The H2H data is overwhelming: BTTS has not happened in any of the last 10 meetings between these sides. Elfsborg's strong defense (only 11 goals conceded in 11 games) and Hammarby's poor away scoring record make it highly unlikely both teams find the net. The implied probability of 74% is slightly below our assessed 85%, but the margin is not enough for a value bet.

The H2H record shows extremely low-scoring matches, with only 1.7 avg goals per meeting and over 2.5 in just 30% of games. BTTS has never occurred in the last 10 meetings, suggesting both teams struggle to score against each other. Despite Elfsborg's strong home form, Hammarby's poor away record (1W/1D/3L) and the defensive nature of this fixture point to a low-scoring affair.

Hammarby has a strong H2H advantage, winning 50% of recent meetings. Their superior attack (24 goals vs 16) and Elfsborg's declining form (4 draws in last 5) suggest the visitors are likely to avoid defeat. However, the odds of 1.22 offer no value as our assessed probability (80%) is below the implied probability (82%).