Home › Super League › Qingdao Jonoon vs Shandong Luneng

Super League

Qingdao Jonoon

😐 Mixed · 5/15 pts

09:00

Shandong Luneng

😐 Mixed · 7/15 pts

Home 10% Draw 45% Away 45%

🗓 Sun 26 Apr 2026, 09:00 📍 Qingdao Youth Football Stadium, Qingdao 🏆 Regular Season - 8

🎯 Our AI Picks for This Match

AI-ranked by confidence · only the bets worth considering

3 tips

BTTS No HIGH CONFIDENCE

Odds

1.36

Implied chance

≈74%

Both teams have recorded 0% BTTS rates in their respective home/away games this season, indicating a strong trend toward one-sided scoring or clean sheets. Qingdao Jonoon's lack of home goals (0 per game) makes it unlikely both teams will score. The assessed probability of 76% is close to the implied 74%, with no significant edge for a value bet.

💡 Both teams must score at least 1 goal each

78% conf.

Strong

Under 2.5 Goals HIGH CONFIDENCE

Under 2.5

Odds

1.25

Implied chance

≈80%

Historical H2H data shows only 29% of matches exceed 2.5 goals, and both teams have 0% over 2.5 rates in their respective home/away games this season. Qingdao Jonoon averages 0 goals scored at home, while Shandong Luneng's away scoring is also limited. The 82% assessed probability aligns with the implied 80%, but the edge is minimal, so this is not a value bet.

💡 Bet on whether total goals scored stay below the line

75% conf.

Strong

Match Result

Shandong Luneng (Away Win)

Odds

1.75

Implied chance

≈57%

Shandong Luneng's 67% away win rate and 75% H2H advantage strongly favor them. Qingdao Jonoon's poor form (5/15 pts) and -7 goal difference indicate defensive fragility. Despite the odds implying 57% probability, the statistical comparison (61.7% overall advantage) supports a higher assessed probability of 65%, but the edge is below the 5% threshold for a value bet.

💡 Place as a single bet on any major bookmaker

72% conf.

Decent

✅ 2 high-confidence picks (75%+)

All tips generated by AI · Gamble responsibly

📊 Odds & Implied Probability Opening odds · % = bookmaker's implied likelihood

Match Result — 1X2

Qingdao Jonoon

4.00

≈25% chance

Draw

3.70

≈27% chance

Shandong Luneng

1.75

≈57% chance

Bookmaker margin: 9% · Lower margin = better value for bettors

Goals Total — Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5 goals

3.75

≈27% chance

Under 2.5 goals

1.25

≈80% chance

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)

Yes — both score ✓

3.00

≈33% chance

No — clean sheet ✗

1.36

≈74% chance

Other Totals

Over 1.5

1.83

≈55%

Under 1.5

1.83

≈55%

Over 3.5

10.00

≈10%

Under 3.5

1.06

≈94%

Over 4.5

23.00

≈4%

Under 4.5

1.01

≈99%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

1.57

Away or Draw

1.20

Home or Away

1.53

🏟 Form & Head-to-Head

Recent Form (last 5 games · W=Win D=Draw L=Loss)

Qingdao Jonoon

L D D W L

😐 Mixed (5/15 pts)

Shandong Luneng

W D W L L

😐 Mixed (7/15 pts)

Head-to-Head — Last 7 meetings

Qingdao Jonoon: 0W (0%) Draws: 3 (43%) Shandong Luneng: 4W (57%)

Sep 2025 Qingdao Jonoon vs Shandong Luneng 2 - 2

May 2025 Shandong Luneng vs Qingdao Jonoon 1 - 1

Jul 2024 Shandong Luneng vs Qingdao Jonoon 1 - 1

Apr 2024 Qingdao Jonoon vs Shandong Luneng 0 - 1

Sep 2023 Shandong Luneng vs Qingdao Jonoon 4 - 2

📈 Season Stats Comparison ▲ = statistical edge

Qingdao Jonoon

Shandong Luneng

⚽
Goals Scored

▲ 10

🥅
Goals Conceded

▲ 9

🏆
Wins

▲ 4

🏅
League Position

▲ 6

📊 Shandong Luneng leads on 4/4 comparable stats

🔮 Statistical Model Predictions API-Football algorithm — reference data

Home Win

10%

Draw

45%

Away Win

45%

Statistical favourite: Shandong Luneng

Category Comparison

42%

📋 Form

58%

38%

⚔️ Attack

63%

53%

🛡 Defence

47%

25%

🔁 H2H

75%

38.5%

🎯 Overall

61.7%

🎯 AI Match Verdict

Top recommended bet:

BTTS No · 78% confidence

Odds

1.36

AI confidence

78%

+ 2 more tips — scroll down ↓

🗳️ Fan Poll 0 votes

What's your prediction?

Qingdao Jonoon 33%

Draw 34%

Shandong Lunen... 33%

📖 How to Use This Page

Check Our AI Picks

Look for tips with 75%+ confidence (green ring). These are our strongest signals. ⭐ Value Bet means the odds may be higher than expected.

Understand the Odds

Each odds cell shows the bookmaker's implied probability (%). Compare this to the AI's confidence — if AI confidence is higher than implied %, that's a potential value opportunity.

Study the Stats

The ▲ arrows show which team has the statistical edge. Check form, H2H history, and season stats before deciding. A 🔥 Excellent form team with H2H dominance is a stronger pick.

Place Your Bet

Use a bookmaker below. Find the match → go to the market shown on the tip → select the outcome → confirm your stake.

⚠️ Gamble responsibly. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. Tips are AI-generated for entertainment — not guaranteed outcomes.

🎚 Confidence Tiers

80%

75%+ — Strong Pick

High AI conviction. Prioritise these.

70%

65–74% — Decent Pick

Good signal, some uncertainty remains.

55%

Below 65% — Speculative

Lower confidence. Smaller stakes advised.

📚 Market Glossary

1X2 — Home Win / Draw / Away Win

Over 2.5 — 3 or more goals total in the match

Under 2.5 — 2 or fewer goals total in the match

BTTS Yes — Both teams each score ≥1 goal

Double Chance — Covers 2 outcomes, lower risk & lower odds

Draw No Bet — Win if your team wins; stake back on draw

⭐ Value Bet — AI thinks odds are higher than they should be

Implied % — The bookmaker's probability (1 ÷ odds × 100)

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