Sparta Praha II
Opava
Opava is significantly stronger overall (74% advantage) and in current form (86% advantage). Sparta Praha II has lost 4 of their last 5 matches and has only 1 win in 12 home games this season. Opava's away record (3W 5D 4L) is solid, and they have a +15 goal difference compared to Sparta Praha II's -31. The implied probability of 60% is below my assessed 65%, giving a 5% edge.
Both teams have a 0% BTTS rate in their respective home/away games this season. Sparta Praha II has not scored a single goal at home in 12 matches, while Opava has not scored away in 12 matches. The implied probability of 75% aligns with my assessed probability, so no value, but the signal is strong.
Sparta Praha II has failed to score in all 12 home games this season and averages 0 goals per home match. Opava also averages 0 goals per away game. Combined with both teams' low scoring rates, under 2.5 goals is highly likely. The implied probability of 82% matches my assessed probability exactly, so no value bet, but confidence is high at 70%.
Goals Scored
Goals Conceded
Wins
League Position