Home › Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 › Puente Genil vs Málaga II

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

Puente Genil

⚠️ Poor · 4/15 pts

10:00

Málaga II

😐 Mixed · 6/15 pts

Home 35% Draw 35% Away 30%

🗓 Sun 26 Apr 2026, 10:00 📍 Estadio Municipal Manuel Polinario, Puente Genil 🏆 Group 4 - 33

🎯 Our AI Picks for This Match

AI-ranked by confidence · only the bets worth considering

2 tips

Double Chance HIGH CONFIDENCE

1X (Home or Draw)

Odds

1.10

Implied chance

≈91%

Puente Genil has lost only 1 of 16 home matches (94% unbeaten rate), while Málaga II has failed to win any of 16 away games (0% away win rate). The defensive comparison heavily favors Puente Genil (72% advantage), making a home loss highly unlikely. With implied probability at 91% and assessed at 90%, this is a high-confidence play but not a value bet.

💡 Double Chance — covers two of the three possible outcomes

85% conf.

Strong

Match Result HIGH CONFIDENCE

Home Win

Odds

1.48

Implied chance

≈68%

Puente Genil's home record (6W/9D/1L) contrasts sharply with Málaga II's away record (0W/3D/13L). The visitors concede nearly 2 goals per game on average, while Puente Genil's defense is statistically superior. Although the home win rate is only 38%, the opponent's complete inability to win away makes this a solid selection with a slight edge over implied probability.

💡 Place as a single bet on any major bookmaker

75% conf.

Strong

✅ 2 high-confidence picks (75%+)

All tips generated by AI · Gamble responsibly

📊 Odds & Implied Probability Opening odds · % = bookmaker's implied likelihood

Match Result — 1X2

Puente Genil

1.48

≈68% chance

Draw

3.75

≈27% chance

Málaga II

5.75

≈17% chance

Bookmaker margin: 12% · Lower margin = better value for bettors

Goals Total — Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5 goals

1.90

≈53% chance

Under 2.5 goals

1.90

≈53% chance

Double Chance

Home or Draw

1.10

Away or Draw

1.73

Home or Away

1.62

🏟 Form & Head-to-Head

Recent Form (last 5 games · W=Win D=Draw L=Loss)

Puente Genil

L D W L L

⚠️ Poor (4/15 pts)

Málaga II

W L W L L

😐 Mixed (6/15 pts)

Head-to-Head — Last 1 meetings

Puente Genil: 0W (0%) Draws: 1 (100%) Málaga II: 0W (0%)

Sep 2025 Málaga II vs Puente Genil 0 - 0

📈 Season Stats Comparison ▲ = statistical edge

Puente Genil

Málaga II

⚽
Goals Scored

▲ 28

35 ▲

🥅
Goals Conceded

9 ▲

🏆
Wins

14 ▲

🏅
League Position

📊 Puente Genil leads on 3/4 comparable stats

🔮 Statistical Model Predictions API-Football algorithm — reference data

Home Win

35%

Draw

35%

Away Win

30%

Statistical favourite: Puente Genil

Category Comparison

40%

📋 Form

60%

33%

⚔️ Attack

67%

72%

🛡 Defence

28%

50%

🔁 H2H

50%

53.8%

🎯 Overall

46.2%

🎯 AI Match Verdict

Top recommended bet:

1X (Home or Draw)

Double Chance · 85% confidence

Odds

1.10

AI confidence

85%

+ 1 more tip — scroll down ↓

🗳️ Fan Poll 0 votes

What's your prediction?

Puente Genil 33%

Draw 34%

Málaga II 33%

📖 How to Use This Page

Check Our AI Picks

Look for tips with 75%+ confidence (green ring). These are our strongest signals. ⭐ Value Bet means the odds may be higher than expected.

Understand the Odds

Each odds cell shows the bookmaker's implied probability (%). Compare this to the AI's confidence — if AI confidence is higher than implied %, that's a potential value opportunity.

Study the Stats

The ▲ arrows show which team has the statistical edge. Check form, H2H history, and season stats before deciding. A 🔥 Excellent form team with H2H dominance is a stronger pick.

Place Your Bet

Use a bookmaker below. Find the match → go to the market shown on the tip → select the outcome → confirm your stake.

⚠️ Gamble responsibly. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. Tips are AI-generated for entertainment — not guaranteed outcomes.

🎚 Confidence Tiers

80%

75%+ — Strong Pick

High AI conviction. Prioritise these.

70%

65–74% — Decent Pick

Good signal, some uncertainty remains.

55%

Below 65% — Speculative

Lower confidence. Smaller stakes advised.

📚 Market Glossary

1X2 — Home Win / Draw / Away Win

Over 2.5 — 3 or more goals total in the match

Under 2.5 — 2 or fewer goals total in the match

BTTS Yes — Both teams each score ≥1 goal

Double Chance — Covers 2 outcomes, lower risk & lower odds

Draw No Bet — Win if your team wins; stake back on draw

⭐ Value Bet — AI thinks odds are higher than they should be

Implied % — The bookmaker's probability (1 ÷ odds × 100)

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