Segunda Liga
Lusitânia Lourosa
⚠️ Poor · 2/15 pts
VS
10:00
Pacos Ferreira
😐 Mixed · 5/15 pts
Home 45%
Draw 45%
Away 10%
🗓 Sun 26 Apr 2026, 10:00
📍 Estádio do Lusitânia FC, Lourosa 🏆 Regular Season - 31
🎯 Our AI Picks for This Match
2 tips
AI-ranked by confidence · only the bets worth considering
Double Chance
HIGH CONFIDENCE
1X (Home or Draw)
Odds
1.25
Implied chance
≈80%
Lusitânia Lourosa has a strong H2H record with 2 wins from 2 meetings, and they are unbeaten in 73% of home games this season (4 wins, 7 draws). Pacos Ferreira struggles away from home with only a 20% win rate. The implied probability of 80% matches the assessed probability, so no value, but confidence is high due to multiple supporting signals.
💡 Double Chance — covers two of the three possible outcomes
75%
conf.
Strong
Under 2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
Odds
1.12
Implied chance
≈89%
Despite the H2H showing high-scoring games, season stats indicate both teams struggle to score consistently, with Pacos Ferreira averaging just 1 goal per game. The 0% over 2.5 rate for both sides in their respective home/away games strongly suggests a low-scoring affair. The implied probability of 89% is slightly higher than the assessed 85%, so no value, but confidence is solid.
💡 Bet on whether total goals scored stay below the line
70%
conf.
Decent
✅ 1 high-confidence pick (75%+)
All tips generated by AI · Gamble responsibly
📊 Odds & Implied Probability
Opening odds · % = bookmaker's implied likelihood
Match Result — 1X2
Lusitânia Lourosa
2.25
≈44% chance
Draw
3.00
≈33% chance
Pacos Ferreira
2.88
≈35% chance
Bookmaker margin: 12% · Lower margin = better value for bettors
Goals Total — Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5 goals
6.00
≈17% chance
Under 2.5 goals
1.12
≈89% chance
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)
Yes — both score ✓
3.75
≈27% chance
No — clean sheet ✗
1.25
≈80% chance
Other Totals
Over 1.5
2.38
≈42%
Under 1.5
1.53
≈65%
Over 3.5
17.00
≈6%
Under 3.5
1.02
≈98%
Over 4.5
9.00
≈11%
Under 4.5
1.07
≈93%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
1.25
Away or Draw
1.36
Home or Away
1.73
🏟 Form & Head-to-Head
Recent Form (last 5 games · W=Win D=Draw L=Loss)
Lusitânia Lourosa
L
D
D
L
L
⚠️ Poor
(2/15 pts)
Pacos Ferreira
W
D
D
L
L
😐 Mixed
(5/15 pts) Head-to-Head — Last 2 meetings
2
Lusitânia Lourosa: 2W (100%)
Draws: 0 (0%)
Pacos Ferreira: 0W (0%)
Dec 2025
Pacos Ferreira
vs
Lusitânia Lourosa
1 - 5
Jul 2023
Lusitânia Lourosa
vs
Pacos Ferreira
2 - 1
📈 Season Stats Comparison
▲ = statistical edge
Lusitânia Lourosa
Pacos Ferreira
40
▲
⚽
Goals Scored
Goals Scored
30
48
🥅
Goals Conceded
Goals Conceded
▲ 42
10
▲
🏆
Wins
Wins
8
12
▲
🏅
League Position
League Position
16
📊 Lusitânia Lourosa leads on 3/4 comparable stats
🔮 Statistical Model Predictions
API-Football algorithm — reference data
Home Win
45%
Draw
45%
Away Win
10%
Statistical favourite:
Lusitânia Lourosa
Category Comparison
29%
📋 Form
71%
50%
⚔️ Attack
50%
42%
🛡 Defence
58%
100%
🔁 H2H
0%
51.6%
🎯 Overall
48.4%
🎯 AI Match Verdict
Top recommended bet:
1X (Home or Draw)
Double Chance · 75% confidence
Odds
1.25
AI confidence
75%
+ 1 more tip — scroll down ↓
🗳️ Fan Poll
0 votes
What's your prediction?
Lusitânia Lour...
33%
Draw
34%
Pacos Ferreira
33%
📖 How to Use This Page
1
Check Our AI Picks
Look for tips with 75%+ confidence (green ring). These are our strongest signals. ⭐ Value Bet means the odds may be higher than expected.
2
Understand the Odds
Each odds cell shows the bookmaker's implied probability (%). Compare this to the AI's confidence — if AI confidence is higher than implied %, that's a potential value opportunity.
3
Study the Stats
The ▲ arrows show which team has the statistical edge. Check form, H2H history, and season stats before deciding. A 🔥 Excellent form team with H2H dominance is a stronger pick.
4
Place Your Bet
Use a bookmaker below. Find the match → go to the market shown on the tip → select the outcome → confirm your stake.
⚠️ Gamble responsibly. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. Tips are AI-generated for entertainment — not guaranteed outcomes.
🎚 Confidence Tiers
80%
75%+ — Strong Pick
High AI conviction. Prioritise these.
70%
65–74% — Decent Pick
Good signal, some uncertainty remains.
55%
Below 65% — Speculative
Lower confidence. Smaller stakes advised.
📚 Market Glossary
1X2 — Home Win / Draw / Away Win
Over 2.5 — 3 or more goals total in the match
Under 2.5 — 2 or fewer goals total in the match
BTTS Yes — Both teams each score ≥1 goal
Double Chance — Covers 2 outcomes, lower risk & lower odds
Draw No Bet — Win if your team wins; stake back on draw
⭐ Value Bet — AI thinks odds are higher than they should be
Implied % — The bookmaker's probability (1 ÷ odds × 100)
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