Home › Liga MX › Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Tijuana

Liga MX

Guadalajara Chivas

👍 Good · 8/15 pts

01:07

Club Tijuana

👍 Good · 10/15 pts

Home 45% Draw 45% Away 10%

🗓 Sun 26 Apr 2026, 01:07 📍 Estadio Akron, Zapopan 🏆 Clausura - 17

🎯 Our AI Picks for This Match

AI-ranked by confidence · only the bets worth considering

3 tips

Double Chance HIGH CONFIDENCE

Odds

1.10

Implied chance

≈91%

Chivas have not lost at home all season, and Tijuana's away form is inconsistent. The implied probability of 91% is close to my assessed 95%, but the edge is under 5 percentage points, so this is not a value bet.

💡 Double Chance — covers two of the three possible outcomes

90% conf.

Strong

1X2 HIGH CONFIDENCE

Guadalajara Chivas

Odds

1.40

Implied chance

≈71%

Chivas are undefeated at home with a dominant 86% win rate, while Tijuana have only a 38% away win rate. Chivas also have a strong H2H record (6 wins in 10) and a significant points advantage (35 vs 22). The implied probability of 71% is below my assessed 80%, but the edge is under 5 percentage points, so this is not a value bet.

💡 Bet on the match result — Home Win, Draw or Away Win

80% conf.

Strong

Under 2.5 Goals

Under 2.5

Odds

1.30

Implied chance

≈77%

Both teams average only 1.06 goals conceded per game, and their home/away games have seen zero matches go over 2.5 goals this season. The implied probability of 77% is slightly above my assessed 75%, so there is no value.

💡 Bet on whether total goals scored stay below the line

70% conf.

Decent

✅ 2 high-confidence picks (75%+)

All tips generated by AI · Gamble responsibly

📊 Odds & Implied Probability Opening odds · % = bookmaker's implied likelihood

Match Result — 1X2

Guadalajara Chivas

1.40

≈71% chance

Draw

4.33

≈23% chance

Club Tijuana

7.50

≈13% chance

Bookmaker margin: 7% · Lower margin = better value for bettors

Goals Total — Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5 goals

3.40

≈29% chance

Under 2.5 goals

1.30

≈77% chance

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)

Yes — both score ✓

3.25

≈31% chance

No — clean sheet ✗

1.33

≈75% chance

Other Totals

Over 1.5

1.73

≈58%

Under 1.5

2.00

≈50%

Over 3.5

8.00

≈13%

Under 3.5

1.08

≈93%

Over 4.5

19.00

≈5%

Under 4.5

1.02

≈98%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

1.10

Away or Draw

1.83

Home or Away

1.44

🏟 Form & Head-to-Head

Recent Form (last 5 games · W=Win D=Draw L=Loss)

Guadalajara Chivas

D W L D W

👍 Good (8/15 pts)

Club Tijuana

W D W W L

👍 Good (10/15 pts)

Head-to-Head — Last 10 meetings

Guadalajara Chivas: 6W (60%) Draws: 3 (30%) Club Tijuana: 1W (10%)

Aug 2025 Club Tijuana vs Guadalajara Chivas 3 - 3

Feb 2025 Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Tijuana 2 - 1

Jul 2024 Club Tijuana vs Guadalajara Chivas 4 - 2

Jan 2024 Club Tijuana vs Guadalajara Chivas 1 - 1

Aug 2023 Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Tijuana 1 - 0

📈 Season Stats Comparison ▲ = statistical edge

Guadalajara Chivas

Club Tijuana

33 ▲

⚽
Goals Scored

🥅
Goals Conceded

11 ▲

🏆
Wins

1 ▲

🏅
League Position

📊 Guadalajara Chivas leads on 3/3 comparable stats

🔮 Statistical Model Predictions API-Football algorithm — reference data

Home Win

45%

Draw

45%

Away Win

10%

Statistical favourite: Guadalajara Chivas

Category Comparison

44%

📋 Form

56%

61%

⚔️ Attack

39%

43%

🛡 Defence

57%

62%

🔁 H2H

38%

55.3%

🎯 Overall

44.7%

🎯 AI Match Verdict

Top recommended bet:

Double Chance · 90% confidence

Odds

1.10

AI confidence

90%

+ 2 more tips — scroll down ↓

🗳️ Fan Poll 0 votes

What's your prediction?

Guadalajara Ch... 33%

Draw 34%

Club Tijuana 33%

📖 How to Use This Page

Check Our AI Picks

Look for tips with 75%+ confidence (green ring). These are our strongest signals. ⭐ Value Bet means the odds may be higher than expected.

Understand the Odds

Each odds cell shows the bookmaker's implied probability (%). Compare this to the AI's confidence — if AI confidence is higher than implied %, that's a potential value opportunity.

Study the Stats

The ▲ arrows show which team has the statistical edge. Check form, H2H history, and season stats before deciding. A 🔥 Excellent form team with H2H dominance is a stronger pick.

Place Your Bet

Use a bookmaker below. Find the match → go to the market shown on the tip → select the outcome → confirm your stake.

⚠️ Gamble responsibly. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. Tips are AI-generated for entertainment — not guaranteed outcomes.

🎚 Confidence Tiers

80%

75%+ — Strong Pick

High AI conviction. Prioritise these.

70%

65–74% — Decent Pick

Good signal, some uncertainty remains.

55%

Below 65% — Speculative

Lower confidence. Smaller stakes advised.

📚 Market Glossary

1X2 — Home Win / Draw / Away Win

Over 2.5 — 3 or more goals total in the match

Under 2.5 — 2 or fewer goals total in the match

BTTS Yes — Both teams each score ≥1 goal

Double Chance — Covers 2 outcomes, lower risk & lower odds

Draw No Bet — Win if your team wins; stake back on draw

⭐ Value Bet — AI thinks odds are higher than they should be

Implied % — The bookmaker's probability (1 ÷ odds × 100)

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