The H2H record shows 0 of 4 meetings went over 2.5 goals with an average of just 0.25 goals per game. Both teams have a 0% over 2.5 rate in their respective home/away games this season, and both are in the relegation group with very low scoring outputs (Dender 28 goals, RAAL 30 in 34 games). The implied probability of 83% is slightly below my assessed 88%, but the edge is under 5 percentage points so this is not a value bet.

The H2H record shows 0 of 4 meetings had both teams scoring, and both teams have a 0% BTTS rate in their respective home/away games this season. With both sides struggling to score (Dender 28 goals, RAAL 30 in 34 games) and in poor form, the likelihood of both scoring is very low. The implied probability of 75% is below my assessed 82%, but the edge is under 5 percentage points so this is not a value bet.

RAAL La Louvière has a superior away record (3 wins, 6 draws in 17 games) compared to Dender's dreadful home record (1 win, 5 draws, 11 losses). Dender has lost 65% of their home games, and RAAL La Louvière has not lost in the last 4 H2H meetings (1 win, 3 draws). The implied probability of 78% matches my assessed 78%, so there is no value.