Home Cup CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets
Cup
CSKA Sofia

CSKA Sofia

👍 Good · 10/15 pts
VS
16:00

Ludogorets

⚠️ Poor · 4/15 pts
Ludogorets
Home 35% Draw 35% Away 30%
🗓 Wed 29 Apr 2026, 16:00 🏆 Semi-finals
🎯 Our AI Picks for This Match
AI-ranked by confidence · only the bets worth considering
1 tip
Under 2.5 Goals ⭐ VALUE BET HIGH CONFIDENCE
Under 2.5
Odds
1.73
Implied chance
≈58%

The head-to-head record strongly favors low-scoring affairs, with only 30% of meetings exceeding 2.5 goals and 0% BTTS in the last 10. Both teams are in declining form, with Ludogorets losing their last 3 matches and CSKA Sofia averaging just 1.33 points per game recently. The implied probability of 58% for under 2.5 goals is below my assessed 70%, offering a clear value edge of 12 percentage points.

💡 Bet on whether total goals scored stay below the line
75% conf.
Strong
1 high-confidence pick (75%+)
1 value bet identified
All tips generated by AI · Gamble responsibly
📊 Odds & Implied Probability Opening odds · % = bookmaker's implied likelihood
Match Result — 1X2
CSKA Sofia
2.38
≈42% chance
Draw
3.60
≈28% chance
Ludogorets
2.45
≈41% chance
Bookmaker margin: 11% · Lower margin = better value for bettors
Goals Total — Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5 goals
2.08
≈48% chance
Under 2.5 goals
1.73
≈58% chance
Double Chance
Home or Draw
1.28
Away or Draw
1.36
Home or Away
1.67
🏟 Form & Head-to-Head
Recent Form (last 5 games · W=Win D=Draw L=Loss)
CSKA Sofia
L W D W W
👍 Good (10/15 pts)
Ludogorets
L L L D W
⚠️ Poor (4/15 pts)
Head-to-Head — Last 10 meetings
1
3
6
CSKA Sofia: 1W (10%) Draws: 3 (30%) Ludogorets: 6W (60%)
Apr 2026 Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia 1 - 2
Mar 2026 Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia 3 - 0
Oct 2025 CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets 0 - 0
May 2025 Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia 1 - 0
Nov 2024 CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets 2 - 2
🔮 Statistical Model Predictions API-Football algorithm — reference data
Home Win
35%
Draw
35%
Away Win
30%
Statistical favourite: CSKA Sofia
Category Comparison
57%
📋 Form
43%
50%
⚔️ Attack
50%
63%
🛡 Defence
38%
38%
🔁 H2H
62%
54.5%
🎯 Overall
45.7%
🎯 AI Match Verdict
Top recommended bet:
Under 2.5
Under 2.5 Goals · 75% confidence
Odds
1.73
AI confidence
75%
🗳️ Fan Poll 0 votes
What's your prediction?
CSKA Sofia 33%
Draw 34%
Ludogorets 33%
📖 How to Use This Page
1
Check Our AI Picks
Look for tips with 75%+ confidence (green ring). These are our strongest signals. ⭐ Value Bet means the odds may be higher than expected.
2
Understand the Odds
Each odds cell shows the bookmaker's implied probability (%). Compare this to the AI's confidence — if AI confidence is higher than implied %, that's a potential value opportunity.
3
Study the Stats
The ▲ arrows show which team has the statistical edge. Check form, H2H history, and season stats before deciding. A 🔥 Excellent form team with H2H dominance is a stronger pick.
4
Place Your Bet
Use a bookmaker below. Find the match → go to the market shown on the tip → select the outcome → confirm your stake.
⚠️ Gamble responsibly. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. Tips are AI-generated for entertainment — not guaranteed outcomes.
🎚 Confidence Tiers
80%
75%+ — Strong Pick
High AI conviction. Prioritise these.
70%
65–74% — Decent Pick
Good signal, some uncertainty remains.
55%
Below 65% — Speculative
Lower confidence. Smaller stakes advised.
📚 Market Glossary
1X2 — Home Win / Draw / Away Win
Over 2.5 — 3 or more goals total in the match
Under 2.5 — 2 or fewer goals total in the match
BTTS Yes — Both teams each score ≥1 goal
Double Chance — Covers 2 outcomes, lower risk & lower odds
Draw No Bet — Win if your team wins; stake back on draw
⭐ Value Bet — AI thinks odds are higher than they should be
Implied % — The bookmaker's probability (1 ÷ odds × 100)
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