Home › New South Wales NPL › Rockdale City Suns vs St George City FA

New South Wales NPL

Rockdale City Suns

😐 Mixed · 6/15 pts

05:00

St George City FA

⚠️ Poor · 2/15 pts

Home 45% Draw 45% Away 10%

🗓 Sun 26 Apr 2026, 05:00 📍 Rockdale Ilinden Sports Centre, Sydney 🏆 Regular Season - 12

🎯 Our AI Picks for This Match

AI-ranked by confidence · only the bets worth considering

3 tips

Double Chance HIGH CONFIDENCE

1X (Home or Draw)

Odds

1.17

Implied chance

≈85%

Rockdale City Suns are unbeaten in all 6 H2H meetings against St George City FA, and St George have failed to win any of their 5 away matches this season. With Rockdale holding a 75% form advantage and St George's away record showing 0 wins, the probability of a home win or draw is very high at approximately 88%, exceeding the implied probability of 85% from the odds.

💡 Double Chance — covers two of the three possible outcomes

85% conf.

Strong

1X2

Rockdale City Suns

Odds

1.60

Implied chance

≈63%

Rockdale City Suns have dominated this fixture historically with 4 wins and 2 draws in 6 meetings, while St George City FA have failed to win any away game this season (0 wins in 5). The statistical comparison gives Rockdale a 72.7% overall advantage, and their home win rate of 50% is significantly better than St George's 0% away win rate. Despite recent inconsistent form, the H2H dominance and away struggles of St George support a home win.

💡 Bet on the match result — Home Win, Draw or Away Win

72% conf.

Decent

Over/Under Goals ⭐ VALUE BET

Over 2.5 Goals

Odds

3.75

Implied chance

≈27%

The H2H history strongly favors goals with 83% of meetings going over 2.5 and an average of 4.17 goals per game. Both teams have poor defensive records, each conceding 1.64 goals per game on average, and neither has kept a clean sheet in their respective home/away matches. The implied probability of 27% is significantly lower than the assessed probability of 35%, creating a value betting opportunity with a positive edge of 8 percentage points.

💡 Bet on whether total goals scored exceed the line

65% conf.

Decent

✅ 1 high-confidence pick (75%+)

⭐ 1 value bet identified

All tips generated by AI · Gamble responsibly

📊 Odds & Implied Probability Opening odds · % = bookmaker's implied likelihood

Match Result — 1X2

Rockdale City Suns

1.60

≈63% chance

Draw

3.75

≈27% chance

St George City FA

4.33

≈23% chance

Bookmaker margin: 13% · Lower margin = better value for bettors

Goals Total — Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5 goals

3.75

≈27% chance

Under 2.5 goals

1.25

≈80% chance

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)

Yes — both score ✓

3.25

≈31% chance

No — clean sheet ✗

1.33

≈75% chance

Other Totals

Over 1.5

1.83

≈55%

Under 1.5

1.83

≈55%

Over 3.5

9.00

≈11%

Under 3.5

1.07

≈93%

Over 4.5

21.00

≈5%

Under 4.5

1.01

≈99%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

1.17

Away or Draw

1.67

Home or Away

1.53

🏟 Form & Head-to-Head

Recent Form (last 5 games · W=Win D=Draw L=Loss)

Rockdale City Suns

L L W L W

😐 Mixed (6/15 pts)

St George City FA

L D D L L

⚠️ Poor (2/15 pts)

Head-to-Head — Last 6 meetings

Rockdale City Suns: 4W (67%) Draws: 2 (33%) St George City FA: 0W (0%)

May 2025 St George City FA vs Rockdale City Suns 1 - 4

Feb 2025 Rockdale City Suns vs St George City FA 2 - 2

May 2024 Rockdale City Suns vs St George City FA 2 - 0

Feb 2024 St George City FA vs Rockdale City Suns 1 - 2

May 2023 Rockdale City Suns vs St George City FA 2 - 2

📈 Season Stats Comparison ▲ = statistical edge

Rockdale City Suns

St George City FA

20 ▲

⚽
Goals Scored

🥅
Goals Conceded

6 ▲

🏆
Wins

5 ▲

🏅
League Position

📊 Rockdale City Suns leads on 3/3 comparable stats

🔮 Statistical Model Predictions API-Football algorithm — reference data

Home Win

45%

Draw

45%

Away Win

10%

Statistical favourite: Rockdale City Suns

Category Comparison

75%

📋 Form

25%

73%

⚔️ Attack

27%

53%

🛡 Defence

47%

85%

🔁 H2H

15%

72.7%

🎯 Overall

27.3%

🎯 AI Match Verdict

Top recommended bet:

1X (Home or Draw)

Double Chance · 85% confidence

Odds

1.17

AI confidence

85%

+ 2 more tips — scroll down ↓

🗳️ Fan Poll 0 votes

What's your prediction?

Rockdale City... 33%

Draw 34%

St George City... 33%

📖 How to Use This Page

Check Our AI Picks

Look for tips with 75%+ confidence (green ring). These are our strongest signals. ⭐ Value Bet means the odds may be higher than expected.

Understand the Odds

Each odds cell shows the bookmaker's implied probability (%). Compare this to the AI's confidence — if AI confidence is higher than implied %, that's a potential value opportunity.

Study the Stats

The ▲ arrows show which team has the statistical edge. Check form, H2H history, and season stats before deciding. A 🔥 Excellent form team with H2H dominance is a stronger pick.

Place Your Bet

Use a bookmaker below. Find the match → go to the market shown on the tip → select the outcome → confirm your stake.

⚠️ Gamble responsibly. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. Tips are AI-generated for entertainment — not guaranteed outcomes.

🎚 Confidence Tiers

80%

75%+ — Strong Pick

High AI conviction. Prioritise these.

70%

65–74% — Decent Pick

Good signal, some uncertainty remains.

55%

Below 65% — Speculative

Lower confidence. Smaller stakes advised.

📚 Market Glossary

1X2 — Home Win / Draw / Away Win

Over 2.5 — 3 or more goals total in the match

Under 2.5 — 2 or fewer goals total in the match

BTTS Yes — Both teams each score ≥1 goal

Double Chance — Covers 2 outcomes, lower risk & lower odds

Draw No Bet — Win if your team wins; stake back on draw

⭐ Value Bet — AI thinks odds are higher than they should be

Implied % — The bookmaker's probability (1 ÷ odds × 100)

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