Home › CONMEBOL Libertadores › Deportes Tolima vs Coquimbo Unido

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Deportes Tolima

⚠️ Poor · 4/15 pts

02:00

Coquimbo Unido

🔥 Excellent · 11/15 pts

Home 10% Draw 45% Away 45%

🗓 Wed 29 Apr 2026, 02:00 📍 Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro 🏆 Group Stage - 3

🎯 Our AI Picks for This Match

AI-ranked by confidence · only the bets worth considering

2 tips

Under 2.5 Goals HIGH CONFIDENCE

Under 2.5

Odds

1.11

Implied chance

≈90%

Both teams have shown very low scoring in their group stage matches, with Tolima scoring 0 at home and Coquimbo conceding only 0.5 per game overall. The Over 2.5 rate is 0% for both sides in relevant splits, and the goals market signal is -3.5, strongly indicating a low-scoring affair. My assessed probability of 90% matches the implied probability, so no value but high confidence.

💡 Bet on whether total goals scored stay below the line

80% conf.

Strong

Double Chance ⭐ VALUE BET HIGH CONFIDENCE

X2 (Draw or Coquimbo Unido)

Odds

1.44

Implied chance

≈69%

Coquimbo Unido is in excellent form with 11 points from their last 5 matches and a perfect away record in the group stage, while Deportes Tolima has only 4 points from 5 games and no home win. The statistical comparison gives Coquimbo Unido a 56.7% overall advantage, and Tolima's defence is rated only 17% vs Coquimbo's 83%. The implied probability of 69% for X2 is below my assessed 80%, offering clear value.

💡 Double Chance — covers two of the three possible outcomes

75% conf.

Strong

✅ 2 high-confidence picks (75%+)

⭐ 1 value bet identified

All tips generated by AI · Gamble responsibly

📊 Odds & Implied Probability Opening odds · % = bookmaker's implied likelihood

Match Result — 1X2

Deportes Tolima

2.00

≈50% chance

Draw

3.20

≈31% chance

Coquimbo Unido

4.20

≈24% chance

Bookmaker margin: 5% · Lower margin = better value for bettors

Goals Total — Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5 goals

6.50

≈15% chance

Under 2.5 goals

1.11

≈90% chance

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)

Yes — both score ✓

4.33

≈23% chance

No — clean sheet ✗

1.20

≈83% chance

Other Totals

Over 1.5

2.62

≈38%

Under 1.5

1.44

≈69%

Over 3.5

19.00

≈5%

Under 3.5

1.02

≈98%

Over 4.5

11.00

≈9%

Under 4.5

1.05

≈95%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

1.17

Away or Draw

1.44

Home or Away

1.73

🏟 Form & Head-to-Head

Recent Form (last 5 games · W=Win D=Draw L=Loss)

Deportes Tolima

L W L L D

⚠️ Poor (4/15 pts)

Coquimbo Unido

W D W D W

🔥 Excellent (11/15 pts)

📈 Season Stats Comparison ▲ = statistical edge

Deportes Tolima

Coquimbo Unido

⚽
Goals Scored

▲ 3

🥅
Goals Conceded

▲ 1

🏆
Wins

▲ 1

🏅
League Position

▲ 2

📊 Coquimbo Unido leads on 4/4 comparable stats

🔮 Statistical Model Predictions API-Football algorithm — reference data

Home Win

10%

Draw

45%

Away Win

45%

Statistical favourite: Coquimbo Unido Goals signal: -3.5

Category Comparison

56%

📋 Form

44%

57%

⚔️ Attack

43%

17%

🛡 Defence

83%

🔁 H2H

43.3%

🎯 Overall

56.7%

🎯 AI Match Verdict

Top recommended bet:

Under 2.5

Under 2.5 Goals · 80% confidence

Odds

1.11

AI confidence

80%

+ 1 more tip — scroll down ↓

🗳️ Fan Poll 0 votes

What's your prediction?

Deportes Tolim... 33%

Draw 34%

Coquimbo Unido 33%

📖 How to Use This Page

Check Our AI Picks

Look for tips with 75%+ confidence (green ring). These are our strongest signals. ⭐ Value Bet means the odds may be higher than expected.

Understand the Odds

Each odds cell shows the bookmaker's implied probability (%). Compare this to the AI's confidence — if AI confidence is higher than implied %, that's a potential value opportunity.

Study the Stats

The ▲ arrows show which team has the statistical edge. Check form, H2H history, and season stats before deciding. A 🔥 Excellent form team with H2H dominance is a stronger pick.

Place Your Bet

Use a bookmaker below. Find the match → go to the market shown on the tip → select the outcome → confirm your stake.

⚠️ Gamble responsibly. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. Tips are AI-generated for entertainment — not guaranteed outcomes.

🎚 Confidence Tiers

80%

75%+ — Strong Pick

High AI conviction. Prioritise these.

70%

65–74% — Decent Pick

Good signal, some uncertainty remains.

55%

Below 65% — Speculative

Lower confidence. Smaller stakes advised.

📚 Market Glossary

1X2 — Home Win / Draw / Away Win

Over 2.5 — 3 or more goals total in the match

Under 2.5 — 2 or fewer goals total in the match

BTTS Yes — Both teams each score ≥1 goal

Double Chance — Covers 2 outcomes, lower risk & lower odds

Draw No Bet — Win if your team wins; stake back on draw

⭐ Value Bet — AI thinks odds are higher than they should be

Implied % — The bookmaker's probability (1 ÷ odds × 100)

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