River Plate are strong at home with a 71% win rate, while Atletico Tucuman have lost all 7 away games this season. The statistical comparison heavily favors River Plate (71.8% overall), and they have full squad availability. The implied probability of 72% is below my assessed 85%, but the edge is not >=5 percentage points for a value bet.

Historically, BTTS has never happened in the last 10 H2H meetings, and Atletico Tucuman's attack is weak with only 14 goals in 15 games. River Plate's defence is solid, conceding just 0.73 goals per game. The assessed probability of 82% matches the implied probability of 82%, so no value bet.

The H2H history shows very low scoring with only 10% of meetings going over 2.5 goals. Both teams have 0% over 2.5 rates in their respective home/away games this season. The assessed probability of 85% aligns with the implied probability of 85%, so no value bet.