Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
Andratx
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas wins 53% of home games and has lost only 5 of 15 at home, while Andratx has zero away wins in 16 attempts (0W/4D/12L). The home side's defensive advantage (53% vs 47%) further supports a home win or draw. However, the odds of 1.1 imply a 91% probability, which is higher than my assessed 85%, so this is not a value bet.
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas wins 53% of home games and faces an Andratx side with zero away wins all season (0W/4D/12L). Despite the home advantage, Ibiza Islas Pitiusas is in declining form (4/15 points last 5 games) and Andratx is improving (5/15 points). The odds of 1.4 imply a 71% probability, exceeding my assessed 65%, so no value.
Draws are infrequent in this matchup, occurring in only 22% of H2H meetings. Ibiza Islas Pitiusas draws just 13% of home games, and Andratx draws 25% of away games. However, the odds of 1.57 imply a 64% probability, slightly above my assessed 60%, so no value bet.
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