odds

1.30

Implied chance

≈77%

Chicago Fire are in excellent form with 13 points from their last 5 games, while Sporting Kansas City have lost 5 consecutive matches. The home side's 75% win rate at Soldier Field contrasts sharply with Kansas City's 25% away win rate and league-worst defense (2.5 goals conceded per game). The implied probability of 77% is slightly below my assessed 82%, but the edge is under 5 percentage points, so this is not a value bet.

💡 Bet on the match result — Home Win, Draw or Away Win

82% conf.

Strong

Over/Under Goals

Under 2.5 Goals

Odds

1.40

Implied chance

≈71%

Despite Chicago Fire's strong form, H2H history shows a tendency for lower-scoring games with only 40% exceeding 2.5 goals. Sporting Kansas City's attack is weak (0.88 goals per game) and Chicago's defense is solid (1 goal conceded per game). The implied probability of 71% is slightly above my assessed 70%, so no value bet here.

💡 Bet on whether total goals scored exceed the line

70% conf.

Decent

BTTS

Odds

1.40

Implied chance

≈71%

Sporting Kansas City's attack is struggling, scoring only 7 goals in 8 games, and they have lost 5 straight matches. Chicago Fire's defense is average but should contain a weak opponent. The implied probability of 71% is slightly above my assessed 68%, so this is not a value bet.

💡 Both teams must score at least 1 goal each

68% conf.

Decent

✅ 1 high-confidence pick (75%+)

All tips generated by AI · Gamble responsibly

📊 Odds & Implied Probability Opening odds · % = bookmaker's implied likelihood

Match Result — 1X2

Chicago Fire

1.30

≈77% chance

Draw

5.25

≈19% chance

Sporting Kansas City

8.50

≈12% chance

Bookmaker margin: 8% · Lower margin = better value for bettors

Goals Total — Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5 goals

2.75

≈36% chance

Under 2.5 goals

1.40

≈71% chance

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)

Yes — both score ✓

2.75

≈36% chance

No — clean sheet ✗

1.40

≈71% chance

Other Totals

Over 1.5

1.57

≈64%

Under 1.5

2.25

≈44%

Over 3.5

6.00

≈17%

Under 3.5

1.12

≈89%

Over 4.5

15.00

≈7%

Under 4.5

1.03

≈97%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

1.08

Away or Draw

2.10

Home or Away

1.36

🏟 Form & Head-to-Head

Recent Form (last 5 games · W=Win D=Draw L=Loss)

Chicago Fire

D W W W W

🔥 Excellent (13/15 pts)

Sporting Kansas City

L L L L L

⚠️ Poor (0/15 pts)

Head-to-Head — Last 10 meetings

Chicago Fire: 4W (40%) Draws: 1 (10%) Sporting Kansas City: 5W (50%)

Jan 2026 Sporting Kansas City vs Chicago Fire 0 - 1

Jan 2025 Chicago Fire vs Sporting Kansas City 2 - 0

Jul 2024 Sporting Kansas City vs Chicago Fire 2 - 1

Jun 2023 Sporting Kansas City vs Chicago Fire 0 - 1

Mar 2022 Chicago Fire vs Sporting Kansas City 3 - 1

📈 Season Stats Comparison ▲ = statistical edge

Chicago Fire

Sporting Kansas City

12 ▲

⚽
Goals Scored

8 ▲

🥅
Goals Conceded

4 ▲

🏆
Wins

4 ▲

🏅
League Position

📊 Chicago Fire leads on 4/4 comparable stats

🔮 Statistical Model Predictions API-Football algorithm — reference data

Home Win

50%

Draw

50%

Away Win

Statistical favourite: Chicago Fire

Category Comparison

77%

📋 Form

23%

62%

⚔️ Attack

38%

70%

🛡 Defence

30%

80%

🔁 H2H

20%

74.8%

🎯 Overall

25.2%

🎯 AI Match Verdict

Top recommended bet:

Chicago Fire

1X2 · 82% confidence

Odds

1.30

AI confidence

82%

+ 2 more tips — scroll down ↓

🗳️ Fan Poll 0 votes

What's your prediction?

Chicago Fire 33%

Draw 34%

Sporting Kansa... 33%

📖 How to Use This Page

Check Our AI Picks

Look for tips with 75%+ confidence (green ring). These are our strongest signals. ⭐ Value Bet means the odds may be higher than expected.

Understand the Odds

Each odds cell shows the bookmaker's implied probability (%). Compare this to the AI's confidence — if AI confidence is higher than implied %, that's a potential value opportunity.

Study the Stats

The ▲ arrows show which team has the statistical edge. Check form, H2H history, and season stats before deciding. A 🔥 Excellent form team with H2H dominance is a stronger pick.

Place Your Bet

Use a bookmaker below. Find the match → go to the market shown on the tip → select the outcome → confirm your stake.

⚠️ Gamble responsibly. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. Tips are AI-generated for entertainment — not guaranteed outcomes.

🎚 Confidence Tiers

80%

75%+ — Strong Pick

High AI conviction. Prioritise these.

70%

65–74% — Decent Pick

Good signal, some uncertainty remains.

55%

Below 65% — Speculative

Lower confidence. Smaller stakes advised.

📚 Market Glossary

1X2 — Home Win / Draw / Away Win

Over 2.5 — 3 or more goals total in the match

Under 2.5 — 2 or fewer goals total in the match

BTTS Yes — Both teams each score ≥1 goal

Double Chance — Covers 2 outcomes, lower risk & lower odds

Draw No Bet — Win if your team wins; stake back on draw

⭐ Value Bet — AI thinks odds are higher than they should be

Implied % — The bookmaker's probability (1 ÷ odds × 100)

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