Serie A
Sao Paulo
👍 Good · 9/15 pts
VS
00:00
Mirassol
😐 Mixed · 7/15 pts
Home 10%
Draw 45%
Away 45%
🗓 Sun 26 Apr 2026, 00:00
📍 Estadio Do MorumBIS, Campinas 🏆 Regular Season - 13
🎯 Our AI Picks for This Match
2 tips
AI-ranked by confidence · only the bets worth considering
Double Chance
HIGH CONFIDENCE
1X (Sao Paulo or Draw)
Odds
1.17
Implied chance
≈85%
Sao Paulo's dominant home form with an 80% win rate and Mirassol's poor away record with just 20% wins make a home loss unlikely. The statistical comparison also favors Sao Paulo in form (57%) and attack (55%). The implied probability of 85% matches the assessed probability, indicating no value but high confidence.
💡 Double Chance — covers two of the three possible outcomes
82%
conf.
Strong
Under 2.5 Goals
HIGH CONFIDENCE
Under 2.5
Odds
1.17
Implied chance
≈85%
Sao Paulo's home matches and Mirassol's away matches have both seen 0% Over 2.5 rate across 5 games each, indicating a strong trend toward low-scoring affairs. Additionally, both teams have 0% BTTS rate in those splits, further supporting a low goal total. The implied probability of 85% aligns with the assessed probability, confirming no value but high confidence.
💡 Bet on whether total goals scored stay below the line
80%
conf.
Strong
✅ 2 high-confidence picks (75%+)
All tips generated by AI · Gamble responsibly
📊 Odds & Implied Probability
Opening odds · % = bookmaker's implied likelihood
Match Result — 1X2
Sao Paulo
1.91
≈52% chance
Draw
3.75
≈27% chance
Mirassol
3.80
≈26% chance
Bookmaker margin: 5% · Lower margin = better value for bettors
Goals Total — Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5 goals
5.00
≈20% chance
Under 2.5 goals
1.17
≈85% chance
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)
Yes — both score ✓
3.50
≈29% chance
No — clean sheet ✗
1.28
≈78% chance
Other Totals
Over 1.5
2.20
≈45%
Under 1.5
1.62
≈62%
Over 3.5
13.00
≈8%
Under 3.5
1.04
≈96%
Over 4.5
26.00
≈4%
Under 4.5
1.01
≈99%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
1.17
Away or Draw
1.50
Home or Away
1.62
🏟 Form & Head-to-Head
Recent Form (last 5 games · W=Win D=Draw L=Loss)
Sao Paulo
W
L
W
L
W
👍 Good
(9/15 pts)
Mirassol
D
W
L
L
W
😐 Mixed
(7/15 pts) Head-to-Head — Last 9 meetings
3
2
4
Sao Paulo: 3W (33%)
Draws: 2 (22%)
Mirassol: 4W (45%)
Jan 2026
Mirassol
vs
Sao Paulo
3 - 0
Oct 2025
Mirassol
vs
Sao Paulo
3 - 0
May 2025
Sao Paulo
vs
Mirassol
0 - 2
Feb 2025
Sao Paulo
vs
Mirassol
4 - 1
Jan 2024
Mirassol
vs
Sao Paulo
1 - 1
📈 Season Stats Comparison
▲ = statistical edge
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
16
▲
⚽
Goals Scored
Goals Scored
13
11
▲
🥅
Goals Conceded
Goals Conceded
17
6
▲
🏆
Wins
Wins
2
4
▲
🏅
League Position
League Position
18
📊 Sao Paulo leads on 4/4 comparable stats
🔮 Statistical Model Predictions
API-Football algorithm — reference data
Home Win
10%
Draw
45%
Away Win
45%
Statistical favourite:
Mirassol
Category Comparison
57%
📋 Form
43%
55%
⚔️ Attack
45%
53%
🛡 Defence
47%
29%
🔁 H2H
71%
50.3%
🎯 Overall
49.7%
🎯 AI Match Verdict
Top recommended bet:
1X (Sao Paulo or Draw)
Double Chance · 82% confidence
Odds
1.17
AI confidence
82%
+ 1 more tip — scroll down ↓
🗳️ Fan Poll
0 votes
What's your prediction?
Sao Paulo
33%
Draw
34%
Mirassol
33%
📖 How to Use This Page
1
Check Our AI Picks
Look for tips with 75%+ confidence (green ring). These are our strongest signals. ⭐ Value Bet means the odds may be higher than expected.
2
Understand the Odds
Each odds cell shows the bookmaker's implied probability (%). Compare this to the AI's confidence — if AI confidence is higher than implied %, that's a potential value opportunity.
3
Study the Stats
The ▲ arrows show which team has the statistical edge. Check form, H2H history, and season stats before deciding. A 🔥 Excellent form team with H2H dominance is a stronger pick.
4
Place Your Bet
Use a bookmaker below. Find the match → go to the market shown on the tip → select the outcome → confirm your stake.
⚠️ Gamble responsibly. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. Tips are AI-generated for entertainment — not guaranteed outcomes.
🎚 Confidence Tiers
80%
75%+ — Strong Pick
High AI conviction. Prioritise these.
70%
65–74% — Decent Pick
Good signal, some uncertainty remains.
55%
Below 65% — Speculative
Lower confidence. Smaller stakes advised.
📚 Market Glossary
1X2 — Home Win / Draw / Away Win
Over 2.5 — 3 or more goals total in the match
Under 2.5 — 2 or fewer goals total in the match
BTTS Yes — Both teams each score ≥1 goal
Double Chance — Covers 2 outcomes, lower risk & lower odds
Draw No Bet — Win if your team wins; stake back on draw
⭐ Value Bet — AI thinks odds are higher than they should be
Implied % — The bookmaker's probability (1 ÷ odds × 100)
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