Tercera División RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense
😐 Mixed · 5/15 pts
VS
14:00
Mercadal
⚠️ Poor · 4/15 pts
Home 45%
Draw 45%
Away 10%
🗓 Wed 29 Apr 2026, 14:00
📍 Camp Municipal Es Puig, Lloseta (Mallorca) 🏆 Group 11 - 29
🎯 Our AI Picks for This Match
1 tip
AI-ranked by confidence · only the bets worth considering
Under 2.5 Goals
HIGH CONFIDENCE
Under 2.5
Historically, this fixture is extremely low-scoring: only 22% of H2H meetings exceeded 2.5 goals, and BTTS has never occurred in 9 matches. Both teams are in poor form, with Llosetense averaging 0.67 PPG and Mercadal 0.33 PPG over their last 3 games, suggesting limited attacking output. The defensive stats are solid, with Mercadal conceding only 0.97 goals per game overall, further supporting a low-scoring affair.
💡 Bet on whether total goals scored stay below the line
80%
conf.
Strong
✅ 1 high-confidence pick (75%+)
All tips generated by AI · Gamble responsibly
🏟 Form & Head-to-Head
Recent Form (last 5 games · W=Win D=Draw L=Loss)
Llosetense
D
D
L
L
W
😐 Mixed
(5/15 pts)
Mercadal
D
L
L
L
W
⚠️ Poor
(4/15 pts) Head-to-Head — Last 9 meetings
5
2
2
Llosetense: 5W (56%)
Draws: 2 (22%)
Mercadal: 2W (22%)
Nov 2025
Mercadal
vs
Llosetense
0 - 0
Apr 2025
Llosetense
vs
Mercadal
3 - 1
Nov 2024
Mercadal
vs
Llosetense
4 - 0
Apr 2024
Mercadal
vs
Llosetense
1 - 3
Dec 2023
Llosetense
vs
Mercadal
1 - 0
📈 Season Stats Comparison
▲ = statistical edge
Llosetense
Mercadal
50
▲
⚽
Goals Scored
Goals Scored
27
37
🥅
Goals Conceded
Goals Conceded
▲ 30
14
🏆
Wins
Wins
14
5
▲
🏅
League Position
League Position
8
📊 Llosetense leads on 2/3 comparable stats
🔮 Statistical Model Predictions
API-Football algorithm — reference data
Home Win
45%
Draw
45%
Away Win
10%
Statistical favourite:
Llosetense
Category Comparison
56%
📋 Form
44%
67%
⚔️ Attack
33%
50%
🛡 Defence
50%
71%
🔁 H2H
29%
61.0%
🎯 Overall
39.0%
🎯 AI Match Verdict
Top recommended bet:
Under 2.5
Under 2.5 Goals · 80% confidence
🗳️ Fan Poll
0 votes
What's your prediction?
Llosetense
33%
Draw
34%
Mercadal
33%
📖 How to Use This Page
1
Check Our AI Picks
Look for tips with 75%+ confidence (green ring). These are our strongest signals. ⭐ Value Bet means the odds may be higher than expected.
2
Understand the Odds
Each odds cell shows the bookmaker's implied probability (%). Compare this to the AI's confidence — if AI confidence is higher than implied %, that's a potential value opportunity.
3
Study the Stats
The ▲ arrows show which team has the statistical edge. Check form, H2H history, and season stats before deciding. A 🔥 Excellent form team with H2H dominance is a stronger pick.
4
Place Your Bet
Use a bookmaker below. Find the match → go to the market shown on the tip → select the outcome → confirm your stake.
⚠️ Gamble responsibly. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. Tips are AI-generated for entertainment — not guaranteed outcomes.
🎚 Confidence Tiers
80%
75%+ — Strong Pick
High AI conviction. Prioritise these.
70%
65–74% — Decent Pick
Good signal, some uncertainty remains.
55%
Below 65% — Speculative
Lower confidence. Smaller stakes advised.
📚 Market Glossary
1X2 — Home Win / Draw / Away Win
Over 2.5 — 3 or more goals total in the match
Under 2.5 — 2 or fewer goals total in the match
BTTS Yes — Both teams each score ≥1 goal
Double Chance — Covers 2 outcomes, lower risk & lower odds
Draw No Bet — Win if your team wins; stake back on draw
⭐ Value Bet — AI thinks odds are higher than they should be
Implied % — The bookmaker's probability (1 ÷ odds × 100)
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