Home › Serie A › Fiorentina vs Sassuolo

Serie A

Fiorentina

👍 Good · 10/15 pts

10:30

Sassuolo

😐 Mixed · 7/15 pts

Home 45% Draw 45% Away 10%

🗓 Sun 26 Apr 2026, 10:30 📍 Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence 🏆 Regular Season - 34 👨‍⚖️ L. Marinelli

🎯 Our AI Picks for This Match

AI-ranked by confidence · only the bets worth considering

1 tip

Double Chance HIGH CONFIDENCE

1X (Fiorentina or Draw)

Odds

1.20

Implied chance

≈83%

Fiorentina hold a 61% form advantage and 67% defensive edge per the statistical comparison. Despite missing key attackers like Kean, their home advantage and Sassuolo's poor away clean sheet record (0% in 16 away games) make a home loss unlikely. The implied probability of 83% slightly exceeds my assessed 80%, so no value, but confidence is solid at 75%.

💡 Double Chance — covers two of the three possible outcomes

75% conf.

Strong

✅ 1 high-confidence pick (75%+)

All tips generated by AI · Gamble responsibly

📊 Odds & Implied Probability Opening odds · % = bookmaker's implied likelihood

Match Result — 1X2

Fiorentina

1.91

≈52% chance

Draw

3.30

≈30% chance

Sassuolo

4.33

≈23% chance

Bookmaker margin: 5% · Lower margin = better value for bettors

Goals Total — Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5 goals

4.00

≈25% chance

Under 2.5 goals

1.22

≈82% chance

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)

Yes — both score ✓

3.25

≈31% chance

No — clean sheet ✗

1.33

≈75% chance

Other Totals

Over 1.5

2.00

≈50%

Under 1.5

1.73

≈58%

Over 3.5

11.00

≈9%

Under 3.5

1.05

≈95%

Over 4.5

26.00

≈4%

Under 4.5

1.01

≈99%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

1.20

Away or Draw

1.50

Home or Away

1.57

🏟 Form & Head-to-Head

Recent Form (last 5 games · W=Win D=Draw L=Loss)

Fiorentina

D W W L W

👍 Good (10/15 pts)

Sassuolo

W L W D L

😐 Mixed (7/15 pts)

Head-to-Head — Last 10 meetings

Fiorentina: 3W (30%) Draws: 2 (20%) Sassuolo: 5W (50%)

Dec 2025 Sassuolo vs Fiorentina 3 - 1

Apr 2024 Fiorentina vs Sassuolo 5 - 1

Jan 2024 Sassuolo vs Fiorentina 1 - 0

Jun 2023 Sassuolo vs Fiorentina 1 - 3

Jan 2023 Fiorentina vs Sassuolo 2 - 1

📈 Season Stats Comparison ▲ = statistical edge

Fiorentina

Sassuolo

⚽
Goals Scored

▲ 41

🥅
Goals Conceded

▲ 44

🏆
Wins

▲ 13

🏅
League Position

▲ 10

📊 Sassuolo leads on 4/4 comparable stats

🔮 Statistical Model Predictions API-Football algorithm — reference data

Home Win

45%

Draw

45%

Away Win

10%

Statistical favourite: Fiorentina

Category Comparison

61%

📋 Form

39%

57%

⚔️ Attack

43%

67%

🛡 Defence

33%

60%

🔁 H2H

40%

59.0%

🎯 Overall

41.0%

🎯 AI Match Verdict

Top recommended bet:

1X (Fiorentina or Draw)

Double Chance · 75% confidence

Odds

1.20

AI confidence

75%

🗳️ Fan Poll 0 votes

What's your prediction?

Fiorentina 33%

Draw 34%

Sassuolo 33%

📖 How to Use This Page

Check Our AI Picks

Look for tips with 75%+ confidence (green ring). These are our strongest signals. ⭐ Value Bet means the odds may be higher than expected.

Understand the Odds

Each odds cell shows the bookmaker's implied probability (%). Compare this to the AI's confidence — if AI confidence is higher than implied %, that's a potential value opportunity.

Study the Stats

The ▲ arrows show which team has the statistical edge. Check form, H2H history, and season stats before deciding. A 🔥 Excellent form team with H2H dominance is a stronger pick.

Place Your Bet

Use a bookmaker below. Find the match → go to the market shown on the tip → select the outcome → confirm your stake.

⚠️ Gamble responsibly. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. Tips are AI-generated for entertainment — not guaranteed outcomes.

🎚 Confidence Tiers

80%

75%+ — Strong Pick

High AI conviction. Prioritise these.

70%

65–74% — Decent Pick

Good signal, some uncertainty remains.

55%

Below 65% — Speculative

Lower confidence. Smaller stakes advised.

📚 Market Glossary

1X2 — Home Win / Draw / Away Win

Over 2.5 — 3 or more goals total in the match

Under 2.5 — 2 or fewer goals total in the match

BTTS Yes — Both teams each score ≥1 goal

Double Chance — Covers 2 outcomes, lower risk & lower odds

Draw No Bet — Win if your team wins; stake back on draw

⭐ Value Bet — AI thinks odds are higher than they should be

Implied % — The bookmaker's probability (1 ÷ odds × 100)

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