J1 League
Nagoya Grampus
👍 Good · 8/15 pts
VS
06:00
Fagiano Okayama
⚠️ Poor · 4/15 pts
Home 50%
Draw 50%
Away 0%
🗓 Wed 29 Apr 2026, 06:00
📍 Toyota Stadium, Toyota City 🏆 Regular Season - 13
🎯 Our AI Picks for This Match
2 tips
AI-ranked by confidence · only the bets worth considering
Under 2.5 Goals
HIGH CONFIDENCE
Under 2.5
Odds
1.14
Implied chance
≈88%
Historically, this fixture is extremely low-scoring with 0% of the last 7 meetings going over 2.5 goals and 0% seeing both teams score. Both teams also have a 0% over 2.5 rate in their respective home and away games this season, strongly supporting another low-scoring affair.
💡 Bet on whether total goals scored stay below the line
85%
conf.
Strong
BTTS No
HIGH CONFIDENCE
No
Odds
1.25
Implied chance
≈80%
The head-to-head record shows zero BTTS occurrences in the last 7 meetings, and both teams have a 0% BTTS rate in their respective home and away matches this season. This consistent pattern strongly indicates at least one team will fail to score.
💡 Both teams must score at least 1 goal each
80%
conf.
Strong
✅ 2 high-confidence picks (75%+)
All tips generated by AI · Gamble responsibly
📊 Odds & Implied Probability
Opening odds · % = bookmaker's implied likelihood
Match Result — 1X2
Nagoya Grampus
2.00
≈50% chance
Draw
3.40
≈29% chance
Fagiano Okayama
3.75
≈27% chance
Bookmaker margin: 6% · Lower margin = better value for bettors
Goals Total — Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5 goals
5.50
≈18% chance
Under 2.5 goals
1.14
≈88% chance
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)
Yes — both score ✓
3.75
≈27% chance
No — clean sheet ✗
1.25
≈80% chance
Other Totals
Over 1.5
2.25
≈44%
Under 1.5
1.57
≈64%
Over 3.5
15.00
≈7%
Under 3.5
1.03
≈97%
Over 4.5
9.00
≈11%
Under 4.5
1.07
≈93%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
1.20
Away or Draw
1.44
Home or Away
1.67
🏟 Form & Head-to-Head
Recent Form (last 5 games · W=Win D=Draw L=Loss)
Nagoya Grampus
W
D
L
W
D
👍 Good
(8/15 pts)
Fagiano Okayama
W
D
L
L
L
⚠️ Poor
(4/15 pts) Head-to-Head — Last 7 meetings
5
2
Nagoya Grampus: 5W (71%)
Draws: 2 (29%)
Fagiano Okayama: 0W (0%)
Mar 2026
Fagiano Okayama
vs
Nagoya Grampus
1 - 1
Sep 2025
Fagiano Okayama
vs
Nagoya Grampus
0 - 1
May 2025
Nagoya Grampus
vs
Fagiano Okayama
0 - 0
Aug 2021
Nagoya Grampus
vs
Fagiano Okayama
1 - 0
Nov 2017
Fagiano Okayama
vs
Nagoya Grampus
0 - 1
📈 Season Stats Comparison
▲ = statistical edge
Nagoya Grampus
Fagiano Okayama
22
▲
⚽
Goals Scored
Goals Scored
15
17
▲
🥅
Goals Conceded
Goals Conceded
23
7
▲
🏆
Wins
Wins
4
2
▲
🏅
League Position
League Position
8
📊 Nagoya Grampus leads on 4/4 comparable stats
🔮 Statistical Model Predictions
API-Football algorithm — reference data
Home Win
50%
Draw
50%
Away Win
0%
Statistical favourite:
Nagoya Grampus
Goals signal:
+1.5
Category Comparison
75%
📋 Form
25%
65%
⚔️ Attack
35%
65%
🛡 Defence
35%
71%
🔁 H2H
29%
68.0%
🎯 Overall
32.0%
🎯 AI Match Verdict
Top recommended bet:
Under 2.5
Under 2.5 Goals · 85% confidence
Odds
1.14
AI confidence
85%
+ 1 more tip — scroll down ↓
🗳️ Fan Poll
0 votes
What's your prediction?
Nagoya Grampus
33%
Draw
34%
Fagiano Okayam...
33%
📖 How to Use This Page
1
Check Our AI Picks
Look for tips with 75%+ confidence (green ring). These are our strongest signals. ⭐ Value Bet means the odds may be higher than expected.
2
Understand the Odds
Each odds cell shows the bookmaker's implied probability (%). Compare this to the AI's confidence — if AI confidence is higher than implied %, that's a potential value opportunity.
3
Study the Stats
The ▲ arrows show which team has the statistical edge. Check form, H2H history, and season stats before deciding. A 🔥 Excellent form team with H2H dominance is a stronger pick.
4
Place Your Bet
Use a bookmaker below. Find the match → go to the market shown on the tip → select the outcome → confirm your stake.
⚠️ Gamble responsibly. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. Tips are AI-generated for entertainment — not guaranteed outcomes.
🎚 Confidence Tiers
80%
75%+ — Strong Pick
High AI conviction. Prioritise these.
70%
65–74% — Decent Pick
Good signal, some uncertainty remains.
55%
Below 65% — Speculative
Lower confidence. Smaller stakes advised.
📚 Market Glossary
1X2 — Home Win / Draw / Away Win
Over 2.5 — 3 or more goals total in the match
Under 2.5 — 2 or fewer goals total in the match
BTTS Yes — Both teams each score ≥1 goal
Double Chance — Covers 2 outcomes, lower risk & lower odds
Draw No Bet — Win if your team wins; stake back on draw
⭐ Value Bet — AI thinks odds are higher than they should be
Implied % — The bookmaker's probability (1 ÷ odds × 100)
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