Adana Demirspor have not won away all season (0W 1D 17L) and are on a 4-match losing streak. İstanbulspor are unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 and have strong home form. The implied probability of 99% matches the near-certainty of İstanbulspor avoiding defeat.

Adana Demirspor have conceded 161 goals in 37 games (4.35 per game) and have 0 clean sheets all season. İstanbulspor are in strong form (3 wins in last 5) and face the worst defence in the league. Even with low H2H goals, the gulf in quality makes over 2.5 almost certain.

Adana Demirspor's attack is the worst in the league, averaging 0.57 goals per game. İstanbulspor, despite poor home clean sheet record, should dominate this mismatch. The visitors have failed to score in most away games, making a win to nil highly probable.