Home Regionalliga - SudWest SGV Freiberg vs FSV Mainz 05 II
Regionalliga - SudWest
SGV Freiberg

SGV Freiberg

⚠️ Poor · 4/15 pts
VS
12:00

FSV Mainz 05 II

😐 Mixed · 5/15 pts
FSV Mainz 05 II
Home 35% Draw 35% Away 30%
🗓 Sat 25 Apr 2026, 12:00 📍 Wasen-Stadion, Freiberg 🏆 Südwest - 31
🤖
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📊 Odds & Implied Probability Opening odds · % = bookmaker's implied likelihood
Match Result — 1X2
SGV Freiberg
1.67
≈60% chance
Draw
4.00
≈25% chance
FSV Mainz 05 II
3.75
≈27% chance
Bookmaker margin: 12% · Lower margin = better value for bettors
Goals Total — Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5 goals
5.00
≈20% chance
Under 2.5 goals
1.14
≈88% chance
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)
Yes — both score ✓
3.00
≈33% chance
No — clean sheet ✗
1.36
≈74% chance
Other Totals
Over 1.5
2.25
≈44%
Under 1.5
1.57
≈64%
Over 3.5
10.00
≈10%
Under 3.5
1.03
≈97%
Over 4.5
4.33
≈23%
Under 4.5
1.20
≈83%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
1.20
Away or Draw
1.62
Home or Away
1.53
🏟 Form & Head-to-Head
Recent Form (last 5 games · W=Win D=Draw L=Loss)
SGV Freiberg
L L L W D
⚠️ Poor (4/15 pts)
FSV Mainz 05 II
L D D W L
😐 Mixed (5/15 pts)
Head-to-Head — Last 7 meetings
3
4
SGV Freiberg: 3W (43%) Draws: 0 (0%) FSV Mainz 05 II: 4W (57%)
Oct 2025 FSV Mainz 05 II vs SGV Freiberg 2 - 1
Apr 2025 SGV Freiberg vs FSV Mainz 05 II 0 - 1
Oct 2024 FSV Mainz 05 II vs SGV Freiberg 3 - 2
Apr 2024 FSV Mainz 05 II vs SGV Freiberg 0 - 2
Oct 2023 SGV Freiberg vs FSV Mainz 05 II 1 - 2
📈 Season Stats Comparison ▲ = statistical edge
SGV Freiberg
FSV Mainz 05 II
61

Goals Scored
49
31
🥅
Goals Conceded
39
17
🏆
Wins
13
2
🏅
League Position
5
📊 SGV Freiberg leads on 4/4 comparable stats
🔮 Statistical Model Predictions API-Football algorithm — reference data
Home Win
35%
Draw
35%
Away Win
30%
Statistical favourite: SGV Freiberg
Category Comparison
58%
📋 Form
42%
47%
⚔️ Attack
53%
53%
🛡 Defence
47%
20%
🔁 H2H
80%
48.3%
🎯 Overall
51.7%
🗳️ Fan Poll 0 votes
What's your prediction?
SGV Freiberg 33%
Draw 34%
FSV Mainz 05 I... 33%
📖 How to Use This Page
1
Check Our AI Picks
Look for tips with 75%+ confidence (green ring). These are our strongest signals. ⭐ Value Bet means the odds may be higher than expected.
2
Understand the Odds
Each odds cell shows the bookmaker's implied probability (%). Compare this to the AI's confidence — if AI confidence is higher than implied %, that's a potential value opportunity.
3
Study the Stats
The ▲ arrows show which team has the statistical edge. Check form, H2H history, and season stats before deciding. A 🔥 Excellent form team with H2H dominance is a stronger pick.
4
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🎚 Confidence Tiers
80%
75%+ — Strong Pick
High AI conviction. Prioritise these.
70%
65–74% — Decent Pick
Good signal, some uncertainty remains.
55%
Below 65% — Speculative
Lower confidence. Smaller stakes advised.
📚 Market Glossary
1X2 — Home Win / Draw / Away Win
Over 2.5 — 3 or more goals total in the match
Under 2.5 — 2 or fewer goals total in the match
BTTS Yes — Both teams each score ≥1 goal
Double Chance — Covers 2 outcomes, lower risk & lower odds
Draw No Bet — Win if your team wins; stake back on draw
⭐ Value Bet — AI thinks odds are higher than they should be
Implied % — The bookmaker's probability (1 ÷ odds × 100)
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