Serie D - Girone D
Sant'Angelo
⚠️ Poor · 4/15 pts
VS
13:00
Progresso
😐 Mixed · 7/15 pts
Home 10%
Draw 45%
Away 45%
🗓 Sun 26 Apr 2026, 13:00
📍 Stadio Carlo Chiesa, Sant'Angelo Lodigiano 🏆 Group D - 33
🎯 Our AI Picks for This Match
2 tips
AI-ranked by confidence · only the bets worth considering
Double Chance
Progresso or Draw
Progresso holds a clear H2H edge (88% advantage) and superior recent form (7 pts vs 4 pts in last 5). Sant'Angelo's home defense is porous with a 0% clean sheet rate, while Progresso's away record (38% win rate) supports a strong chance to avoid defeat. The statistical comparison heavily favors Progresso (62.5% overall), making the double chance a solid play.
💡 Double Chance — covers two of the three possible outcomes
65%
conf.
Decent
Both Teams to Score
Yes
Both teams have failed to keep a clean sheet in any home or away game this season, with Sant'Angelo conceding in all 16 home matches and Progresso conceding in all 16 away matches. Their overall goal-scoring numbers are nearly identical (34 vs 33), suggesting both are likely to find the net. The 0% clean sheet rates for both sides make BTTS Yes a strong probability despite the lack of H2H BTTS data.
💡 Both teams must score at least 1 goal each
60%
conf.
Speculative
All tips generated by AI · Gamble responsibly
🏟 Form & Head-to-Head
Recent Form (last 5 games · W=Win D=Draw L=Loss)
Sant'Angelo
W
D
L
L
L
⚠️ Poor
(4/15 pts)
Progresso
W
D
W
L
L
😐 Mixed
(7/15 pts) Head-to-Head — Last 3 meetings
1
2
Sant'Angelo: 0W (0%)
Draws: 1 (33%)
Progresso: 2W (67%)
Dec 2025
Progresso
vs
Sant'Angelo
1 - 0
Mar 2024
Progresso
vs
Sant'Angelo
2 - 2
Nov 2023
Sant'Angelo
vs
Progresso
0 - 1
📈 Season Stats Comparison
▲ = statistical edge
Sant'Angelo
Progresso
34
▲
⚽
Goals Scored
Goals Scored
33
48
🥅
Goals Conceded
Goals Conceded
▲ 40
10
▲
🏆
Wins
Wins
9
13
🏅
League Position
League Position
▲ 11
📊 Both teams are evenly matched across key season stats
🔮 Statistical Model Predictions
API-Football algorithm — reference data
Home Win
10%
Draw
45%
Away Win
45%
Statistical favourite:
Progresso
Category Comparison
36%
📋 Form
64%
50%
⚔️ Attack
50%
44%
🛡 Defence
56%
13%
🔁 H2H
88%
37.7%
🎯 Overall
62.5%
🎯 AI Match Verdict
Top recommended bet:
Progresso or Draw
Double Chance · 65% confidence
+ 1 more tip — scroll down ↓
🗳️ Fan Poll
0 votes
What's your prediction?
Sant'Angelo
33%
Draw
34%
Progresso
33%
📖 How to Use This Page
1
Check Our AI Picks
Look for tips with 75%+ confidence (green ring). These are our strongest signals. ⭐ Value Bet means the odds may be higher than expected.
2
Understand the Odds
Each odds cell shows the bookmaker's implied probability (%). Compare this to the AI's confidence — if AI confidence is higher than implied %, that's a potential value opportunity.
3
Study the Stats
The ▲ arrows show which team has the statistical edge. Check form, H2H history, and season stats before deciding. A 🔥 Excellent form team with H2H dominance is a stronger pick.
4
Place Your Bet
Use a bookmaker below. Find the match → go to the market shown on the tip → select the outcome → confirm your stake.
⚠️ Gamble responsibly. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. Tips are AI-generated for entertainment — not guaranteed outcomes.
🎚 Confidence Tiers
80%
75%+ — Strong Pick
High AI conviction. Prioritise these.
70%
65–74% — Decent Pick
Good signal, some uncertainty remains.
55%
Below 65% — Speculative
Lower confidence. Smaller stakes advised.
📚 Market Glossary
1X2 — Home Win / Draw / Away Win
Over 2.5 — 3 or more goals total in the match
Under 2.5 — 2 or fewer goals total in the match
BTTS Yes — Both teams each score ≥1 goal
Double Chance — Covers 2 outcomes, lower risk & lower odds
Draw No Bet — Win if your team wins; stake back on draw
⭐ Value Bet — AI thinks odds are higher than they should be
Implied % — The bookmaker's probability (1 ÷ odds × 100)
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