Home › Eliteserien › Molde vs Valerenga

Eliteserien

Molde

😐 Mixed · 7/15 pts

12:30

Valerenga

😐 Mixed · 5/15 pts

Home 45% Draw 45% Away 10%

🗓 Sun 26 Apr 2026, 12:30 📍 Aker Stadion, Molde 🏆 Regular Season - 6 👨‍⚖️ C. Moen

🎯 Our AI Picks for This Match

AI-ranked by confidence · only the bets worth considering

2 tips

Double Chance HIGH CONFIDENCE

1X (Molde or Draw)

Odds

1.28

Implied chance

≈78%

Molde have won 2 of 3 home games this season (67% win rate) and are unbeaten at home. Valerenga are in declining form with just 5 points from last 5 games. H2H record heavily favors Molde with 5 wins and 4 draws in last 10 meetings, making Molde or Draw a high-probability outcome.

💡 Double Chance — covers two of the three possible outcomes

80% conf.

Strong

Under 2.5 Goals HIGH CONFIDENCE

Under 2.5

Odds

1.30

Implied chance

≈77%

Valerenga have conceded only 4 goals in 5 games (0.8 per game) and scored just 4, indicating low-scoring matches. H2H history shows only 2.5 avg goals per meeting with 50% over 2.5 rate. Molde's home stats are incomplete but their overall goals conceded (1.4 per game) and Valerenga's defensive solidity suggest a tight game.

💡 Bet on whether total goals scored stay below the line

75% conf.

Strong

✅ 2 high-confidence picks (75%+)

All tips generated by AI · Gamble responsibly

📊 Odds & Implied Probability Opening odds · % = bookmaker's implied likelihood

Match Result — 1X2

Molde

2.00

≈50% chance

Draw

3.75

≈27% chance

Valerenga

3.40

≈29% chance

Bookmaker margin: 6% · Lower margin = better value for bettors

Goals Total — Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5 goals

3.40

≈29% chance

Under 2.5 goals

1.30

≈77% chance

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)

Yes — both score ✓

2.62

≈38% chance

No — clean sheet ✗

1.44

≈69% chance

Other Totals

Over 1.5

1.73

≈58%

Under 1.5

2.00

≈50%

Over 3.5

8.00

≈13%

Under 3.5

1.08

≈93%

Over 4.5

19.00

≈5%

Under 4.5

1.02

≈98%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

1.28

Away or Draw

1.50

Home or Away

1.53

🏟 Form & Head-to-Head

Recent Form (last 5 games · W=Win D=Draw L=Loss)

Molde

D W L L W

😐 Mixed (7/15 pts)

Valerenga

L D L D W

😐 Mixed (5/15 pts)

Head-to-Head — Last 10 meetings

Molde: 5W (50%) Draws: 4 (40%) Valerenga: 1W (10%)

Sep 2025 Molde vs Valerenga 4 - 1

Jun 2025 Valerenga vs Molde 2 - 3

Aug 2023 Molde vs Valerenga 0 - 0

Jul 2023 Valerenga vs Molde 0 - 4

Nov 2022 Valerenga vs Molde 1 - 2

📈 Season Stats Comparison ▲ = statistical edge

Molde

Valerenga

8 ▲

⚽
Goals Scored

🥅
Goals Conceded

▲ 4

🏆
Wins

4 ▲

🏅
League Position

📊 Molde leads on 2/3 comparable stats

🔮 Statistical Model Predictions API-Football algorithm — reference data

Home Win

45%

Draw

45%

Away Win

10%

Statistical favourite: Molde

Category Comparison

50%

📋 Form

50%

67%

⚔️ Attack

33%

36%

🛡 Defence

64%

93%

🔁 H2H

60.5%

🎯 Overall

39.5%

🎯 AI Match Verdict

Top recommended bet:

1X (Molde or Draw)

Double Chance · 80% confidence

Odds

1.28

AI confidence

80%

+ 1 more tip — scroll down ↓

🗳️ Fan Poll 0 votes

What's your prediction?

Molde 33%

Draw 34%

Valerenga 33%

📖 How to Use This Page

Check Our AI Picks

Look for tips with 75%+ confidence (green ring). These are our strongest signals. ⭐ Value Bet means the odds may be higher than expected.

Understand the Odds

Each odds cell shows the bookmaker's implied probability (%). Compare this to the AI's confidence — if AI confidence is higher than implied %, that's a potential value opportunity.

Study the Stats

The ▲ arrows show which team has the statistical edge. Check form, H2H history, and season stats before deciding. A 🔥 Excellent form team with H2H dominance is a stronger pick.

Place Your Bet

Use a bookmaker below. Find the match → go to the market shown on the tip → select the outcome → confirm your stake.

⚠️ Gamble responsibly. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. Tips are AI-generated for entertainment — not guaranteed outcomes.

🎚 Confidence Tiers

80%

75%+ — Strong Pick

High AI conviction. Prioritise these.

70%

65–74% — Decent Pick

Good signal, some uncertainty remains.

55%

Below 65% — Speculative

Lower confidence. Smaller stakes advised.

📚 Market Glossary

1X2 — Home Win / Draw / Away Win

Over 2.5 — 3 or more goals total in the match

Under 2.5 — 2 or fewer goals total in the match

BTTS Yes — Both teams each score ≥1 goal

Double Chance — Covers 2 outcomes, lower risk & lower odds

Draw No Bet — Win if your team wins; stake back on draw

⭐ Value Bet — AI thinks odds are higher than they should be

Implied % — The bookmaker's probability (1 ÷ odds × 100)

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