Home › J1 League › Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka

J1 League

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

⚠️ Poor · 4/15 pts

07:00

Cerezo Osaka

😐 Mixed · 7/15 pts

Home 45% Draw 45% Away 10%

🗓 Sat 25 Apr 2026, 07:00 📍 Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, Hiroshima 🏆 Regular Season - 12

🎯 Our AI Picks for This Match

AI-ranked by confidence · only the bets worth considering

3 tips

Double Chance HIGH CONFIDENCE

Odds

1.12

Implied chance

≈89%

Cerezo Osaka has failed to win any of the last 10 meetings against Sanfrecce Hiroshima (0 wins, 3 draws, 7 losses). Hiroshima has won 4 of 6 home games this season, while Cerezo has lost 2 of 5 away games. The historical pattern strongly suggests Cerezo is unlikely to secure all three points.

💡 Double Chance — covers two of the three possible outcomes

85% conf.

Strong

Under/Over Goals HIGH CONFIDENCE

Under 2.5

Odds

1.25

Implied chance

≈80%

Historical meetings average only 2.2 goals per game, with exactly 50% going over 2.5. Both teams show 0% Over 2.5 rates in their respective home/away games this season. Defensive records are solid with Hiroshima conceding 1.27 and Cerezo 1.0 goals per game on average, suggesting a lower-scoring match.

💡 Bet on whether total goals scored exceed the line

75% conf.

Strong

1X2

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Odds

1.48

Implied chance

≈68%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has dominated this fixture historically with 7 wins and 3 draws in the last 10 meetings. They maintain a strong 67% home win rate this season (4 wins in 6 home games) and have full squad availability. While Cerezo Osaka has decent away form, the historical dominance and home advantage give Hiroshima the edge.

💡 Bet on the match result — Home Win, Draw or Away Win

70% conf.

Decent

✅ 2 high-confidence picks (75%+)

All tips generated by AI · Gamble responsibly

📊 Odds & Implied Probability Opening odds · % = bookmaker's implied likelihood

Match Result — 1X2

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

1.48

≈68% chance

Draw

4.20

≈24% chance

Cerezo Osaka

5.75

≈17% chance

Bookmaker margin: 9% · Lower margin = better value for bettors

Goals Total — Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5 goals

3.75

≈27% chance

Under 2.5 goals

1.25

≈80% chance

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)

Yes — both score ✓

3.25

≈31% chance

No — clean sheet ✗

1.33

≈75% chance

Other Totals

Over 1.5

1.83

≈55%

Under 1.5

1.83

≈55%

Over 3.5

10.00

≈10%

Under 3.5

1.06

≈94%

Over 4.5

23.00

≈4%

Under 4.5

1.01

≈99%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

1.12

Away or Draw

1.73

Home or Away

1.53

🏟 Form & Head-to-Head

Recent Form (last 5 games · W=Win D=Draw L=Loss)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

W D L L L

⚠️ Poor (4/15 pts)

Cerezo Osaka

W W L D L

😐 Mixed (7/15 pts)

Head-to-Head — Last 10 meetings

Sanfrecce Hiroshima: 7W (70%) Draws: 3 (30%) Cerezo Osaka: 0W (0%)

Feb 2026 Cerezo Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1 - 2

Aug 2025 Cerezo Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1 - 1

Apr 2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka 2 - 1

Aug 2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka 2 - 0

May 2024 Cerezo Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1 - 1

📈 Season Stats Comparison ▲ = statistical edge

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Cerezo Osaka

17 ▲

⚽
Goals Scored

🥅
Goals Conceded

▲ 11

🏆
Wins

🏅
League Position

▲ 5

📊 Cerezo Osaka leads on 2/3 comparable stats

🔮 Statistical Model Predictions API-Football algorithm — reference data

Home Win

45%

Draw

45%

Away Win

10%

Statistical favourite: Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Category Comparison

40%

📋 Form

60%

46%

⚔️ Attack

54%

46%

🛡 Defence

54%

85%

🔁 H2H

15%

57.5%

🎯 Overall

42.5%

🎯 AI Match Verdict

Top recommended bet:

Double Chance · 85% confidence

Odds

1.12

AI confidence

85%

+ 2 more tips — scroll down ↓

🗳️ Fan Poll 0 votes

What's your prediction?

Sanfrecce Hiro... 33%

Draw 34%

Cerezo Osaka 33%

📖 How to Use This Page

Check Our AI Picks

Look for tips with 75%+ confidence (green ring). These are our strongest signals. ⭐ Value Bet means the odds may be higher than expected.

Understand the Odds

Each odds cell shows the bookmaker's implied probability (%). Compare this to the AI's confidence — if AI confidence is higher than implied %, that's a potential value opportunity.

Study the Stats

The ▲ arrows show which team has the statistical edge. Check form, H2H history, and season stats before deciding. A 🔥 Excellent form team with H2H dominance is a stronger pick.

Place Your Bet

Use a bookmaker below. Find the match → go to the market shown on the tip → select the outcome → confirm your stake.

⚠️ Gamble responsibly. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. Tips are AI-generated for entertainment — not guaranteed outcomes.

🎚 Confidence Tiers

80%

75%+ — Strong Pick

High AI conviction. Prioritise these.

70%

65–74% — Decent Pick

Good signal, some uncertainty remains.

55%

Below 65% — Speculative

Lower confidence. Smaller stakes advised.

📚 Market Glossary

1X2 — Home Win / Draw / Away Win

Over 2.5 — 3 or more goals total in the match

Under 2.5 — 2 or fewer goals total in the match

BTTS Yes — Both teams each score ≥1 goal

Double Chance — Covers 2 outcomes, lower risk & lower odds

Draw No Bet — Win if your team wins; stake back on draw

⭐ Value Bet — AI thinks odds are higher than they should be

Implied % — The bookmaker's probability (1 ÷ odds × 100)

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