Home › Serie A › Genoa vs Como

Serie A

Genoa

👍 Good · 9/15 pts

13:00

Como

⚠️ Poor · 4/15 pts

Home 10% Draw 45% Away 45%

🗓 Sun 26 Apr 2026, 13:00 📍 Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa 🏆 Regular Season - 34 👨‍⚖️ F. La Penna

🎯 Our AI Picks for This Match

AI-ranked by confidence · only the bets worth considering

3 tips

Under 2.5 Goals HIGH CONFIDENCE

Under 2.5

Odds

1.17

Implied chance

≈85%

Historical H2H data shows only 20% of meetings exceed 2.5 goals, and both teams have a 0% over 2.5 rate in their respective home/away splits this season. Genoa's low-scoring home matches and Como's defensive solidity (0.85 goals conceded per game overall) further support a low-scoring affair. The implied probability of 85% aligns with the assessed probability, offering no value but high confidence.

💡 Bet on whether total goals scored stay below the line

80% conf.

Strong

Double Chance HIGH CONFIDENCE

X2 (Draw or Como)

Odds

1.14

Implied chance

≈88%

Como is the stronger side overall (5th place, 57 goals scored) and has a solid away record (7W/5D/4L), while Genoa's home win rate is only 35%. The H2H trend shows 4 draws in the last 5 meetings, making the draw or away win highly probable. The assessed probability of 88% matches the implied probability, confirming no value but strong confidence.

💡 Double Chance — covers two of the three possible outcomes

75% conf.

Strong

BTTS No

Odds

1.28

Implied chance

≈78%

Both teams have a 0% BTTS rate in their respective home and away matches this season, indicating a strong tendency for one side to keep a clean sheet. The H2H record also shows BTTS occurred in just 40% of recent meetings. The assessed probability of 78% aligns with the implied odds, making this a reliable selection without value.

💡 Both teams must score at least 1 goal each

70% conf.

Decent

✅ 2 high-confidence picks (75%+)

All tips generated by AI · Gamble responsibly

📊 Odds & Implied Probability Opening odds · % = bookmaker's implied likelihood

Match Result — 1X2

Genoa

4.50

≈22% chance

Draw

3.80

≈26% chance

Como

1.75

≈57% chance

Bookmaker margin: 5% · Lower margin = better value for bettors

Goals Total — Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5 goals

5.00

≈20% chance

Under 2.5 goals

1.17

≈85% chance

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)

Yes — both score ✓

3.50

≈29% chance

No — clean sheet ✗

1.28

≈78% chance

Other Totals

Over 1.5

2.20

≈45%

Under 1.5

1.62

≈62%

Over 3.5

13.00

≈8%

Under 3.5

1.04

≈96%

Over 4.5

6.50

≈15%

Under 4.5

1.11

≈90%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

1.53

Away or Draw

1.14

Home or Away

1.62

🏟 Form & Head-to-Head

Recent Form (last 5 games · W=Win D=Draw L=Loss)

Genoa

W W L L W

👍 Good (9/15 pts)

Como

L L L D W

⚠️ Poor (4/15 pts)

Head-to-Head — Last 5 meetings

Genoa: 0W (0%) Draws: 4 (80%) Como: 1W (20%)

Sep 2025 Como vs Genoa 1 - 1

Apr 2025 Como vs Genoa 1 - 0

Nov 2024 Genoa vs Como 1 - 1

Apr 2023 como vs Genoa 2 - 2

Nov 2022 Genoa vs como 1 - 1

📈 Season Stats Comparison ▲ = statistical edge

Genoa

Como

⚽
Goals Scored

▲ 57

🥅
Goals Conceded

▲ 28

🏆
Wins

▲ 16

🏅
League Position

▲ 5

📊 Como leads on 4/4 comparable stats

🔮 Statistical Model Predictions API-Football algorithm — reference data

Home Win

10%

Draw

45%

Away Win

45%

Statistical favourite: Como

Category Comparison

56%

📋 Form

44%

35%

⚔️ Attack

65%

54%

🛡 Defence

46%

36%

🔁 H2H

64%

43.0%

🎯 Overall

57.0%

🎯 AI Match Verdict

Top recommended bet:

Under 2.5

Under 2.5 Goals · 80% confidence

Odds

1.17

AI confidence

80%

+ 2 more tips — scroll down ↓

🗳️ Fan Poll 0 votes

What's your prediction?

Genoa 33%

Draw 34%

Como 33%

📖 How to Use This Page

Check Our AI Picks

Look for tips with 75%+ confidence (green ring). These are our strongest signals. ⭐ Value Bet means the odds may be higher than expected.

Understand the Odds

Each odds cell shows the bookmaker's implied probability (%). Compare this to the AI's confidence — if AI confidence is higher than implied %, that's a potential value opportunity.

Study the Stats

The ▲ arrows show which team has the statistical edge. Check form, H2H history, and season stats before deciding. A 🔥 Excellent form team with H2H dominance is a stronger pick.

Place Your Bet

Use a bookmaker below. Find the match → go to the market shown on the tip → select the outcome → confirm your stake.

⚠️ Gamble responsibly. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. Tips are AI-generated for entertainment — not guaranteed outcomes.

🎚 Confidence Tiers

80%

75%+ — Strong Pick

High AI conviction. Prioritise these.

70%

65–74% — Decent Pick

Good signal, some uncertainty remains.

55%

Below 65% — Speculative

Lower confidence. Smaller stakes advised.

📚 Market Glossary

1X2 — Home Win / Draw / Away Win

Over 2.5 — 3 or more goals total in the match

Under 2.5 — 2 or fewer goals total in the match

BTTS Yes — Both teams each score ≥1 goal

Double Chance — Covers 2 outcomes, lower risk & lower odds

Draw No Bet — Win if your team wins; stake back on draw

⭐ Value Bet — AI thinks odds are higher than they should be

Implied % — The bookmaker's probability (1 ÷ odds × 100)

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