Home › Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 › Poblense vs Porreres

Segunda División RFEF - Group 3

Poblense

👍 Good · 8/15 pts

10:00

Porreres

😐 Mixed · 6/15 pts

Home 45% Draw 45% Away 10%

🗓 Sun 26 Apr 2026, 10:00 📍 Estadio Municipal de Sa Pobla, La Puebla (Sa Pobla) (Mallorca) 🏆 Group 3 - 33

🎯 Our AI Picks for This Match

AI-ranked by confidence · only the bets worth considering

3 tips

Double Chance HIGH CONFIDENCE

1X (Poblense or Draw)

Odds

1.08

Implied chance

≈93%

Poblense's near-perfect home record (15 unbeaten in 16 games) combined with Porreres' poor away form (only 2 wins) makes an away win extremely improbable. The 94% assessed probability is supported by the home unbeaten rate and defensive superiority, but the odds are too short for value.

💡 Double Chance — covers two of the three possible outcomes

90% conf.

Strong

1X2 HIGH CONFIDENCE

Poblense

Odds

1.38

Implied chance

≈72%

Poblense's strong home form (56% win rate) and Porreres' weak away record (13% win rate) create a clear advantage. Poblense's improving form contrasts with Porreres' declining trajectory, supported by a 62.8% overall team comparison advantage. The odds imply a 72% chance, but my assessed probability of 78% is supported by these two strong signals, though the edge is below the 5-point threshold for a value bet.

💡 Bet on the match result — Home Win, Draw or Away Win

78% conf.

Strong

Under/Over Goals

Under 2.5 Goals

Odds

1.75

Implied chance

≈57%

The historical H2H trend (1.33 avg goals) and Poblense's solid defense (0.75 conceded per game) suggest a low-scoring match. Porreres' poor attack (0.66 goals per game) further supports under 2.5 goals. However, the edge is minimal (3 percentage points), and the confidence is moderate at 60%.

💡 Bet on whether total goals scored exceed the line

60% conf.

Speculative

✅ 2 high-confidence picks (75%+)

All tips generated by AI · Gamble responsibly

📊 Odds & Implied Probability Opening odds · % = bookmaker's implied likelihood

Match Result — 1X2

Poblense

1.38

≈72% chance

Draw

3.80

≈26% chance

Porreres

7.50

≈13% chance

Bookmaker margin: 11% · Lower margin = better value for bettors

Goals Total — Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5 goals

2.05

≈49% chance

Under 2.5 goals

1.75

≈57% chance

Double Chance

Home or Draw

1.08

Away or Draw

1.80

Home or Away

1.62

🏟 Form & Head-to-Head

Recent Form (last 5 games · W=Win D=Draw L=Loss)

Poblense

W W L D D

👍 Good (8/15 pts)

Porreres

L L L W W

😐 Mixed (6/15 pts)

Head-to-Head — Last 3 meetings

Poblense: 1W (33%) Draws: 1 (33%) Porreres: 1W (34%)

Jan 2026 Porreres vs Poblense 0 - 3

Mar 2025 Porreres vs Poblense 0 - 0

Nov 2024 Poblense vs Porreres 0 - 1

📈 Season Stats Comparison ▲ = statistical edge

Poblense

Porreres

37 ▲

⚽
Goals Scored

24 ▲

🥅
Goals Conceded

15 ▲

🏆
Wins

3 ▲

🏅
League Position

📊 Poblense leads on 4/4 comparable stats

🔮 Statistical Model Predictions API-Football algorithm — reference data

Home Win

45%

Draw

45%

Away Win

10%

Statistical favourite: Poblense

Category Comparison

57%

📋 Form

43%

45%

⚔️ Attack

55%

67%

🛡 Defence

33%

50%

🔁 H2H

50%

62.8%

🎯 Overall

37.2%

🎯 AI Match Verdict

Top recommended bet:

1X (Poblense or Draw)

Double Chance · 90% confidence

Odds

1.08

AI confidence

90%

+ 2 more tips — scroll down ↓

🗳️ Fan Poll 0 votes

What's your prediction?

Poblense 33%

Draw 34%

Porreres 33%

📖 How to Use This Page

Check Our AI Picks

Look for tips with 75%+ confidence (green ring). These are our strongest signals. ⭐ Value Bet means the odds may be higher than expected.

Understand the Odds

Each odds cell shows the bookmaker's implied probability (%). Compare this to the AI's confidence — if AI confidence is higher than implied %, that's a potential value opportunity.

Study the Stats

The ▲ arrows show which team has the statistical edge. Check form, H2H history, and season stats before deciding. A 🔥 Excellent form team with H2H dominance is a stronger pick.

Place Your Bet

Use a bookmaker below. Find the match → go to the market shown on the tip → select the outcome → confirm your stake.

⚠️ Gamble responsibly. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. Tips are AI-generated for entertainment — not guaranteed outcomes.

🎚 Confidence Tiers

80%

75%+ — Strong Pick

High AI conviction. Prioritise these.

70%

65–74% — Decent Pick

Good signal, some uncertainty remains.

55%

Below 65% — Speculative

Lower confidence. Smaller stakes advised.

📚 Market Glossary

1X2 — Home Win / Draw / Away Win

Over 2.5 — 3 or more goals total in the match

Under 2.5 — 2 or fewer goals total in the match

BTTS Yes — Both teams each score ≥1 goal

Double Chance — Covers 2 outcomes, lower risk & lower odds

Draw No Bet — Win if your team wins; stake back on draw

⭐ Value Bet — AI thinks odds are higher than they should be

Implied % — The bookmaker's probability (1 ÷ odds × 100)

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