Home › Ligue 1 › Lorient vs Strasbourg

Ligue 1

Lorient

😐 Mixed · 7/15 pts

13:00

Strasbourg

😐 Mixed · 6/15 pts

Home 45% Draw 45% Away 10%

🗓 Sun 26 Apr 2026, 13:00 📍 Stade du Moustoir, Lorient 🏆 Regular Season - 31 👨‍⚖️ B. Millot

🎯 Our AI Picks for This Match

AI-ranked by confidence · only the bets worth considering

2 tips

Double Chance HIGH CONFIDENCE

1X (Lorient or Draw)

Odds

1.25

Implied chance

≈80%

Lorient are extremely difficult to beat at home, losing only 1 of 15 matches at Stade du Moustoir this season. Strasbourg have a modest away record with just 4 wins in 14 trips. The H2H advantage (62%) and Lorient's defensive edge (55% vs 45%) further support a home win or draw, though the odds offer no value.

💡 Double Chance — covers two of the three possible outcomes

80% conf.

Strong

Under 2.5 Goals HIGH CONFIDENCE

Under 2.5

Odds

1.22

Implied chance

≈82%

While the H2H average is 2.44 goals, Lorient's home defensive solidity and Strasbourg's low away scoring rate (0 avg goals per game) suggest a low-scoring affair. The implied probability of 82% aligns with the assessed probability, but the odds are too short for value. Confidence is 75% based on two strong defensive signals.

💡 Bet on whether total goals scored stay below the line

75% conf.

Strong

✅ 2 high-confidence picks (75%+)

All tips generated by AI · Gamble responsibly

📊 Odds & Implied Probability Opening odds · % = bookmaker's implied likelihood

Match Result — 1X2

Lorient

2.10

≈48% chance

Draw

3.60

≈28% chance

Strasbourg

3.20

≈31% chance

Bookmaker margin: 7% · Lower margin = better value for bettors

Goals Total — Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5 goals

4.00

≈25% chance

Under 2.5 goals

1.22

≈82% chance

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)

Yes — both score ✓

3.00

≈33% chance

No — clean sheet ✗

1.36

≈74% chance

Other Totals

Over 1.5

1.91

≈52%

Under 1.5

1.80

≈56%

Over 3.5

10.00

≈10%

Under 3.5

1.06

≈94%

Over 4.5

26.00

≈4%

Under 4.5

1.01

≈99%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

1.25

Away or Draw

1.40

Home or Away

1.57

🏟 Form & Head-to-Head

Recent Form (last 5 games · W=Win D=Draw L=Loss)

Lorient

W L D L W

😐 Mixed (7/15 pts)

Strasbourg

L L W L W

😐 Mixed (6/15 pts)

Head-to-Head — Last 9 meetings

Lorient: 3W (33%) Draws: 4 (44%) Strasbourg: 2W (23%)

Dec 2025 Strasbourg vs Lorient 0 - 0

Feb 2024 Strasbourg vs Lorient 1 - 3

Dec 2023 Lorient vs Strasbourg 1 - 2

Jun 2023 Lorient vs Strasbourg 2 - 1

Nov 2022 Strasbourg vs Lorient 1 - 1

📈 Season Stats Comparison ▲ = statistical edge

Lorient

Strasbourg

⚽
Goals Scored

▲ 46

🥅
Goals Conceded

▲ 37

🏆
Wins

▲ 12

🏅
League Position

▲ 8

📊 Strasbourg leads on 4/4 comparable stats

🔮 Statistical Model Predictions API-Football algorithm — reference data

Home Win

45%

Draw

45%

Away Win

10%

Statistical favourite: Lorient

Category Comparison

47%

📋 Form

53%

45%

⚔️ Attack

55%

🛡 Defence

45%

62%

🔁 H2H

38%

53.5%

🎯 Overall

46.5%

🎯 AI Match Verdict

Top recommended bet:

1X (Lorient or Draw)

Double Chance · 80% confidence

Odds

1.25

AI confidence

80%

+ 1 more tip — scroll down ↓

🗳️ Fan Poll 0 votes

What's your prediction?

Lorient 33%

Draw 34%

Strasbourg 33%

📖 How to Use This Page

Check Our AI Picks

Look for tips with 75%+ confidence (green ring). These are our strongest signals. ⭐ Value Bet means the odds may be higher than expected.

Understand the Odds

Each odds cell shows the bookmaker's implied probability (%). Compare this to the AI's confidence — if AI confidence is higher than implied %, that's a potential value opportunity.

Study the Stats

The ▲ arrows show which team has the statistical edge. Check form, H2H history, and season stats before deciding. A 🔥 Excellent form team with H2H dominance is a stronger pick.

Place Your Bet

Use a bookmaker below. Find the match → go to the market shown on the tip → select the outcome → confirm your stake.

⚠️ Gamble responsibly. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. Tips are AI-generated for entertainment — not guaranteed outcomes.

🎚 Confidence Tiers

80%

75%+ — Strong Pick

High AI conviction. Prioritise these.

70%

65–74% — Decent Pick

Good signal, some uncertainty remains.

55%

Below 65% — Speculative

Lower confidence. Smaller stakes advised.

📚 Market Glossary

1X2 — Home Win / Draw / Away Win

Over 2.5 — 3 or more goals total in the match

Under 2.5 — 2 or fewer goals total in the match

BTTS Yes — Both teams each score ≥1 goal

Double Chance — Covers 2 outcomes, lower risk & lower odds

Draw No Bet — Win if your team wins; stake back on draw

⭐ Value Bet — AI thinks odds are higher than they should be

Implied % — The bookmaker's probability (1 ÷ odds × 100)

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