Serie D - Girone E
Orvietana Calcio
😐 Mixed · 5/15 pts
VS
13:00
Sansepolcro
⚠️ Poor · 3/15 pts
Home 45%
Draw 45%
Away 10%
🗓 Sun 26 Apr 2026, 13:00
📍 Stadio Luigi Muzi, Orvieto 🏆 Group E - 33
🎯 Our AI Picks for This Match
2 tips
AI-ranked by confidence · only the bets worth considering
Under 2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
Orvietana averages only 0.94 goals per game overall and has scored 0 in their last 2 home matches. Sansepolcro has the worst attack in the league with 18 goals in 32 games (0.56/game) and has failed to score in 63% of away games. Despite H2H showing 75% over 2.5, the current form and low scoring rates strongly suggest a low-scoring affair.
💡 Bet on whether total goals scored stay below the line
72%
conf.
Decent
Double Chance
Orvietana Calcio or Draw
Sansepolcro has failed to win any of their 16 away matches this season (0 wins, 6 draws, 10 losses). Orvietana shows improving form with upward momentum and holds a clear defensive advantage (70% vs 30%). The home side's 63% form advantage further supports them avoiding defeat in this matchup.
💡 Double Chance — covers two of the three possible outcomes
68%
conf.
Decent
All tips generated by AI · Gamble responsibly
🏟 Form & Head-to-Head
Recent Form (last 5 games · W=Win D=Draw L=Loss)
Orvietana Calcio
W
L
D
D
L
😐 Mixed
(5/15 pts)
Sansepolcro
D
D
D
L
L
⚠️ Poor
(3/15 pts) Head-to-Head — Last 4 meetings
3
1
Orvietana Calcio: 0W (0%)
Draws: 3 (75%)
Sansepolcro: 1W (25%)
Dec 2025
Sansepolcro
vs
Orvietana Calcio
2 - 2
Jan 2024
Orvietana Calcio
vs
Sansepolcro
0 - 0
Sep 2023
Sansepolcro
vs
Orvietana Calcio
2 - 1
Sep 2023
Sansepolcro
vs
Orvietana Calcio
2 - 2
📈 Season Stats Comparison
▲ = statistical edge
Orvietana Calcio
Sansepolcro
30
▲
⚽
Goals Scored
Goals Scored
18
35
▲
🥅
Goals Conceded
Goals Conceded
43
8
▲
🏆
Wins
Wins
2
14
▲
🏅
League Position
League Position
18
📊 Orvietana Calcio leads on 4/4 comparable stats
🔮 Statistical Model Predictions
API-Football algorithm — reference data
Home Win
45%
Draw
45%
Away Win
10%
Statistical favourite:
Orvietana Calcio
Goals signal:
-3.5
Category Comparison
63%
📋 Form
38%
40%
⚔️ Attack
60%
70%
🛡 Defence
30%
33%
🔁 H2H
67%
52.7%
🎯 Overall
47.5%
🎯 AI Match Verdict
Top recommended bet:
Under 2.5
Under 2.5 Goals · 72% confidence
+ 1 more tip — scroll down ↓
🗳️ Fan Poll
0 votes
What's your prediction?
Orvietana Calc...
33%
Draw
34%
Sansepolcro
33%
📖 How to Use This Page
1
Check Our AI Picks
Look for tips with 75%+ confidence (green ring). These are our strongest signals. ⭐ Value Bet means the odds may be higher than expected.
2
Understand the Odds
Each odds cell shows the bookmaker's implied probability (%). Compare this to the AI's confidence — if AI confidence is higher than implied %, that's a potential value opportunity.
3
Study the Stats
The ▲ arrows show which team has the statistical edge. Check form, H2H history, and season stats before deciding. A 🔥 Excellent form team with H2H dominance is a stronger pick.
4
Place Your Bet
Use a bookmaker below. Find the match → go to the market shown on the tip → select the outcome → confirm your stake.
⚠️ Gamble responsibly. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. Tips are AI-generated for entertainment — not guaranteed outcomes.
🎚 Confidence Tiers
80%
75%+ — Strong Pick
High AI conviction. Prioritise these.
70%
65–74% — Decent Pick
Good signal, some uncertainty remains.
55%
Below 65% — Speculative
Lower confidence. Smaller stakes advised.
📚 Market Glossary
1X2 — Home Win / Draw / Away Win
Over 2.5 — 3 or more goals total in the match
Under 2.5 — 2 or fewer goals total in the match
BTTS Yes — Both teams each score ≥1 goal
Double Chance — Covers 2 outcomes, lower risk & lower odds
Draw No Bet — Win if your team wins; stake back on draw
⭐ Value Bet — AI thinks odds are higher than they should be
Implied % — The bookmaker's probability (1 ÷ odds × 100)
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