Ekstraklasa
Piast Gliwice
😐 Mixed · 7/15 pts
VS
17:00
Arka Gdynia
😐 Mixed · 5/15 pts
Home 45%
Draw 45%
Away 10%
🗓 Mon 27 Apr 2026, 17:00
📍 Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach, Gliwice 🏆 Regular Season - 30
🎯 Our AI Picks for This Match
2 tips
AI-ranked by confidence · only the bets worth considering
Under 2.5 Goals
HIGH CONFIDENCE
Under 2.5
Odds
1.17
Implied chance
≈85%
Historically, Piast vs Arka matches are extremely low-scoring with 0 of 10 H2H meetings going over 2.5 goals. Both teams have a 0% over 2.5 rate in their respective home and away games this season, and Piast's recent form decline (0.33 PPG last 3) further suppresses scoring potential. The implied probability of 85% is slightly below my assessed 90%, but the edge is under 5 points so this is not a value bet.
💡 Bet on whether total goals scored stay below the line
85%
conf.
Strong
BTTS No
HIGH CONFIDENCE
No
Odds
1.28
Implied chance
≈78%
The H2H record shows zero BTTS in the last 10 meetings, and both teams have a 0% BTTS rate in home/away games this season. Arka Gdynia's away attack is non-existent (0 goals per game on average), making it highly likely that at least one team fails to score. The implied probability of 78% is close to my assessed 82%, so no significant value edge.
💡 Both teams must score at least 1 goal each
80%
conf.
Strong
✅ 2 high-confidence picks (75%+)
All tips generated by AI · Gamble responsibly
📊 Odds & Implied Probability
Opening odds · % = bookmaker's implied likelihood
Match Result — 1X2
Piast Gliwice
1.75
≈57% chance
Draw
3.40
≈29% chance
Arka Gdynia
4.10
≈24% chance
Bookmaker margin: 10% · Lower margin = better value for bettors
Goals Total — Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5 goals
5.00
≈20% chance
Under 2.5 goals
1.17
≈85% chance
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)
Yes — both score ✓
3.50
≈29% chance
No — clean sheet ✗
1.28
≈78% chance
Other Totals
Over 1.5
2.10
≈48%
Under 1.5
1.67
≈60%
Over 3.5
13.00
≈8%
Under 3.5
1.04
≈96%
Over 4.5
7.00
≈14%
Under 4.5
1.10
≈91%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
1.17
Away or Draw
1.53
Home or Away
1.62
🏟 Form & Head-to-Head
Recent Form (last 5 games · W=Win D=Draw L=Loss)
Piast Gliwice
D
L
L
W
W
😐 Mixed
(7/15 pts)
Arka Gdynia
L
D
W
L
D
😐 Mixed
(5/15 pts) Head-to-Head — Last 10 meetings
5
4
1
Piast Gliwice: 5W (50%)
Draws: 4 (40%)
Arka Gdynia: 1W (10%)
Oct 2025
Arka Gdynia
vs
Piast Gliwice
2 - 1
Jul 2025
Arka Gdynia
vs
Piast Gliwice
? - ?
Oct 2024
Arka Gdynia
vs
Piast Gliwice
1 - 3
Jul 2023
Arka Gdynia
vs
Piast Gliwice
2 - 3
Jul 2023
Arka Gdynia
vs
Piast Gliwice
? - ?
📈 Season Stats Comparison
▲ = statistical edge
Piast Gliwice
Arka Gdynia
35
▲
⚽
Goals Scored
Goals Scored
30
39
▲
🥅
Goals Conceded
Goals Conceded
50
10
▲
🏆
Wins
Wins
9
15
▲
🏅
League Position
League Position
16
📊 Piast Gliwice leads on 4/4 comparable stats
🔮 Statistical Model Predictions
API-Football algorithm — reference data
Home Win
45%
Draw
45%
Away Win
10%
Statistical favourite:
Piast Gliwice
Category Comparison
58%
📋 Form
42%
62%
⚔️ Attack
38%
53%
🛡 Defence
47%
62%
🔁 H2H
38%
61.0%
🎯 Overall
39.0%
🎯 AI Match Verdict
Top recommended bet:
Under 2.5
Under 2.5 Goals · 85% confidence
Odds
1.17
AI confidence
85%
+ 1 more tip — scroll down ↓
🗳️ Fan Poll
0 votes
What's your prediction?
Piast Gliwice
33%
Draw
34%
Arka Gdynia
33%
📖 How to Use This Page
1
Check Our AI Picks
Look for tips with 75%+ confidence (green ring). These are our strongest signals. ⭐ Value Bet means the odds may be higher than expected.
2
Understand the Odds
Each odds cell shows the bookmaker's implied probability (%). Compare this to the AI's confidence — if AI confidence is higher than implied %, that's a potential value opportunity.
3
Study the Stats
The ▲ arrows show which team has the statistical edge. Check form, H2H history, and season stats before deciding. A 🔥 Excellent form team with H2H dominance is a stronger pick.
4
Place Your Bet
Use a bookmaker below. Find the match → go to the market shown on the tip → select the outcome → confirm your stake.
⚠️ Gamble responsibly. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. Tips are AI-generated for entertainment — not guaranteed outcomes.
🎚 Confidence Tiers
80%
75%+ — Strong Pick
High AI conviction. Prioritise these.
70%
65–74% — Decent Pick
Good signal, some uncertainty remains.
55%
Below 65% — Speculative
Lower confidence. Smaller stakes advised.
📚 Market Glossary
1X2 — Home Win / Draw / Away Win
Over 2.5 — 3 or more goals total in the match
Under 2.5 — 2 or fewer goals total in the match
BTTS Yes — Both teams each score ≥1 goal
Double Chance — Covers 2 outcomes, lower risk & lower odds
Draw No Bet — Win if your team wins; stake back on draw
⭐ Value Bet — AI thinks odds are higher than they should be
Implied % — The bookmaker's probability (1 ÷ odds × 100)
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