Historically, these teams have not both scored in any of their last 8 encounters, a remarkable 0% BTTS rate. Ferroviária's defensive solidity (0.8 goals conceded per game) and Ituano's average away attack make it unlikely both find the net. This is a strong signal supported by multiple data points.

The H2H record shows a strong tendency for low-scoring matches, with only 3 of 8 meetings exceeding 2.5 goals and 0% BTTS rate. Ferroviária's solid defence (0.8 goals conceded per game) and Ituano's modest away scoring further support a low-scoring semi-final. The combination of defensive strength and historical pattern gives high confidence in under 2.5 goals.

Ferroviária's strong home record (63% win rate) and superior recent form (1.67 PPG) give them an edge over Ituano. The statistical comparison shows a clear advantage in attack (53%) and defence (86%). However, the semi-final pressure and Ituano's decent away record (43% win rate) keep confidence moderate.