Home › Thai League 1 › Chonburi FC vs Muangthong United

Thai League 1

Chonburi FC

👍 Good · 9/15 pts

11:30

Muangthong United

👍 Good · 9/15 pts

Home 45% Draw 45% Away 10%

🗓 Sun 26 Apr 2026, 11:30 📍 IPE Chonburi Campus Stadium, Chonburi 🏆 Regular Season - 28

🎯 Our AI Picks for This Match

AI-ranked by confidence · only the bets worth considering

2 tips

Double Chance HIGH CONFIDENCE

1X (Home or Draw)

Odds

1.36

Implied chance

≈74%

Chonburi FC's home record (5W/4D/4L) combined with Muangthong United's poor away form (1W/3D/9L) gives the home side a strong chance of avoiding defeat. The H2H record is evenly split, but Muangthong's away struggles are a clear weakness. With both teams having full squads, Chonburi's slight attacking advantage (56% vs 44%) supports a home win or draw.

💡 Double Chance — covers two of the three possible outcomes

75% conf.

Strong

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Odds

1.57

Implied chance

≈64%

The H2H history shows only 20% draws, and both teams have moderate win rates in their contexts. Chonburi's home win rate is 38% and Muangthong's away win rate is 8%, but the overall match is likely to produce a winner given the low draw frequency. The odds imply a 64% chance, but my assessment of 70% is supported by the data.

💡 Double Chance — covers two of the three possible outcomes

70% conf.

Decent

✅ 1 high-confidence pick (75%+)

All tips generated by AI · Gamble responsibly

📊 Odds & Implied Probability Opening odds · % = bookmaker's implied likelihood

Match Result — 1X2

Chonburi FC

2.38

≈42% chance

Draw

3.25

≈31% chance

Muangthong United

2.60

≈38% chance

Bookmaker margin: 11% · Lower margin = better value for bettors

Goals Total — Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5 goals

3.75

≈27% chance

Under 2.5 goals

1.25

≈80% chance

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)

Yes — both score ✓

3.00

≈33% chance

No — clean sheet ✗

1.36

≈74% chance

Other Totals

Over 1.5

1.83

≈55%

Under 1.5

1.83

≈55%

Over 3.5

9.00

≈11%

Under 3.5

1.07

≈93%

Over 4.5

21.00

≈5%

Under 4.5

1.01

≈99%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

1.36

Away or Draw

1.40

Home or Away

1.57

🏟 Form & Head-to-Head

Recent Form (last 5 games · W=Win D=Draw L=Loss)

Chonburi FC

L L W W W

👍 Good (9/15 pts)

Muangthong United

W W L W L

👍 Good (9/15 pts)

Head-to-Head — Last 10 meetings

Chonburi FC: 4W (40%) Draws: 2 (20%) Muangthong United: 4W (40%)

Dec 2025 Muangthong United vs Chonburi FC 2 - 3

May 2024 Muangthong United vs Chonburi FC 6 - 0

Dec 2023 Chonburi FC vs Muangthong United 2 - 1

Feb 2023 Chonburi FC vs Muangthong United 0 - 1

Sep 2022 Muangthong United vs Chonburi FC 1 - 5

📈 Season Stats Comparison ▲ = statistical edge

Chonburi FC

Muangthong United

34 ▲

⚽
Goals Scored

38 ▲

🥅
Goals Conceded

9 ▲

🏆
Wins

7 ▲

🏅
League Position

📊 Chonburi FC leads on 4/4 comparable stats

🔮 Statistical Model Predictions API-Football algorithm — reference data

Home Win

45%

Draw

45%

Away Win

10%

Statistical favourite: Chonburi FC

Category Comparison

50%

📋 Form

50%

56%

⚔️ Attack

44%

38%

🛡 Defence

63%

60%

🔁 H2H

40%

53.2%

🎯 Overall

47.0%

🎯 AI Match Verdict

Top recommended bet:

1X (Home or Draw)

Double Chance · 75% confidence

Odds

1.36

AI confidence

75%

+ 1 more tip — scroll down ↓

🗳️ Fan Poll 0 votes

What's your prediction?

Chonburi FC 33%

Draw 34%

Muangthong Uni... 33%

📖 How to Use This Page

Check Our AI Picks

Look for tips with 75%+ confidence (green ring). These are our strongest signals. ⭐ Value Bet means the odds may be higher than expected.

Understand the Odds

Each odds cell shows the bookmaker's implied probability (%). Compare this to the AI's confidence — if AI confidence is higher than implied %, that's a potential value opportunity.

Study the Stats

The ▲ arrows show which team has the statistical edge. Check form, H2H history, and season stats before deciding. A 🔥 Excellent form team with H2H dominance is a stronger pick.

Place Your Bet

Use a bookmaker below. Find the match → go to the market shown on the tip → select the outcome → confirm your stake.

⚠️ Gamble responsibly. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. Tips are AI-generated for entertainment — not guaranteed outcomes.

🎚 Confidence Tiers

80%

75%+ — Strong Pick

High AI conviction. Prioritise these.

70%

65–74% — Decent Pick

Good signal, some uncertainty remains.

55%

Below 65% — Speculative

Lower confidence. Smaller stakes advised.

📚 Market Glossary

1X2 — Home Win / Draw / Away Win

Over 2.5 — 3 or more goals total in the match

Under 2.5 — 2 or fewer goals total in the match

BTTS Yes — Both teams each score ≥1 goal

Double Chance — Covers 2 outcomes, lower risk & lower odds

Draw No Bet — Win if your team wins; stake back on draw

⭐ Value Bet — AI thinks odds are higher than they should be

Implied % — The bookmaker's probability (1 ÷ odds × 100)

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