Home › Championship › Southampton vs Ipswich

Championship

Southampton

👍 Good · 10/15 pts

18:45

Ipswich

👍 Good · 8/15 pts

Home 45% Draw 45% Away 10%

🗓 Tue 28 Apr 2026, 18:45 📍 St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton 🏆 Regular Season - 40 👨‍⚖️ T. Kirk

🎯 Our AI Picks for This Match

AI-ranked by confidence · only the bets worth considering

2 tips

Under 2.5 Goals HIGH CONFIDENCE

Under 2.5

Odds

1.20

Implied chance

≈83%

Historical H2H data shows extremely low scoring with only 11% of meetings going over 2.5 goals and 0% BTTS rate. Both Southampton at home and Ipswich away have recorded 0% over 2.5 rates this season, strongly supporting a low-scoring match. The odds imply 83% probability, and our assessed 85% aligns with these multiple independent signals.

💡 Bet on whether total goals scored stay below the line

85% conf.

Strong

BTTS No HIGH CONFIDENCE

BTTS No

Odds

1.33

Implied chance

≈75%

The H2H record is emphatic with zero BTTS occurrences in 9 meetings, and both teams have 0% BTTS rates in their respective home/away splits this season. Southampton's recent form is declining (PPG dropping to 1.33), which may further limit scoring. The implied probability of 75% is slightly below our assessed 80%, but the edge is under 5 percentage points so not a value bet.

💡 Both teams must score at least 1 goal each

80% conf.

Strong

✅ 2 high-confidence picks (75%+)

All tips generated by AI · Gamble responsibly

📊 Odds & Implied Probability Opening odds · % = bookmaker's implied likelihood

Match Result — 1X2

Southampton

2.15

≈47% chance

Draw

3.40

≈29% chance

Ipswich

3.10

≈32% chance

Bookmaker margin: 8% · Lower margin = better value for bettors

Goals Total — Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5 goals

4.33

≈23% chance

Under 2.5 goals

1.20

≈83% chance

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)

Yes — both score ✓

3.25

≈31% chance

No — clean sheet ✗

1.33

≈75% chance

Other Totals

Over 1.5

2.00

≈50%

Under 1.5

1.73

≈58%

Over 3.5

11.00

≈9%

Under 3.5

1.05

≈95%

Over 4.5

26.00

≈4%

Under 4.5

1.01

≈99%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

1.28

Away or Draw

1.40

Home or Away

1.57

🏟 Form & Head-to-Head

Recent Form (last 5 games · W=Win D=Draw L=Loss)

Southampton

L D W W W

👍 Good (10/15 pts)

Ipswich

D W D L W

👍 Good (8/15 pts)

Head-to-Head — Last 9 meetings

Southampton: 3W (33%) Draws: 4 (44%) Ipswich: 2W (23%)

Aug 2025 Ipswich vs Southampton 1 - 1

Feb 2025 Ipswich vs Southampton 1 - 2

Sep 2024 Southampton vs Ipswich 1 - 1

Apr 2024 Ipswich vs Southampton 3 - 2

Sep 2023 Southampton vs Ipswich 0 - 1

📈 Season Stats Comparison ▲ = statistical edge

Southampton

Ipswich

77 ▲

⚽
Goals Scored

🥅
Goals Conceded

▲ 45

🏆
Wins

▲ 22

🏅
League Position

▲ 2

📊 Ipswich leads on 3/4 comparable stats

🔮 Statistical Model Predictions API-Football algorithm — reference data

Home Win

45%

Draw

45%

Away Win

10%

Statistical favourite: Southampton

Category Comparison

62%

📋 Form

38%

70%

⚔️ Attack

30%

50%

🛡 Defence

50%

38%

🔁 H2H

62%

54.2%

🎯 Overall

45.8%

🎯 AI Match Verdict

Top recommended bet:

Under 2.5

Under 2.5 Goals · 85% confidence

Odds

1.20

AI confidence

85%

+ 1 more tip — scroll down ↓

🗳️ Fan Poll 0 votes

What's your prediction?

Southampton 33%

Draw 34%

Ipswich 33%

📖 How to Use This Page

Check Our AI Picks

Look for tips with 75%+ confidence (green ring). These are our strongest signals. ⭐ Value Bet means the odds may be higher than expected.

Understand the Odds

Each odds cell shows the bookmaker's implied probability (%). Compare this to the AI's confidence — if AI confidence is higher than implied %, that's a potential value opportunity.

Study the Stats

The ▲ arrows show which team has the statistical edge. Check form, H2H history, and season stats before deciding. A 🔥 Excellent form team with H2H dominance is a stronger pick.

Place Your Bet

Use a bookmaker below. Find the match → go to the market shown on the tip → select the outcome → confirm your stake.

⚠️ Gamble responsibly. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. Tips are AI-generated for entertainment — not guaranteed outcomes.

🎚 Confidence Tiers

80%

75%+ — Strong Pick

High AI conviction. Prioritise these.

70%

65–74% — Decent Pick

Good signal, some uncertainty remains.

55%

Below 65% — Speculative

Lower confidence. Smaller stakes advised.

📚 Market Glossary

1X2 — Home Win / Draw / Away Win

Over 2.5 — 3 or more goals total in the match

Under 2.5 — 2 or fewer goals total in the match

BTTS Yes — Both teams each score ≥1 goal

Double Chance — Covers 2 outcomes, lower risk & lower odds

Draw No Bet — Win if your team wins; stake back on draw

⭐ Value Bet — AI thinks odds are higher than they should be

Implied % — The bookmaker's probability (1 ÷ odds × 100)

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