Home › Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 › Lorca Deportiva vs Yeclano

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

Lorca Deportiva

⚠️ Poor · 2/15 pts

10:00

Yeclano

👍 Good · 8/15 pts

Home 35% Draw 35% Away 30%

🗓 Sun 26 Apr 2026, 10:00 📍 Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco, Lorca 🏆 Group 4 - 33

🎯 Our AI Picks for This Match

AI-ranked by confidence · only the bets worth considering

2 tips

Under 2.5 Goals HIGH CONFIDENCE

Under 2.5

Odds

1.50

Implied chance

≈67%

Both teams have low scoring rates (30 goals each in 32 games) and solid defensive records (Yeclano 0.94, Lorca 1.03 conceded per game). H2H history shows 60% of recent meetings went under 2.5 goals. Yeclano's poor away record and declining form suggest a cautious, low-scoring match.

💡 Bet on whether total goals scored stay below the line

75% conf.

Strong

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Yeclano)

Odds

1.28

Implied chance

≈78%

Yeclano dominates the form comparison (80% vs 20%) and has superior attacking and defensive metrics. Lorca Deportiva is in poor form with only 2 points from last 5 games. Despite Yeclano's declining trend, they are still stronger overall and likely to avoid defeat.

💡 Double Chance — covers two of the three possible outcomes

70% conf.

Decent

✅ 1 high-confidence pick (75%+)

All tips generated by AI · Gamble responsibly

📊 Odds & Implied Probability Opening odds · % = bookmaker's implied likelihood

Match Result — 1X2

Lorca Deportiva

2.70

≈37% chance

Draw

2.88

≈35% chance

Yeclano

2.45

≈41% chance

Bookmaker margin: 13% · Lower margin = better value for bettors

Goals Total — Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5 goals

2.50

≈40% chance

Under 2.5 goals

1.50

≈67% chance

Double Chance

Home or Draw

1.33

Away or Draw

1.28

Home or Away

1.80

🏟 Form & Head-to-Head

Recent Form (last 5 games · W=Win D=Draw L=Loss)

Lorca Deportiva

L L D D L

⚠️ Poor (2/15 pts)

Yeclano

D D L W W

👍 Good (8/15 pts)

Head-to-Head — Last 5 meetings

Lorca Deportiva: 2W (40%) Draws: 2 (40%) Yeclano: 1W (20%)

Sep 2025 Yeclano vs Lorca Deportiva 0 - 0

Jan 2022 Lorca Deportiva vs Yeclano 2 - 1

Sep 2021 Yeclano vs Lorca Deportiva 3 - 0

Mar 2021 Yeclano vs Lorca Deportiva 1 - 2

Nov 2020 Lorca Deportiva vs Yeclano 1 - 1

📈 Season Stats Comparison ▲ = statistical edge

Lorca Deportiva

Yeclano

⚽
Goals Scored

🥅
Goals Conceded

▲ 30

🏆
Wins

8 ▲

🏅
League Position

📊 Both teams are evenly matched across key season stats

🔮 Statistical Model Predictions API-Football algorithm — reference data

Home Win

35%

Draw

35%

Away Win

30%

Statistical favourite: Lorca Deportiva Goals signal: -3.5

Category Comparison

20%

📋 Form

80%

27%

⚔️ Attack

73%

42%

🛡 Defence

58%

62%

🔁 H2H

38%

43.3%

🎯 Overall

56.7%

🎯 AI Match Verdict

Top recommended bet:

Under 2.5

Under 2.5 Goals · 75% confidence

Odds

1.50

AI confidence

75%

+ 1 more tip — scroll down ↓

🗳️ Fan Poll 0 votes

What's your prediction?

Lorca Deportiv... 33%

Draw 34%

Yeclano 33%

📖 How to Use This Page

Check Our AI Picks

Look for tips with 75%+ confidence (green ring). These are our strongest signals. ⭐ Value Bet means the odds may be higher than expected.

Understand the Odds

Each odds cell shows the bookmaker's implied probability (%). Compare this to the AI's confidence — if AI confidence is higher than implied %, that's a potential value opportunity.

Study the Stats

The ▲ arrows show which team has the statistical edge. Check form, H2H history, and season stats before deciding. A 🔥 Excellent form team with H2H dominance is a stronger pick.

Place Your Bet

Use a bookmaker below. Find the match → go to the market shown on the tip → select the outcome → confirm your stake.

⚠️ Gamble responsibly. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. Tips are AI-generated for entertainment — not guaranteed outcomes.

🎚 Confidence Tiers

80%

75%+ — Strong Pick

High AI conviction. Prioritise these.

70%

65–74% — Decent Pick

Good signal, some uncertainty remains.

55%

Below 65% — Speculative

Lower confidence. Smaller stakes advised.

📚 Market Glossary

1X2 — Home Win / Draw / Away Win

Over 2.5 — 3 or more goals total in the match

Under 2.5 — 2 or fewer goals total in the match

BTTS Yes — Both teams each score ≥1 goal

Double Chance — Covers 2 outcomes, lower risk & lower odds

Draw No Bet — Win if your team wins; stake back on draw

⭐ Value Bet — AI thinks odds are higher than they should be

Implied % — The bookmaker's probability (1 ÷ odds × 100)

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