Ipswich's home record is exceptional with just 1 loss in 22 games, making the 1X double chance extremely safe. QPR's away form is poor and they are in a downward spiral with 3 straight losses. The 95% assessed probability is justified by the data, but the odds are too short for value.

Ipswich are dominant at Portman Road with a 59% home win rate and only 1 defeat in 22 home matches. QPR are in poor form with 3 consecutive losses and have a weak away record (6W 7D 9L). The 82% assessed probability reflects Ipswich's clear superiority, though the odds offer limited value at 1.3.

The H2H record is extremely compelling with 0% BTTS in the last 10 meetings. Ipswich's home defense is solid and QPR's attack is struggling with their current form. The 82% assessed probability is supported by the historical data and current form trends, though the odds offer minimal value.